Orlando Narcs Playoff Chances 3 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.01 to 65.8%

4 points 2 0-0

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs
Vikings vs Kozaks	+0.4-0.4-0.3+0.4-0.3-0.3

Wednesday	None

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Narcs finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Pres		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	Count

64	-80						In		Yes		100															379	*
63		29	8		-	1	In		99.4	%	100	0														310	*
62		28	8		-	2	In		99.3		100	0														564	*
61		27	8		-	3	In		97.4		99	1														862	*
60		27	9		-	2	In		95.9		98	2														1,411	*
59		26	9		-	3	In		92.7		98	2														2,098	*
58		26	10		-	2	In		87.5		95	5	0													3,369	*
57		25	10		-	3	In		80.7		92	8	0													4,654	*
56		25	11		-	2	In		69.1		86	13	1													6,703	*
55		24	11		-	3	In		55.9		79	19	2	0												9,078	*
54		24	12		-	2	In		40.4		68	28	4	0												12,152	*
53		23	12		-	3	In		25.3		55	37	7	1	0											15,423	*
52		23	13		-	2	In		13.1		41	43	14	2	0											19,480	*
51		22	13		-	3	In		5.4		28	43	24	5	0	0										23,446	*
50		22	14		-	2	In		1.3		15	38	32	12	2	0	0									27,270	*
49		21	14		-	3	In		0.2		6	25	37	23	7	1	0									14,536
		22	15		-	1	In		0.4		8	27	36	22	7	1	0	0								16,745	*
48		21	15		-	2	In		0.0		3	16	32	32	13	3	0	0								16,551
		20	14		-	4	In		0.0		2	12	29	32	18	5	1	0								17,912	*
47		20	15		-	3	100.0	%	No		0	5	18	32	28	13	3	0	0							17,344
		21	16		-	1	100.0		No		1	6	20	31	26	12	3	1	0							19,960	*
46		20	16		-	2	99.9		No		0	2	10	24	33	22	8	1	0	0						18,914
		19	15		-	4	99.6		No		0	1	6	20	30	27	12	3	0	0						20,449	*
45		19	16		-	3	97.6		No		0	0	1	9	23	32	23	10	2	0						18,480
		20	17		-	1	97.6		No		0	0	2	11	24	30	21	9	2	0	0					21,152	*
44		19	17		-	2	90.1		No				0	3	11	25	31	21	8	2	0	0				22,536	*
		18	16		-	4	88.0		No			0	0	2	9	23	29	23	10	2	0					17,074	*
43		18	17		-	3	68.8		No			0	0	0	3	11	24	30	21	8	2	0	0			37,653	*
42		18	18		-	2	44.6		No					0	0	3	13	27	30	18	6	1	0	0		16,991
		17	17		-	4	34.3		No					0	0	2	9	22	30	23	10	2	0	0		18,756	*
41		17	18		-	3	15.8		No					0	0	0	3	12	25	31	20	7	1	0	0	31,976	*
40		17	19		-	2	5.1		No						0	0	1	4	16	29	29	16	4	1	0	13,718
		16	18		-	4	3.4		No							0	0	3	11	25	31	21	7	1	0	15,049	*
39		16	19		-	3	0.8		No								0	1	4	15	29	30	16	4	0	24,646	*
38		16	20		-	2	0.1		No									0	1	6	19	32	28	11	2	20,817	*
37		15	20		-	3	Out		No										0	2	9	26	35	23	6	16,625	*
36		15	21		-	2	Out		No										0	0	3	15	34	35	13	13,429	*
35		14	21		-	3	Out		No										0	0	1	7	27	41	23	10,179	*
34		14	22		-	2	Out		No											0	0	3	17	43	37	7,484	*
33		13	22		-	3	Out		No												0	1	9	38	51	5,476	*
32		13	23		-	2	Out		No													0	4	32	64	3,898	*
31		12	23		-	3	Out		No														2	22	76	2,742	*
30		12	24		-	2	Out		No														1	16	84	1,787	*
29		11	24		-	3	Out		No														1	10	89	1,097	*
28		11	25		-	2	Out		No														0	8	92	713	*
27		10	25		-	3	Out		No															3	97	448	*
26		10	26		-	2	Out		No															4	96	257	*
25		9	26		-	3	Out		No															1	99	164	*
24		9	27		-	2	Out		No															1	99	71	*
4	-23						Out		No																100	112	*

