Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

Sports Club Stats, which I have open
in like seven browser tabs always
-Katie Baker

Bratislava Therapists Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.2 to 71%

4 points 2 0-0

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Wednesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Tier III
Ice Floors 5 Turtles 1	*+0.1		-0.1
Dirty Skates 0 Wolverines 5	*+0.1		*-0.1		*-0.0
Islanders 5 Ice Holes 2			*-0.0
Savage 3 Bombers 2			*-0.0
Segelviken 2 Golden Knights 3 (so)					*+0.1

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Tier III
Sharks vs Bruins	+0.4+0.1-0.2-0.5-0.3-0.4
R Rebels vs Sand Lions			-0.1+0.1+0.0+0.1-0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Therapists finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Pres		Chance will finish regular season at seed															Tier
TP		W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	III		Count

68	-80						In		Yes		100															No		385	*
67		31	6		-	1	In		99.4	%	99	1														No		170	*
66		30	6		-	2	In		Yes		100															No		344	*
65		30	7		-	1	In		99.7		100	0														No		614	*
64		29	7		-	2	In		99.7		100	0														No		1,174	*
63		29	8		-	1	In		99.1		100	0														No		1,921	*
62		28	8		-	2	In		98.2		99	1														No		3,414	*
61		28	9		-	1	In		96.7		99	1	0													No		5,350	*
60		27	9		-	2	In		95.0		98	2	0													No		8,895	*
59		27	10		-	1	In		91.1		96	4	0													No		13,211	*
58		26	10		-	2	In		85.4		93	7	0													No		20,496	*
57		26	11		-	1	In		77.3		88	11	0	0												No		28,555	*
56		25	11		-	2	In		67.4		83	16	1	0												No		40,632	*
55		25	12		-	1	In		53.7		74	24	2	0	0											No		53,070	*
54		24	12		-	2	In		39.5		63	32	5	0	0											No		71,143	*
53		24	13		-	1	In		24.6		50	39	10	1	0											No		87,625	*
52		23	13		-	2	In		13.1		37	44	17	3	0	0										No		110,658	*
51		23	14		-	1	In		5.5		24	43	25	6	1	0	0									No		128,342	*
50		22	14		-	2	In		1.6		14	37	33	14	3	0	0									No		152,920	*
49		22	15		-	1	In		0.3		6	26	36	23	7	1	0	0								No		168,338	*
48		21	15		-	2	100.0	%	0.0		2	15	32	32	15	4	0	0	0							No		189,198	*
47		21	16		-	1	100.0		0.0		1	8	24	34	23	8	1	0	0							No		105,194
		20	15		-	3	100.0		0.0		0	4	17	32	29	14	3	0	0							No		91,405	*
46		20	16		-	2	99.9		0.0		0	2	10	25	32	22	8	1	0	0						No		209,642	*
45		20	17		-	1	99.5		No		0	0	4	16	31	29	15	4	0	0	0					No		108,545
		19	16		-	3	98.4		No		0	0	2	9	25	32	22	8	1	0	0					No		97,192	*
44		19	17		-	2	95.3		No		0	0	0	4	16	30	30	15	4	1	0	0				No		114,020
		20	18		-	0	94.5		No			0	1	5	16	29	28	16	5	1	0					No		93,012	*
43		19	18		-	1	87.6		No			0	0	1	8	22	32	25	10	2	0	0				No		102,496
		18	17		-	3	76.5		No				0	0	3	14	28	31	17	5	1	0	0			No		90,844	*
42		18	18		-	2	58.9		No				0	0	1	7	20	31	26	12	3	0	0			No		184,004	*
41		18	19		-	1	31.7		No					0	0	2	8	22	31	24	10	2	0	0		No		162,579	*
40		17	19		-	2	12.4		No					0	0	0	2	10	24	32	22	8	1	0	0	0.0	%	147,255	*
39		17	20		-	1	3.3		No						0	0	0	3	12	27	32	19	6	1	0	0.0		123,449	*
38		16	20		-	2	0.6		No								0	1	4	16	31	30	15	3	0	0.9		105,812	*
37		16	21		-	1	0.1		No								0	0	1	7	22	33	26	9	1	6.0		83,181	*
36		15	21		-	2	0.0		No									0	0	2	11	28	35	19	4	20.9		67,054	*
35		15	22		-	1	Out		No										0	1	5	18	37	31	9	45.3		50,478	*
34		14	22		-	2	Out		No										0	0	1	10	30	40	18	70.5		38,546	*
33		14	23		-	1	Out		No										0	0	0	5	22	44	29	87.5		27,496	*
32		13	23		-	2	Out		No											0	0	2	14	43	41	95.3		20,080	*
31		13	24		-	1	Out		No												0	1	7	37	55	98.8		13,177	*
30		12	24		-	2	Out		No													0	4	30	66	99.7		8,975	*
29		12	25		-	1	Out		No													0	2	23	76	100.0		5,713	*
28		11	25		-	2	Out		No													0	1	15	85	100.0		3,711	*
27		11	26		-	1	Out		No														0	10	90	Yes		2,231	*
26		10	26		-	2	Out		No														0	7	92	Yes		1,322	*
25		10	27		-	1	Out		No															4	96	Yes		671	*
24		9	27		-	2	Out		No															1	99	Yes		396	*
4	-23						Out		No																100	Yes		665	*

