SPORTS CLUB STATS

Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

Sometimes I
forget the point

Rexdale Rebels Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.2 to 54.4%

0 points 0 0-0

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How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Wednesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Tier III	100.0*	Average seed
Islanders 5 Ice Holes 2	*+0.1
Dirty Skates 0 Wolverines 5					-0.1
Ice Floors 5 Turtles 1					-0.1
H Rebels 11 Flatpacks 1					-0.1

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Tier III	100.0*	Average seed
R Rebels vs Sand Lions	+5.9+5.5+5.7-1.9-2.0-6.9		+0.9+0.8+0.9-0.4-0.4-1.0		-3.0-2.7-3.0+0.7+0.7+3.5		+0.6+0.6+0.6-0.2-0.2-0.7
Sharks vs Bruins	-0.4-0.3-0.3-0.2+0.4+0.4
Wildcats vs Hussars	+0.0-0.4-0.5-0.5-0.6+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the R Rebels finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Pres		Chance will finish regular season at seed															Tier
TP		W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	III		Count

63	-80						In		99.6	%	100															No		1,397	*
62		30	8		-	2	In		97.4		100	0														No		1,004	*
61		30	9		-	1	In		96.6		99	1														No		1,696	*
60		29	9		-	2	In		94.7		99	1														No		3,042	*
59		29	10		-	1	In		90.2		97	3														No		4,688	*
58		28	10		-	2	In		84.9		95	5	0													No		7,506	*
57		28	11		-	1	In		76.4		92	8	0													No		11,398	*
56		27	11		-	2	In		65.6		87	12	1	0												No		16,919	*
55		27	12		-	1	In		51.9		80	19	1	0												No		23,858	*
54		26	12		-	2	In		37.9		71	26	3	0												No		34,488	*
53		26	13		-	1	In		24.0		59	34	6	0	0											No		45,094	*
52		25	13		-	2	In		12.5		46	41	12	1	0											No		60,254	*
51		25	14		-	1	In		5.1		32	44	20	4	0	0										No		76,053	*
50		24	14		-	2	In		1.5		20	41	29	9	1	0	0									No		95,796	*
49		24	15		-	1	In		0.3		10	31	36	18	4	1	0	0								No		113,282	*
48		23	15		-	2	In		0.0		4	19	34	28	11	2	0	0								No		136,311	*
47		23	16		-	1	100.0	%	0.0		1	9	25	33	22	8	1	0	0							No		152,122	*
46		22	16		-	2	99.9		No		0	3	14	28	31	18	5	1	0	0						No		173,505	*
45		22	17		-	1	99.7		No		0	1	6	20	32	26	11	2	0	0						No		89,823
		21	16		-	3	99.0		No		0	0	3	13	27	31	19	6	1	0	0					No		94,415	*
44		21	17		-	2	96.4		No			0	1	6	19	31	27	13	3	0	0	0				No		107,979
		20	16		-	4	95.1		No		0	0	1	6	18	29	27	14	4	1	0	0				No		90,185	*
43		21	18		-	1	89.6		No			0	0	2	9	24	31	23	9	2	0	0				No		96,923
		20	17		-	3	78.8		No				0	1	4	15	29	29	16	5	1	0	0			No		102,835	*
42		20	18		-	2	60.1		No				0	0	1	8	21	30	25	11	3	0	0	0		No		204,564	*
41		20	19		-	1	39.9		No					0	0	3	11	26	31	20	7	1	0	0		No		94,605
		19	18		-	3	23.8		No						0	1	5	17	30	28	14	4	0	0	0	No		101,442	*
40		19	19		-	2	11.4		No						0	0	2	9	24	32	23	8	1	0	0	No		103,891
		18	18		-	4	11.6		No						0	0	2	9	22	30	24	10	2	0	0	0.0	%	87,336	*
39		19	20		-	1	4.1		No						0	0	1	4	14	29	31	17	5	1	0	0.0		84,417
		18	19		-	3	1.6		No							0	0	1	8	22	33	25	10	2	0	0.1		89,282	*
38		18	20		-	2	0.5		No							0	0	0	3	13	28	32	18	5	0	0.9		159,819	*
37		18	21		-	1	0.1		No								0	0	1	5	18	32	30	13	2	6.0		138,973	*
36		17	21		-	2	0.0		No									0	0	1	8	24	36	24	6	21.0		120,862	*
35		17	22		-	1	Out		No										0	0	3	14	34	35	13	45.5		98,690	*
34		16	22		-	2	Out		No										0	0	1	7	26	43	24	70.1		82,409	*
33		16	23		-	1	Out		No											0	0	3	17	43	37	86.8		63,929	*
32		15	23		-	2	Out		No												0	1	10	38	51	95.4		51,062	*
31		15	24		-	1	Out		No													0	5	31	64	98.7		37,575	*
30		14	24		-	2	Out		No													0	2	23	74	99.6		27,914	*
29		14	25		-	1	Out		No													0	1	16	83	99.9		19,618	*
28		13	25		-	2	Out		No													0	0	11	89	100.0		13,945	*
27		13	26		-	1	Out		No														0	7	93	100.0		8,937	*
26		12	26		-	2	Out		No														0	4	96	Yes		6,082	*
25		12	27		-	1	Out		No															2	98	Yes		3,813	*
24		11	27		-	2	Out		No															1	99	Yes		2,392	*
23		11	28		-	1	Out		No															1	99	Yes		1,380	*
22		10	28		-	2	Out		No															0	100	Yes		864	*
21		10	29		-	1	Out		No															0	100	Yes		446	*
0	-20						Out		No																100	Yes		780	*

