Portland Pirates Playoff Chances 3 50/50Beat Valkyrie 8-3, playoff odds up 6.2 to 53.3% 2 points 1 1-0 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain Tuesday | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Pres Trophy | 100.0* | Average seed | Pirates 8 Valkyrie 3 | +6.3 | | +0.8 | | +0.6 | | If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway | Vikings vs Kozaks | -0.4*-0.6*-0.8*+0.0*+0.3+0.5 | | | | *-0.0*-0.1-0.1*-0.0*+0.0+0.0 | | | Wednesday | None |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Pirates finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance in | Pres | Chance will finish regular season at seed | | TP | W | | L | - | OT | playoffs | Trophy | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 63 | -78 | | In | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 220 | * | 62 | | 29 | 7 | - | 2 | In | 98.0 | % | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 153 | * | 61 | | 29 | 8 | - | 1 | In | 98.0 | | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 305 | * | 60 | | 28 | 8 | - | 2 | In | 95.5 | | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 558 | * | 59 | | 28 | 9 | - | 1 | In | 92.8 | | 97 | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 792 | * | 58 | | 27 | 9 | - | 2 | In | 87.0 | | 95 | 5 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1,404 | * | 57 | | 26 | 9 | - | 3 | In | 80.2 | | 91 | 8 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2,101 | * | 56 | | 26 | 10 | - | 2 | In | 70.4 | | 86 | 13 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | 3,194 | * | 55 | | 25 | 10 | - | 3 | In | 55.6 | | 79 | 19 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | 4,755 | * | 54 | | 25 | 11 | - | 2 | In | 40.1 | | 69 | 28 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | 6,882 | * | 53 | | 24 | 11 | - | 3 | In | 26.1 | | 56 | 37 | 7 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | 9,061 | * | 52 | | 24 | 12 | - | 2 | In | 13.5 | | 42 | 42 | 13 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | 12,318 | * | 51 | | 23 | 12 | - | 3 | In | 5.3 | | 28 | 44 | 23 | 5 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 15,511 | * | 50 | | 23 | 13 | - | 2 | In | 1.4 | | 15 | 38 | 32 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 19,327 | * | 49 | | 22 | 13 | - | 3 | In | 0.2 | | 7 | 27 | 36 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | 23,332 | * | 48 | | 22 | 14 | - | 2 | In | 0.0 | | 2 | 15 | 31 | 31 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | 27,569 | * | 47 | | 21 | 14 | - | 3 | 100.0 | % | No | 0 | 5 | 19 | 32 | 28 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | 14,547 | | | 22 | 15 | - | 1 | 100.0 | | No | 1 | 6 | 20 | 32 | 26 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | 16,749 | * | 46 | | 21 | 15 | - | 2 | 99.9 | | No | 0 | 2 | 10 | 26 | 32 | 21 | 7 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | 20,375 | * | | 20 | 14 | - | 4 | 99.4 | | No | | 1 | 5 | 18 | 30 | 28 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | 14,243 | * | 45 | | 20 | 15 | - | 3 | 97.9 | | No | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 31 | 22 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | 37,219 | * | 44 | | 20 | 16 | - | 2 | 93.1 | | No | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 28 | 30 | 18 | 6 | 1 | 0 | | | | | 22,756 | * | | 19 | 15 | - | 4 | 84.5 | | No | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 31 | 27 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | 16,456 | * | 43 | | 19 | 16 | - | 3 | 68.9 | | No | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 32 | 21 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | 18,499 | | | 20 | 17 | - | 1 | 70.3 | | No | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 25 | 29 | 20 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 21,179 | * | 42 | | 19 | 17 | - | 2 | 47.8 | | No | | | | 0 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 28 | 30 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 0 | | | 22,619 | * | | 18 | 16 | - | 4 | 28.8 | | No | | | 0 | | 0 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 31 | 25 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | 16,624 | * | 41 | | 18 | 17 | - | 3 | 16.1 | | No | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 25 | 30 | 20 | 7 | 1 | 0 | | 37,915 | * | 40 | | 18 | 18 | - | 2 | 5.8 | | No | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 30 | 29 | 15 | 4 | 0 | | 20,668 | * | | 17 | 17 | - | 4 | 2.2 | | No | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 32 | 24 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 14,998 | * | 39 | | 17 | 18 | - | 3 | 0.5 | | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 30 | 29 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 14,766 | | | 18 | 19 | - | 1 | 1.0 | | No | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 29 | 29 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 17,298 | * | 38 | | 17 | 19 | - | 2 | 0.1 | | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 8 | 22 | 33 | 25 | 9 | 1 | 13,595 | | | 16 | 18 | - | 4 | 0.1 | | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 32 | 29 | 13 | 2 | 14,900 | * | 37 | | 16 | 19 | - | 3 | 0.0 | | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 25 | 35 | 23 | 5 | 24,614 | * | 36 | | 16 | 20 | - | 2 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 34 | 34 | 12 | 20,579 | * | 35 | | 15 | 20 | - | 3 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 8 | 27 | 42 | 23 | 16,586 | * | 34 | | 15 | 21 | - | 2 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 18 | 43 | 36 | 13,508 | * | 33 | | 14 | 21 | - | 3 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 10 | 39 | 50 | 10,141 | * | 32 | | 14 | 22 | - | 2 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 5 | 31 | 64 | 7,614 | * | 31 | | 13 | 22 | - | 3 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 23 | 75 | 5,566 | * | 30 | | 13 | 23 | - | 2 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 16 | 84 | 3,898 | * | 29 | | 12 | 23 | - | 3 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 11 | 89 | 2,737 | * | 28 | | 12 | 24 | - | 2 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 7 | 93 | 1,808 | * | 27 | | 11 | 24 | - | 3 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 97 | 1,202 | * | 26 | | 11 | 25 | - | 2 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | 98 | 736 | * | 25 | | 10 | 25 | - | 3 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | 446 | * | 24 | | 10 | 26 | - | 2 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | 237 | * | 23 | | 9 | 26 | - | 3 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | 149 | * | 2 | -22 | | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | 231 | * | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 53.3 | % | 3.0 | % | 6 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 592,940 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Make Playoffs
