San Baliaragato Speculum Playoff Chances 50/50

Season start, playoff odds unchanged at 53.3%

0 points 0 0-0

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Sunday	None

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Narwhals vs Owls	+0.5-0.1+0.1*-0.4-0.5-0.4		+0.0-0.0+0.0*-0.0-0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Speculum finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Pres		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	Tier II		Count

64	-80						In		99.7	%	100															No		1,174	*
63		31	8		-	1	In		99.5		100	0														No		887	*
62		30	8		-	2	In		98.6		100	0														No		1,582	*
61		29	8		-	3	In		97.4		99	1														No		2,668	*
60		29	9		-	2	In		95.1		98	2														No		4,315	*
59		28	9		-	3	In		91.7		97	3	0													No		6,985	*
58		28	10		-	2	In		86.3		95	5	0													No		11,244	*
57		27	10		-	3	In		78.8		91	9	0	0												No		17,048	*
56		27	11		-	2	In		68.1		86	14	1	0												No		25,153	*
55		26	11		-	3	In		53.9		77	21	2	0	0											No		35,369	*
54		26	12		-	2	In		39.2		67	28	4	0	0											No		49,173	*
53		25	12		-	3	In		24.1		55	37	8	1	0											No		64,823	*
52		25	13		-	2	In		12.1		40	42	15	2	0	0	0									No		84,722	*
51		24	13		-	3	In		4.7		26	43	24	6	1	0										No		106,194	*
50		24	14		-	2	In		1.2		14	37	33	13	3	0	0									No		130,607	*
49		23	14		-	3	100.0	%	0.2		6	25	36	23	8	1	0	0	0							No		155,623	*
48		23	15		-	2	100.0		0.0		2	13	30	32	17	5	1	0	0							No		181,427	*
47		22	15		-	3	100.0		No		0	4	18	32	29	14	3	0	0	0						No		95,105
		23	16		-	1	99.9		0.0		1	5	18	31	27	14	4	1	0							No		108,440	*
46		22	16		-	2	99.8		No		0	1	9	24	32	23	9	2	0	0	0					No		102,493
		21	15		-	4	99.4		No		0	1	6	18	30	27	14	4	1	0						No		121,489	*
45		21	16		-	3	97.4		No		0	0	1	8	22	32	24	10	2	0	0					No		111,412
		22	17		-	1	96.8		No		0	0	2	9	22	30	23	10	3	0	0	0				No		126,766	*
44		21	17		-	2	92.2		No			0	0	3	12	27	30	19	7	1	0	0				No		135,047	*
		20	16		-	4	82.3		No				0	1	6	18	30	27	14	4	1	0	0			No		113,019	*
43		20	17		-	3	65.3		No			0	0	0	2	10	23	30	23	10	2	0	0	0		No		250,974	*
42		20	18		-	2	44.2		No					0	0	4	13	27	30	18	6	1	0			No		134,880	*
		19	17		-	4	26.6		No					0	0	1	6	19	30	27	13	3	0	0		No		114,025	*
41		19	18		-	3	13.8		No					0	0	0	3	11	24	30	22	8	2	0	0	0.0	%	238,227	*
40		19	19		-	2	4.7		No							0	1	4	15	28	30	17	5	1	0	0.0		100,294
		18	18		-	4	2.8		No						0	0	0	2	10	23	31	23	8	1	0	0.1		122,489	*
39		18	19		-	3	0.4		No								0	0	3	13	28	32	18	5	0	1.1		103,018	*
		19	20		-	1	0.8		No							0	0	1	5	15	29	30	16	4	0	1.1		99,642	*
38		18	20		-	2	0.1		No								0	0	1	5	18	32	29	12	2	7.5		180,866	*
37		17	20		-	3	0.0		No									0	0	2	8	24	36	24	6	25.2		155,216	*
36		17	21		-	2	0.0		No									0	0	0	3	14	33	36	13	52.5		131,415	*
35		16	21		-	3	Out		No										0	0	1	7	25	42	25	76.4		107,554	*
34		16	22		-	2	Out		No											0	0	3	16	43	38	91.0		85,419	*
33		15	22		-	3	Out		No											0	0	1	9	38	52	97.2		66,413	*
32		15	23		-	2	Out		No												0	0	4	30	65	99.4		50,353	*
31		14	23		-	3	Out		No													0	2	22	76	99.9		36,959	*
30		14	24		-	2	Out		No													0	1	15	84	100.0		26,531	*
29		13	24		-	3	Out		No													0	0	10	90	100.0		18,386	*
28		13	25		-	2	Out		No														0	6	94	Yes		12,596	*
27		12	25		-	3	Out		No														0	4	96	Yes		7,957	*
26		12	26		-	2	Out		No															2	98	Yes		5,182	*
25		11	26		-	3	Out		No															2	98	Yes		3,254	*
24		11	27		-	2	Out		No															1	99	Yes		1,982	*
23		10	27		-	3	Out		No															0	100	Yes		1,100	*
0	-22						Out		No																100	Yes		1,643	*

