"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Tier III100.0*Average seed
Segelviken 2 Golden Knights 3 (so)*-0.1
*+0.1
H Rebels 11 Flatpacks 1 *+0.1
-0.1
Ice Floors 5 Turtles 1 *+0.1
Dirty Skates 0 Wolverines 5 -0.1
-0.1
Islanders 5 Ice Holes 2 -0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Tier III100.0*Average seed
IceMan vs Creoles+5.9+5.6+5.5-1.7-1.5-6.3
+1.4+1.4+1.2-0.6-0.6-1.5
-2.1-1.9-2.0+0.4+0.3+2.3
+0.6+0.6+0.6-0.2-0.2-0.7
Sharks vs Bruins+0.5*-0.0*-0.2*-0.1-0.6-0.4
+0.1*-0.0*-0.0*-0.0*-0.0-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the IceMan finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresChance will finish regular season at seedTier
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy123456789101112131415IIICount
65-80In99.9%100No879*
64307-2In99.31000No684*
63308-1In99.41000No1,085*
62298-2In97.9991No2,067*
61299-1In96.8991No3,392*
60289-2In94.19730No5,564*
592810-1In91.19640No8,497*
582710-2In85.59370No13,509*
572711-1In77.088110No19,588*
562611-2In66.6821710No28,219*
552612-1In53.5732420No37,865*
542512-2In39.26332500No52,445*
532513-1In24.850391010No66,448*
522413-2In13.1374417300No86,278*
512414-1In5.42443267100No103,868*
502314-2In1.613363414300No127,758*
492315-1In0.362537237100No143,952*
482215-2In0.0214323216410No167,545*
472216-1100.0%0.01620332611200No179,254*
462116-299.9No0192533228100No107,431
2217-099.8No02102432228200No88,619*
452117-199.5No004163130154100No102,648
2016-398.4No0292432238100No97,685*
442017-294.7No0014162929165100No207,798*
432018-187.4No001821322510200No102,888
1917-376.1No000313283118510No98,901*
421918-258.8No01620322711200No108,069
2019-057.7No001719302613300No89,364*
411919-138.4No0002112532217100No92,305
1818-323.8No001518312813300No89,288*
401819-212.2No0021024322281000.0%169,817*
391820-13.3No003122732196100.1148,029*
381720-20.7No001416303015300.8130,645*
371721-10.1No00172134261015.9108,185*
361621-20.0No00211293519420.590,132*
351622-1OutNo015193631945.570,532*
341522-2OutNo0021031401769.755,816*
331523-1OutNo01522442986.941,144*
321423-2OutNo00214424195.331,700*
311424-1OutNo0018375498.722,010*
301324-2OutNo04296699.615,625*
291325-1OutNo022277100.010,287*
281225-2OutNo011683100.06,808*
271226-1OutNo01189Yes4,328*
261126-2OutNo0693Yes2,683*
251127-1OutNo496Yes1,598*
241027-2OutNo397Yes942*
231028-1OutNo298Yes547*
22928-2OutNo199Yes309*
2-21OutNo100Yes570*
Total:63.7%4.6%8888888776655437.3%3,145,600

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

WednesdayNone
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
IceMan vs Creoles-1.3-1.2-1.2+0.4+0.3+1.4

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
67-80100
66316-2991
65317-1100
64307-2991
63308-1991
62298-2982
61299-19730
60289-29460
592810-191900
582710-2851410
572711-1772120
562611-26728500
552612-1543610100
542512-2394016400
532513-12539259200
522413-21332321751000
512414-15203126134100
502314-229222823124100
492315-103102126211241000
482215-20031019252213620000
472216-10002716232316831000
462116-2000151220232012520000
452117-100013715222217941000
442017-2000141017222114731000
432018-100012715222317931000
1917-30012715222317931000
421918-2000026132023191152000
411919-1000127142123171041000
401819-200013916222216831000
391820-10000141119232013620000
381720-20012715222317931000
371721-10001511202421125100
361621-200013918252314510
351622-1001281826251551
341522-200028192826133
331523-10013102332248
321423-201414293517
311424-10017234129
301324-2003144043
291325-10173458
281225-20042769
271226-1021979
261126-211386
251127-10792
241027-20595
231028-1595
22928-2298
21929-1199
20829-2199
2-19100
Total:544444444444444333333333222221