LotteryYe of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds. Big GamesTuesday | 100.0* | Lottery seed | Pirates 8 Valkyrie 3 | -1.3 | | | If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway | Wednesday | 100.0* | Lottery seed | Skates vs Vikings | -0.0*+0.1*+0.1-0.0*+0.0*-0.0 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What If | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | TP | W | | L | - | OT | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 63 | -78 | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 62 | | 29 | 7 | - | 2 | 98 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 61 | | 29 | 8 | - | 1 | 98 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 60 | | 28 | 8 | - | 2 | 96 | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 59 | | 28 | 9 | - | 1 | 93 | 7 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 58 | | 27 | 9 | - | 2 | 87 | 12 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 57 | | 26 | 9 | - | 3 | 80 | 19 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 56 | | 26 | 10 | - | 2 | 70 | 26 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 55 | | 25 | 10 | - | 3 | 56 | 35 | 8 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 54 | | 25 | 11 | - | 2 | 40 | 41 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 53 | | 24 | 11 | - | 3 | 26 | 40 | 25 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 52 | | 24 | 12 | - | 2 | 14 | 32 | 31 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 51 | | 23 | 12 | - | 3 | 5 | 20 | 31 | 25 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 50 | | 23 | 13 | - | 2 | 1 | 9 | 21 | 27 | 23 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 49 | | 22 | 13 | - | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 19 | 26 | 23 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 48 | | 22 | 14 | - | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 16 | 24 | 23 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 47 | | 21 | 14 | - | 3 | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 20 | 24 | 19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 46 | | 21 | 15 | - | 2 | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 19 | 23 | 21 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 20 | 14 | - | 4 | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 24 | 21 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 45 | | 20 | 15 | - | 3 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 14 | 21 | 23 | 17 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 21 | 16 | - | 1 | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 15 | 21 | 23 | 17 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 44 | | 20 | 16 | - | 2 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 21 | 23 | 18 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 19 | 15 | - | 4 | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 13 | 20 | 23 | 19 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | 43 | | 19 | 16 | - | 3 | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 22 | 22 | 16 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 20 | 17 | - | 1 | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 16 | 22 | 22 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 42 | | 19 | 17 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 14 | 21 | 23 | 17 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | 18 | 16 | - | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 20 | 23 | 19 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | 41 | | 18 | 17 | - | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 16 | 22 | 22 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | 19 | 18 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 17 | 23 | 22 | 15 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | 40 | | 18 | 18 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 16 | 23 | 22 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | 17 | 17 | - | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 16 | 23 | 22 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | 39 | | 17 | 18 | - | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 22 | 22 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | 38 | | 17 | 19 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 22 | 24 | 18 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | 16 | 18 | - | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 18 | 24 | 22 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 37 | | 16 | 19 | - | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 17 | 24 | 23 | 15 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 36 | | 16 | 20 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 17 | 25 | 25 | 16 | 6 | 1 | 35 | | 15 | 20 | - | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 28 | 27 | 15 | 3 | 34 | | 15 | 21 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 21 | 32 | 27 | 10 | 33 | | 14 | 21 | - | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | | | 1 | 3 | 12 | 28 | 37 | 20 | 32 | | 14 | 22 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 41 | 34 | 31 | | 13 | 22 | - | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 11 | 38 | 49 | 30 | | 13 | 23 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 7 | 30 | 63 | 29 | | 12 | 23 | - | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 22 | 75 | 28 | | 12 | 24 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 15 | 83 | 27 | | 11 | 24 | - | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 10 | 89 | 26 | | 11 | 25 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 6 | 94 | 25 | | 10 | 25 | - | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 4 | 96 | 24 | | 10 | 26 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | 98 | 23 | | 9 | 26 | - | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | 98 | 2 | -22 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
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