Total:							53.3	%	3.3	%	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	13.4	%	3,849,140

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sunday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Panthers vs Guardians	-0.0+0.1-0.0-0.0+0.0-0.0

Monday	None

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

66	-80						100
65		31	6		-	3	100	0
64		31	7		-	2	100	0
63		31	8		-	1	100	0
62		30	8		-	2	99	1
61		29	8		-	3	97	3
60		29	9		-	2	95	5	0
59		28	9		-	3	92	8	0
58		28	10		-	2	86	13	1
57		27	10		-	3	79	19	2	0	0
56		27	11		-	2	68	27	4	0	0
55		26	11		-	3	54	36	9	1	0	0
54		26	12		-	2	39	40	17	4	0	0
53		25	12		-	3	24	39	25	9	2	0	0	0
52		25	13		-	2	12	30	32	18	6	1	0	0	0
51		24	13		-	3	5	18	30	26	15	5	1	0	0	0	0
50		24	14		-	2	1	7	19	27	24	14	6	1	0	0	0
49		23	14		-	3	0	2	8	18	25	23	15	7	2	0	0	0	0
48		23	15		-	2	0	0	2	6	15	22	23	18	9	3	1	0	0	0
47		22	15		-	3	0	0	0	1	4	10	19	23	20	13	6	2	1	0	0	0	0
46		22	16		-	2			0	0	0	2	6	13	20	22	18	11	5	1	0	0	0	0
45		21	16		-	3				0	0	0	1	3	8	15	21	22	17	9	4	1	0	0	0		0
44		21	17		-	2						0	0	0	2	5	12	20	23	19	12	5	2	0	0	0
		20	16		-	4							0	0	0	1	4	11	19	23	21	13	6	2	0	0	0	0
43		20	17		-	3								0	0	0	1	3	8	16	22	22	16	8	3	1	0	0
		21	18		-	1								0	0	0	1	4	9	16	20	20	15	9	4	1	0	0	0
42		20	18		-	2										0	0	0	2	6	13	20	23	19	11	5	1	0	0	0
		19	17		-	4											0	0	0	2	5	12	19	23	20	12	5	2	0	0	0
41		19	18		-	3												0	0	0	1	4	10	17	22	21	14	7	3	1	0	0	0
40		19	19		-	2														0	0	1	2	6	14	22	23	18	9	4	1	0	0	0
		18	18		-	4													0	0	0	0	1	4	9	16	22	22	15	8	3	1	0	0
39		18	19		-	3															0	0	0	1	2	7	14	21	23	18	10	4	1	0	0	0
38		18	20		-	2																0	0	0	0	1	4	10	18	24	22	14	6	2	0	0
37		17	20		-	3																		0	0	0	1	2	7	16	24	24	16	7	2	0
36		17	21		-	2																		0		0	0	0	2	6	15	25	27	18	7	1
35		16	21		-	3																					0	0	0	2	6	16	27	28	17	4
34		16	22		-	2																							0	0	2	7	19	32	29	11
33		15	22		-	3																							0	0	0	2	10	27	38	22
32		15	23		-	2																								0	0	1	4	18	40	36
31		14	23		-	3																									0	0	2	11	37	51
30		14	24		-	2																										0	1	5	29	65
29		13	24		-	3																										0	0	2	21	76
28		13	25		-	2																											0	1	14	85
27		12	25		-	3																											0	0	9	90
26		12	26		-	2																												0	6	94
25		11	26		-	3																												0	4	96
24		11	27		-	2																													2	98
23		10	27		-	3																													1	99
22		10	28		-	2																													0	100
0	-21																																			100

Total:							3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3