Total:							71.0	%	6.5	%	11	10	10	9	9	8	7	7	6	6	5	4	4	3	2	4.8	%	3,145,600

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Wednesday	None

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday	100.0*	Lottery seed
R Rebels vs Sand Lions	-0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1*+0.0-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

68	-80						100
67		31	6		-	1	99	1
66		30	6		-	2	100
65		30	7		-	1	100	0
64		29	7		-	2	100	0
63		29	8		-	1	99	1
62		28	8		-	2	98	2
61		28	9		-	1	97	3	0
60		27	9		-	2	95	5	0
59		27	10		-	1	91	9	0	0
58		26	10		-	2	85	14	1	0	0
57		26	11		-	1	77	20	2	0
56		25	11		-	2	67	28	4	0	0
55		25	12		-	1	54	35	9	1	0	0
54		24	12		-	2	39	40	17	4	0	0	0
53		24	13		-	1	25	39	26	9	2	0	0	0
52		23	13		-	2	13	32	32	17	5	1	0	0
51		23	14		-	1	5	20	31	25	13	4	1	0	0
50		22	14		-	2	2	9	22	29	22	11	4	1	0	0	0
49		22	15		-	1	0	3	10	21	26	21	12	4	1	0	0	0
48		21	15		-	2	0	1	3	10	19	25	22	13	6	2	0	0	0	0
47		21	16		-	1	0	0	1	3	10	19	25	22	13	5	2	0	0	0	0
		20	15		-	3	0	0	0	1	5	12	21	25	19	11	4	1	0	0	0
46		20	16		-	2	0	0	0	0	1	5	12	20	23	20	12	5	2	0	0	0	0
45		20	17		-	1			0	0	0	1	4	10	19	24	21	13	6	2	0	0	0
		19	16		-	3				0	0	0	1	4	11	19	24	21	13	5	2	0	0	0	0
44		19	17		-	2					0	0	0	1	4	10	17	22	21	14	7	2	1	0	0	0	0
43		19	18		-	1						0	0	0	0	2	7	15	22	23	17	9	3	1	0	0
		18	17		-	3							0	0	0	1	2	7	15	22	23	17	9	3	1	0	0	0
42		18	18		-	2								0	0	0	0	2	6	13	20	23	19	11	5	1	0	0	0	0
41		18	19		-	1										0	0	0	1	2	7	14	21	22	17	10	4	1	0	0	0
40		17	19		-	2												0	0	0	1	3	9	16	22	22	15	8	3	1	0	0	0
39		17	20		-	1														0	0	0	1	4	11	19	23	21	13	6	2	0	0	0
38		16	20		-	2															0	0	0	1	2	7	15	22	23	17	9	3	1	0	0
37		16	21		-	1																	0	0	0	1	4	11	20	24	21	12	5	1	0	0
36		15	21		-	2																			0	0	1	3	9	18	25	23	14	5	1	0
35		15	22		-	1																				0	0	1	3	8	18	26	25	15	5	1
34		14	22		-	2																					0	0	0	2	8	19	28	26	13	3
33		14	23		-	1																							0	0	3	9	23	32	25	8
32		13	23		-	2																							0	0	1	4	14	31	34	17
31		13	24		-	1																								0	0	1	6	22	40	30
30		12	24		-	2																									0	0	3	14	40	43
29		12	25		-	1																										0	1	8	34	57
28		11	25		-	2																										0	0	4	26	70
27		11	26		-	1																											0	1	17	81
26		10	26		-	2																												1	12	87
25		10	27		-	1																												0	10	90
24		9	27		-	2																													5	95
23		9	28		-	1																													3	97
4	-22																																			100

Total:							6	6	6	5	5	5	5	4	4	4	4	4	4	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	1	1	1