How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Tier II100.0*Average seed
Narwhals 2 Owls 4 -0.4
*-0.1
-0.0
Pharaohs 9 Northern Brewers 2 *+0.1
Guardians 0 Knights 8 -0.0
-0.1
Gunners 3 Diggers 1 -0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Tier II100.0*Average seed
Miners vs Mad Cats*+0.0*-0.3-0.6-0.6-0.5+0.1
*+0.0*+0.1*+0.3*+0.2+0.2-0.1
*+0.0-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0
Anchors vs Red Wings*+0.0*-0.1-0.5*-0.4-0.4*+0.1
Creamless Oreos vs Owls*+0.1-0.6*-0.2*-0.1-0.5*+0.1
+0.0-0.1*-0.0*-0.0*-0.0+0.0
Crusaders vs Juggernauts*+0.0-0.6*-0.3-0.4*-0.3*+0.1
Hellhounds vs Night Hawks*+0.0-0.4-0.4*-0.3*+0.1*+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Yellow Kings finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy123456789101112131415Tier IICount
65-80In99.9%100No759*
64317-2In99.31000No418*
63307-3In98.61000No778*
62308-2In97.5991No1,505*
61298-3In96.1982No2,517*
60299-2In93.5982No4,349*
59289-3In89.09730No6,822*
582810-2In83.09460No10,865*
572710-3In73.89190No16,576*
562711-2In61.4841510No24,208*
552611-3In47.47622200No34,064*
542612-2In32.46530400No47,254*
532512-3In18.852389100No62,909*
522513-2In8.8384317300No81,887*
512413-3In3.12443267100No102,951*
502414-2In0.813353415300No126,755*
492314-3100.0%0.1523362592000No150,893*
482315-2100.00.02122832196100No176,044*
472215-399.9No04163029154100No197,322*
462216-299.7No018223325102000No99,420
2115-499.2No015172928155100No117,382*
452116-396.4No016203126123000No117,824*
2217-196.7No002822302411300No113,930*
442117-285.7No0028213024113000No242,200*
432017-362.6No002821312410200No113,652
2118-162.8No0029222923113000No131,214*
422018-239.6No003112531217100No109,703
1917-428.4No0027193026123000No131,810*
411918-312.2No0002102331239200No233,079*
401919-23.1No0003112531217100.0%218,426*
391819-30.5No000313283118500.7197,885*
381820-20.1No00151732301325.3176,025*
371720-30.0No0018243625619.5152,147*
361721-20.0No00031433361444.1128,080*
351621-3OutNo001625432569.6105,145*
341622-2OutNo00216423986.983,980*
331522-3OutNo019385395.665,181*
321523-2OutNo004306698.849,206*
311423-3OutNo02227699.736,370*
301424-2OutNo01158499.926,049*
291324-3OutNo001090100.017,998*
281325-2OutNo0694Yes12,093*
271225-3OutNo0397Yes8,124*
261226-2OutNo0298Yes5,036*
251126-3OutNo199Yes3,178*
241127-2OutNo199Yes1,831*
231027-3OutNo0100Yes1,054*
221028-2OutNo0100Yes674*
21928-3OutNo0100Yes327*
0-20OutNo100Yes641*
Total:52.5%2.9%66777777777777712.5%3,748,540

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Monday100.0*Lottery seed
Panthers 4 Camels 0 *-0.0
Black Flag 5 Car Stealer 7 *-0.0
Guardians 0 Knights 8 -0.0
TuesdayNone

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
67-80100
66326-2991
65327-1100
64317-2991
63307-3991
62308-2982
61298-3964
60299-29460
59289-389110
582810-2831610
572710-3742330
562711-26132610
552611-3473812200
542612-23241205100
532512-3193729123000
522513-2926332192000
512413-331427281872000
502414-2151626261782000
492314-301615232518931000
482315-200151221241911510000
472215-30013917232215731000
462216-20000251219232012520000
452116-3000127142022181041000
442117-200013815212216941000
432017-3000013916212115831000
422018-20000141017222115731000
411918-3000015111822201362000
401919-20000126132023191151000
391819-30001381622221683100
381820-200002512202420114100
371720-300141019252313510
361721-2001381826251451
351621-300038192826133
341622-20013102332248
331522-3001414303517
321523-20017224029
311423-3003144043
301424-20183458
291324-30042769
281325-2021979
271225-311287
261226-20892
251126-30595
241127-20397
231027-3199
221028-2298
21928-3199
19-20100
18830-2298
0-17100
Total:333333333333333333333333333333