Total:							65.8	%	5.9	%	11	10	9	8	8	7	7	7	6	6	5	5	5	4	3	592,940

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Tuesday	None

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Muckaneers vs Zigzagoons	-0.0+0.2+0.1-0.0+0.0-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

64	-80						100
63		29	8		-	1	99	1
62		28	8		-	2	99	1
61		27	8		-	3	97	3
60		27	9		-	2	96	4	0
59		26	9		-	3	93	7
58		26	10		-	2	88	12	1
57		25	10		-	3	81	17	2	0
56		25	11		-	2	69	27	4	0	0
55		24	11		-	3	56	34	8	1	0
54		24	12		-	2	40	40	16	3	0	0
53		23	12		-	3	25	40	25	8	2	0	0
52		23	13		-	2	13	32	31	17	5	1	0	0	0
51		22	13		-	3	5	20	30	26	14	4	1	0	0
50		22	14		-	2	2	10	22	29	23	11	4	1	0	0
		21	13		-	4	1	7	19	27	24	15	6	2	0	0
49		21	14		-	3	0	2	9	19	26	22	14	6	2	0	0	0
48		21	15		-	2	0	0	3	9	19	25	23	13	5	2	0	0
		20	14		-	4	0	0	1	4	12	20	25	20	12	5	1	0	0
47		20	15		-	3		0	0	1	4	11	19	24	21	12	5	2	0	0
		21	16		-	1		0	0	2	6	13	20	22	18	11	5	2	0	0	0
46		20	16		-	2			0	0	1	4	9	18	24	22	14	6	2	0	0
		19	15		-	4					0	1	4	10	18	23	22	14	6	2	0	0	0
45		19	16		-	3						0	0	2	6	14	21	23	18	10	4	1	0	0	0
		20	17		-	1					0	0	2	6	14	21	23	18	10	4	1	0	0
44		19	17		-	2						0	0	0	2	5	13	20	23	19	11	5	1	0	0		0
		18	16		-	4								0	0	2	5	12	20	23	20	12	5	1	0	0	0
43		18	17		-	3								0	0	0	1	4	10	18	22	20	14	7	3	1	0	0
42		18	18		-	2										0	0	0	2	6	13	20	23	19	11	4	1	0	0
		17	17		-	4											0	0	1	3	8	15	20	22	16	9	3	1	0	0
41		17	18		-	3												0	0	0	1	5	11	18	22	20	13	6	2	0	0	0	0
40		17	19		-	2														0	0	1	3	8	15	22	23	16	8	3	1	0	0
		16	18		-	4															0	0	1	3	8	16	22	22	17	7	3	1	0
39		16	19		-	3																0	0	1	3	8	15	21	23	17	9	3	1	0	0
38		16	20		-	2																	0	0	0	1	4	11	20	23	21	13	5	1	0	0
37		15	20		-	3																			0	0	1	3	9	17	24	24	15	6	1	0
36		15	21		-	2																					0	0	2	7	15	25	26	17	6	1
35		14	21		-	3																						0	0	2	7	17	27	28	15	4
34		14	22		-	2																						0	0	0	2	8	20	32	28	10
33		13	22		-	3																								0	0	3	11	27	38	21
32		13	23		-	2																									0	1	5	19	41	35
31		12	23		-	3																										0	2	10	38	50
30		12	24		-	2																										0	1	4	32	63
29		11	24		-	3																											0	3	22	75
28		11	25		-	2																												1	16	83
27		10	25		-	3																													8	92
26		10	26		-	2																												0	5	94
25		9	26		-	3																												1	4	96
24		9	27		-	2																													4	96
4	-23																																			100

Total:							6	5	5	5	5	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	2	2	2	2	2	2	1