Denver Rioters Playoff Chances 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.3 to 31.9%

12 points 6 8-0

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Thursday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Tier II	100.0*	Average seed
Eskimos 2 Anchors 6	-0.4				+0.2
Zambronies 3 Speculum 5	+0.2
Night Hawks 3 Juggernauts 5	*+0.1
Creamless Oreos 6 Hipsters 4	*+0.1
Colts 4 HC Stratovarius 5					+0.4
Seals 2 Gunners 3					*-0.1

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Tier II	100.0*	Average seed
Rioters vs Creamless Oreos	+7.0+6.1+5.8-2.7-2.4-7.4		+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1		-4.2-4.3-3.9+0.8+0.5+4.7		+0.6+0.6+0.5-0.2-0.2-0.7
Crusaders vs Fortress	+0.6+0.1+0.0-1.0*-0.3-0.6				-0.1-0.2-0.1+0.3-0.2+0.1		+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.1*-0.0-0.0
Anchors vs Mad Cats	-0.5-0.5-0.4-0.4*+0.1+0.5				-0.3-0.1-0.0+0.1+0.3+0.3		-0.0*-0.1-0.0-0.0-0.0+0.0
Juggernauts vs Speculum	-0.1-0.7-0.3-0.5-0.4+0.2						-0.0-0.1-0.0-0.0-0.0+0.0
Muskies vs Panthers					+0.3+0.1+0.3-0.2+0.1-0.4

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Rioters finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Pres		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	Tier II		Count

64		26	0		-	0	In		99.3	%	99	1														No		152
60	-61						In		90.9		100															No		11	*
59		23	2		-	1	In		87.0		96	4														No		23
58		23	3		-	0	In		68.1		92	8														No		72	*
57		22	3		-	1	In		51.1		80	20														No		139	*
56		22	4		-	0	In		44.5		77	21	2													No		452	*
55		21	4		-	1	In		27.0		61	35	4													No		729	*
54		21	5		-	0	In		14.4		48	43	8	0												No		1,848	*
53		20	5		-	1	In		7.4		36	48	14	1	0											No		2,904	*
52		20	6		-	0	In		2.7		25	49	23	3	0											No		5,863	*
51		19	6		-	1	In		0.7		14	44	34	8	1	0										No		8,723	*
50		19	7		-	0	In		0.2		7	33	41	16	2	0										No		16,111	*
49		18	7		-	1	In		0.0		3	21	40	28	7	1	0									No		21,812	*
48		17	7		-	2	In		No		1	10	32	36	17	4	0	0								No		35,878	*
47		17	8		-	1	100.0	%	No		0	3	18	36	29	11	2	0	0							No		44,231	*
46		16	8		-	2	99.9		No		0	1	7	25	35	23	8	1	0	0						No		65,320	*
45		16	9		-	1	99.0		No			0	2	11	28	33	19	6	1	0	0					No		75,904	*
44		15	9		-	2	92.4		No			0	0	2	11	27	32	20	7	1	0	0				No		57,199	*
		16	10		-	0	96.7		No			0	0	5	18	32	29	13	3	0	0					No		45,227
43		15	10		-	1	79.5		No				0	0	4	16	29	30	16	4	1	0	0			No		109,419	*
42		14	10		-	2	47.5		No					0	0	4	14	29	31	17	4	1	0			No		77,022	*
		15	11		-	0	62.2		No				0	0	1	7	21	33	26	10	2	0	0			No		58,522
41		14	11		-	1	29.4		No					0	0	1	7	21	32	26	10	2	0	0		No		97,271
		13	10		-	3	17.0		No						0	0	3	14	29	32	17	5	0	0		No		36,869	*
40		13	11		-	2	6.3		No							0	1	5	19	33	28	12	2	0		No		87,647	*
		14	12		-	0	12.0		No						0	0	2	10	26	33	22	7	1	0		No		65,777
39		13	12		-	1	2.2		No							0	0	2	11	28	34	20	5	0		0.0	%	100,436
		12	11		-	3	0.7		No							0	0	1	6	21	35	28	9	1	0	0.0		39,100	*
38		12	12		-	2	0.1		No								0	0	2	11	30	36	18	2	0	0.2		71,896
		13	13		-	0	0.4		No								0	0	3	15	32	33	14	2	0	0.1		74,774	*
37		12	13		-	1	0.0		No									0	1	5	22	39	28	6	0	1.0		89,552
		11	12		-	3	0.0		No									0	0	3	15	37	35	10	1	3.1		34,369	*
36		11	13		-	2	0.0		No									0	0	1	8	30	43	17	1	9.7		59,644
		12	14		-	0	0.0		No									0	0	2	11	32	40	14	1	7.3		61,877	*
35		11	14		-	1	Out		No										0	0	3	20	45	28	4	25.8		94,225	*
34		10	14		-	2	Out		No											0	1	9	38	42	11	55.8		48,493	*
		11	15		-	0	Out		No										0	0	1	12	43	37	7	43.7		36,970
33		10	15		-	1	Out		No											0	0	4	29	49	18	74.4		61,148	*
32		9	15		-	2	Out		No												0	2	20	50	28	88.9		50,546	*
31		9	16		-	1	Out		No												0	0	11	48	40	96.5		33,946	*
30		8	16		-	2	Out		No													0	6	41	52	99.0		25,673	*
29		8	17		-	1	Out		No													0	3	32	65	99.8		15,830	*
28		8	18		-	0	Out		No													0	1	25	74	100.0		11,207	*
27		7	18		-	1	Out		No														1	16	84	Yes		6,036	*
26		7	19		-	0	Out		No														0	12	88	Yes		3,964	*
25		6	19		-	1	Out		No														0	7	93	Yes		1,998	*
24		6	20		-	0	Out		No															5	95	Yes		1,138	*
23		5	20		-	1	Out		No															2	98	Yes		555	*
22		5	21		-	0	Out		No															1	99	Yes		276	*
12	-21						Out		No																100	Yes		342	*

