How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Tier III100.0*Average seed
Islanders 5 Ice Holes 2 *+0.1
Ice Floors 5 Turtles 1 -0.1
Dirty Skates 0 Wolverines 5 -0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Tier III100.0*Average seed
Wildcats vs Hussars+6.4+5.5+5.7-1.8-1.7-6.5
+0.6+0.5+0.6-0.2-0.3-0.6
-3.9-3.7-3.6+0.7+0.6+4.0
+0.6+0.6+0.6-0.2-0.2-0.7
Sharks vs Bruins-0.4-0.5*-0.4*+0.0*-0.2+0.4
-0.0-0.1*-0.1*+0.0*-0.0+0.0
R Rebels vs Sand Lions-0.1*-0.0*-0.1*+0.1*+0.1+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Wildcats finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresChance will finish regular season at seedTier
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy123456789101112131415IIICount
65-78InYes100No327*
64316-2In99.0%991No100*
62-63In98.0100No564*
61308-1In96.8991No650*
60298-2In93.9991No1,223*
59299-1In90.79730No2,014*
58289-2In84.99550No3,406*
572810-1In76.79280No5,645*
562710-2In65.387130No9,043*
552711-1In52.6801910No13,237*
542611-2In38.2712630No19,547*
532612-1In24.35934600No27,265*
522512-2In12.946401210No39,407*
512513-1In5.43244204000No51,328*
502413-2In1.62041299100No68,064*
492414-1In0.4103235184000No83,598*
482314-2100.0%0.04203528112000No104,962*
472315-1100.00.01926332281000No124,080*
462215-299.9No03132931185100No146,332*
452216-199.3No0151630291541000No163,137*
442116-295.9No0016183027134000No183,564*
432117-189.6No00292431239200No94,856
2016-378.7No001415292916410No97,094*
422017-260.1No0001820302511300No204,559*
412018-139.8No003112632207100No100,477
1917-323.4No001517302814400No103,013*
401918-211.4No00292432239200No111,744
1817-411.6No0029223023102000.0%93,596*
391919-14.2No004142931175100.095,713
1818-31.5No001822332510200.198,795*
381819-20.5No00313283218500.9185,362*
371820-10.1No000151832301325.9167,139*
361720-20.0No0018253624620.7150,843*
351721-1OutNo0031534351345.1128,119*
341621-2OutNo001726422469.5110,236*
331622-1OutNo00317433786.689,261*
321522-2OutNo0019395195.372,488*
311523-1OutNo005316498.755,101*
301423-2OutNo002237499.642,719*
291424-1OutNo01168399.930,734*
281324-2OutNo001189100.022,575*
271325-1OutNo0793100.015,447*
261225-2OutNo496Yes10,464*
251226-1OutNo0397Yes6,696*
241126-2OutNo298Yes4,408*
231127-1OutNo199Yes2,686*
221027-2OutNo199Yes1,697*
211028-1OutNo199Yes907*
20928-2OutNo0100Yes528*
0-19OutNo100Yes850*
Total:45.1%1.5%45566677778888916.4%3,145,600

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

WednesdayNone
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Wildcats vs Hussars-1.3-1.2-1.2+0.3+0.3+1.3

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
65-78100
64316-2991
63317-1982
62307-2982
61308-1973
60298-2946
59299-19191
58289-285151
572810-1772120
562710-2652950
552711-1533610100
542611-23841174000
532612-124392692000
522512-2133231176100
512513-152031251341000
502413-2292228231141000
492414-1031021262212410000
482314-20031019252213620000
472315-10002716232316831000
462215-2000151220231912520000
452216-100013715212217931000
442116-200014917222114731000
432117-1000151118232013620000
422017-20000261320221911520000
412018-1000141018232114620000
1917-300014101823211462000
401918-200013816222216831000
391919-10001271422241793100
1818-3001271522231783100
381819-200012714222318931000
371820-100001411202421125100
361720-200013918252314510
351721-10000381826251551
341621-200028192826133
331622-10013102332247
321522-20001414303516
311523-10017244028
301423-20003154042
291424-10193556
281324-200042868
271325-10022177
261225-2011585
251226-101090
241126-20694
231127-10496
221027-2298
211028-1298
20928-2199
19929-10100
0-18100
Total:222223333333333444444444444444