Total:							54.4	%	2.8	%	6	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	6	6	6	11.6	%	3,145,600

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Wednesday	None

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday	100.0*	Lottery seed
R Rebels vs Sand Lions	-1.2-1.2-1.2+0.4+0.4+1.4

What If

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

64	-80						100
63		31	8		-	1	99	1
62		30	8		-	2	97	3
61		30	9		-	1	97	3
60		29	9		-	2	95	5	0
59		29	10		-	1	90	9	0
58		28	10		-	2	85	14	1	0
57		28	11		-	1	76	21	2	0	0
56		27	11		-	2	66	29	5	0	0
55		27	12		-	1	52	37	9	1	0	0
54		26	12		-	2	38	41	17	4	0	0
53		26	13		-	1	24	39	26	9	2	0	0
52		25	13		-	2	12	31	32	17	6	1	0	0
51		25	14		-	1	5	19	30	26	14	4	1	0	0	0
50		24	14		-	2	2	9	22	28	23	12	4	1	0	0	0
49		24	15		-	1	0	3	10	21	26	22	12	4	1	0	0	0
48		23	15		-	2	0	1	3	9	19	25	22	14	6	2	0	0	0
47		23	16		-	1	0	0	0	2	7	16	23	23	16	8	3	1	0	0	0
46		22	16		-	2		0	0	0	1	5	12	20	24	20	12	5	1	0	0	0	0
		21	15		-	4		0	0	0	2	5	11	19	22	20	13	6	2	1	0	0
45		22	17		-	1			0	0	0	1	4	10	19	24	21	13	6	2	0	0	0
		21	16		-	3				0	0	0	1	4	11	19	24	20	12	6	2	0	0	0
44		21	17		-	2						0	0	1	4	9	17	22	21	15	7	3	1	0	0	0	0
43		21	18		-	1					0	0	0	0	1	2	7	15	22	23	17	9	3	1	0	0	0
		20	17		-	3								0	0	0	2	7	15	22	23	17	9	3	1	0	0
42		20	18		-	2								0	0	0	0	2	6	12	20	23	19	12	5	2	0	0	0	0
41		20	19		-	1											0	0	1	3	8	16	22	21	16	8	3	1	0	0	0	0
		19	18		-	3										0	0	0	0	1	4	11	19	24	21	13	5	2	0	0	0
40		19	19		-	2											0	0	0	0	1	3	8	16	22	22	16	8	3	1	0	0	0
39		19	20		-	1														0	0	0	2	7	14	22	24	18	9	3	1	0	0
		18	19		-	3														0	0	0	1	2	7	15	22	23	17	8	3	1	0	0
38		18	20		-	2																0	0	1	2	7	14	22	23	18	9	3	1	0	0
37		18	21		-	1																	0	0	0	1	4	11	19	24	21	12	5	1	0	0
36		17	21		-	2																			0	0	1	3	9	18	25	23	14	5	1	0
35		17	22		-	1																				0	0	1	2	8	17	26	25	15	5	1
34		16	22		-	2																					0	0	0	2	8	19	28	26	13	3
33		16	23		-	1																						0	0	0	3	10	23	32	25	7
32		15	23		-	2																								0	1	4	14	30	35	16
31		15	24		-	1																								0	0	1	7	23	40	28
30		14	24		-	2																									0	0	3	15	40	42
29		14	25		-	1																									0	0	1	8	34	56
28		13	25		-	2																										0	0	4	27	69
27		13	26		-	1																										0	0	2	20	78
26		12	26		-	2																												1	14	85
25		12	27		-	1																												0	9	91
24		11	27		-	2																												0	6	94
23		11	28		-	1																													3	97
22		10	28		-	2																													2	98
21		10	29		-	1																													1	99
0	-20																																			100

Total:							3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	3	4	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3