How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Tier III100.0*Average seed
H Rebels 11 Flatpacks 1 +5.8
+1.4
-2.3
+0.6
Segelviken 2 Golden Knights 3 (so)*-0.2
Ice Floors 5 Turtles 1 *+0.1
-0.1
-0.1
Dirty Skates 0 Wolverines 5 -0.1
Islanders 5 Ice Holes 2 -0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Tier III100.0*Average seed
Sharks vs Bruins+0.4*+0.1*+0.0*-0.4*-0.3-0.3
+0.0*+0.0*+0.0-0.1*-0.0-0.0
Dynamo vs Lumberjacks*+0.0-0.6-0.8*-0.2*-0.3*+0.1
+0.0-0.0*-0.1*-0.0-0.0*+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the H Rebels finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresChance will finish regular season at seedTier
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy123456789101112131415IIICount
66-80InYes100No1,296*
65307-1In99.6%1000No960*
64297-2In99.81000No1,734*
63298-1In99.1991No2,893*
62288-2In98.6991No4,993*
61289-1In96.8991No7,769*
60279-2In95.19820No12,701*
592710-1In91.19640No18,097*
582610-2In86.19370No27,109*
572611-1In78.3891100No36,626*
562511-2In67.8831610No51,526*
552512-1In54.87523200No65,089*
542412-2In40.36531500No86,391*
532413-1In25.75238910No103,173*
522313-2In13.9384316200No128,059*
512314-1In5.82543256100No144,314*
502214-2In1.815373313200No168,198*
492215-1In0.58303720510No100,319
2114-3In0.25233626910No81,089*
482115-2In0.0215333215300No109,912
2216-0100.0%0.13163230154100No90,201*
472116-1100.00.0182534238100No111,423
2015-3100.00.00417322913300No91,517*
462016-299.9No02102632217100No212,536*
452017-199.5No01417312914400No110,886
1916-398.5No002102532228100No92,788*
441917-295.1No0015163029154100No200,981*
431918-188.1No01822322510200No99,309
1817-376.8No00314293017510No83,423*
421818-259.9No0017203126113000No170,650*
411819-132.3No002822312410200No147,742*
401719-212.6No0021024322281000.0%130,575*
391720-13.4No003122732196100.1106,790*
381620-20.6No0001416313015300.889,429*
371621-10.1No0017213327915.869,024*
361521-20.0No00211293519420.654,888*
351522-10.0No0015193631944.839,803*
341422-2OutNo0021031401869.729,934*
331423-1OutNo00422442986.920,470*
321323-2OutNo00214424295.314,766*
311324-1OutNo017365698.89,613*
301224-2OutNo04296799.76,483*
291225-1OutNo02227699.94,005*
281125-2OutNo11684100.02,491*
271126-1OutNo01189Yes1,456*
261026-2OutNo793Yes896*
251027-1OutNo496Yes494*
24927-2OutNo298Yes266*
23928-1OutNo199Yes113*
4-22OutNo100Yes400*
Total:75.4%8.3%14121110987665443213.6%3,145,600

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
H Rebels 11 Flatpacks 1 -1.2
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Wildcats vs Hussars*-0.0+0.0*+0.0*+0.1-0.0*+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
66-80100
65307-11000
64297-21000
63298-1991
62288-2991
61289-19730
60279-29550
592710-191900
582610-2861310
572611-17820200
562511-26827400
552512-155359100
542412-24040163000
532413-12639258200
522313-21432311651000
512314-162131251241000
502214-2210222822114100
492215-103112226211141000
482115-2013102025211352000
472116-10014102025211351000
2015-300015122124191041000
462016-200015122024201141000
2117-000261320221811520000
452017-1000141119242113620000
1916-300141120232012510000
441917-200014101823221462000
2018-000015111721201473100
431918-1000251219232012620000
421818-20001261320231811510000
411819-100137142122171041000
401719-200013916222215831000
391720-100015111923201362000
381620-20001371522231793100
371621-10001511202421125100
361521-200013918252314510
351522-101381826251551
341422-200128192826133
331423-10003102332248
321323-201414313417
311324-10016234029
301224-2003144043
291225-10183357
281125-20042769
271126-1022177
261026-211485
251027-100990
24927-20396
23928-1496
22828-2199
4-21100
Total:876655554444333333222222211111