How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Tier II100.0*Average seed
Stars 2 Guardians 5 -0.2
+8.0
-0.2
Panthers 4 Seals 3 -0.2
Seagulls 6 Red Wings 2 +1.1
Pharaohs 1 Fortress 2 -1.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Tier II100.0*Average seed
Stars vs Guardians+0.2+0.2+0.1-0.0-0.1-0.1
-9.8-10.0-9.7+0.5+0.7+7.7
+0.3+0.3+0.3-0.0-0.0-0.2
Highlanders vs Seals+0.8+1.0+1.1*-0.1*-0.0-0.9
-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.0
Panthers vs Stabbers-0.9*+0.1*-0.0+1.2+1.3+1.3
+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1
Pharaohs vs Seagulls*-0.1+0.6+0.7+0.8+0.7-0.3

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Stars finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy123456789101112131415Tier IICount
49180-0InNo1113440122No490
48170-1InNo60102010No10
47171-098.3%No519532022No59*
46161-195.4No02113333175No240*
45151-284.4No02153433132No660*
44152-164.4No00621372880No1,820*
43142-241.1No11030391820No4,972*
42143-121.2No0318383370No11,224*
41133-27.9No01730441710No23,263*
40134-12.4No02174531500No43,732*
39124-20.5No00736431210No77,716*
38125-10.1No02234824300.0%124,643*
37115-20.0No011243378000.1192,301*
36116-1OutNo06354414100.3129,364
105-3OutNo04284720200.9139,054*
35106-2OutNo02204728302.8202,293
95-4OutNo01144435505.281,718
117-0OutNo02224627302.475,613*
34107-1OutNo01114239708.4204,121
96-3OutNo007364511114.5238,022*
3397-2OutNo004284917127.0291,318
86-4OutNo02225122236.6122,936
108-0OutNo05304816124.3107,374*
3298-1OutNo02185026345.4259,193
87-3OutNo01134832557.4308,576*
3188-2OutNo0084340972.6331,371
77-4OutNo0538451381.0160,160*
99-0OutNo00104636766.1101,852
3089-1OutNo0434471586.0261,033
78-3OutNo0228492091.1310,197*
2979-2OutNo0121502895.9295,309
68-4OutNo0117493397.6123,233
810-0OutNo0123502694.7108,690*
28710-1OutNo0014483898.5209,538
69-3OutNo010444599.3238,950*
27610-2OutNo06395499.8206,236
59-4OutNo05356099.981,934
711-0OutNo08415299.677,540*
26611-1OutNo04326499.9133,483
510-3OutNo022771100.0141,189*
25511-2OutNo012178100.0197,219*
24512-1OutNo01486Yes129,017*
23412-2OutNo0892Yes80,752*
22413-1OutNo0595Yes45,792*
21313-2OutNo0298Yes24,609*
20314-1OutNo199Yes11,658*
19214-2OutNo0100Yes5,381*
18215-1OutNo0100Yes2,041*
17115-2OutNo0100Yes721*
13-16OutNo100Yes783*
Total:0.2%No00000001271526272359.8%5,919,400

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Monday100.0*Lottery seed
Stars 2 Guardians 5 +0.5
Seagulls 6 Red Wings 2 +0.1
Pharaohs 1 Fortress 2 -0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Stars vs Guardians-0.6-0.6-0.6+0.0+0.1+0.5
Panthers vs Stabbers-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Highlanders vs Seals+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0
Pharaohs vs Seagulls-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.0-0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
49180-01172227261141
48170-11030202020
47171-023152025151072
46161-102814302414710
45151-201512242520941
44152-1012919272314410
43142-20027172626155100
42143-1001515262717610
41133-2001414252919710
40134-10014132629197100
39124-20014132630187100
38125-10014142729186100
37115-20015162929165100
104-4015152728176100
36116-1001720312612300
105-3001414273018610
35106-20001720312712200
95-4001618302814300
34107-10002102532227100
96-3001619322812200
3397-2000211263320610
86-40017213426920
108-000313283218510
3298-100141733291330
87-30021129341950
3188-20016213527101
77-4003163332142
99-0001824352371
3089-1002123035183
78-3000182537246
2979-200418363210
68-400214333614
810-00052036309
28710-100110304018
69-3017264225
27610-2003194335
59-4003184236
26611-101124047
510-30183655
25511-20053065
410-40042966
24512-1022078
23412-2011387
22413-10793
21313-20496
20314-10298
19214-2199
18215-10100
17115-20100
13-16100
Total:00000000000000011235791214161614