Total:							31.9	%	0.1	%	0	1	3	4	5	6	6	7	8	9	11	12	13	10	5	14.7	%	1,839,120

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Thursday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Eskimos 2 Anchors 6	+0.0
Seals 2 Gunners 3	*-0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Rioters vs Creamless Oreos	-1.3-1.2-1.1+0.4+0.3+1.4
Crusaders vs Fortress	-0.0-0.0-0.0+0.1-0.0+0.0
Anchors vs Mad Cats	+0.0+0.1+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.0
Muskies vs Panthers	+0.0+0.1+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

64		26	0		-	0	99	1
61		24	1		-	1	67	33
60		24	2		-	0	100
59		23	2		-	1	87	13
58		23	3		-	0	68	31	1
57		22	3		-	1	51	40	9	1
56		22	4		-	0	44	40	14	2
55		21	4		-	1	27	42	24	6	1
54		21	5		-	0	14	37	33	13	3	0
53		20	5		-	1	7	24	37	22	8	1	0
52		20	6		-	0	3	15	32	30	14	4	1	0
51		19	6		-	1	1	6	21	31	26	12	3	0	0
50		19	7		-	0	0	2	9	23	31	23	9	2	0	0
49		18	7		-	1	0	0	3	11	23	29	21	9	3	1	0
48		17	7		-	2		0	0	3	11	23	28	20	10	3	1	0	0	0
47		17	8		-	1			0	0	3	10	20	27	22	12	4	1	0	0
46		16	8		-	2				0	0	2	7	17	25	24	15	7	2	0	0	0
45		16	9		-	1				0	0	0	1	5	13	22	24	19	10	4	1	0	0	0
44		15	9		-	2					0	0	0	0	2	6	15	23	24	17	9	3	1	0	0
		16	10		-	0						0	0	1	3	10	19	24	21	13	6	2	0	0	0
43		15	10		-	1							0	0	0	1	5	11	20	24	20	12	5	2	0	0	0	0
42		14	10		-	2										0	0	1	4	11	20	24	20	12	5	1	0	0	0	0
		15	11		-	0									0	0	1	3	9	18	24	22	15	6	2	0	0	0
41		14	11		-	1										0	0	0	1	4	10	19	24	22	14	6	2	0	0	0
		13	10		-	3												0	0	1	4	11	20	24	20	12	5	1	0	0
40		13	11		-	2													0	0	1	3	9	17	24	23	15	7	2	0	0	0
		14	12		-	0												0	0	0	2	7	14	23	24	18	9	3	1	0	0
39		13	12		-	1														0	0	1	3	8	16	24	24	16	7	2	0	0	0
		12	11		-	3															0	0	1	3	10	19	25	22	13	5	1	0	0
38		12	12		-	2															0	0	0	1	3	9	18	25	23	14	5	1	0	0
		13	13		-	0																0	0	1	5	12	21	25	20	11	4	1	0	0
37		12	13		-	1																	0	0	0	2	7	17	25	25	16	6	1	0	0
36		11	13		-	2																		0	0	0	1	5	14	24	28	19	8	2	0	0
		12	14		-	0																		0	0	0	2	7	16	26	26	16	6	1	0	0
35		11	14		-	1																				0	0	1	5	14	26	28	18	6	1	0
34		10	14		-	2																				0	0	0	1	4	14	27	30	18	5	1
		11	15		-	0																					0	0	1	6	17	28	28	15	4	0
33		10	15		-	1																						0	0	1	6	18	31	29	13	2
32		9	15		-	2																							0	0	2	9	24	35	24	6
31		9	16		-	1																								0	0	3	14	33	35	14
30		8	16		-	2																								0	0	1	7	25	42	25
29		8	17		-	1																									0	0	3	16	42	39
28		8	18		-	0																									0	0	1	9	38	52
27		7	18		-	1																											0	4	29	66
26		7	19		-	0																											0	2	21	77
25		6	19		-	1																												1	14	85
24		6	20		-	0																												0	10	90
23		5	20		-	1																													6	94
22		5	21		-	0																													3	97
12	-21																																			100

Total:							0	0	0	1	1	1	2	2	2	3	3	3	3	4	4	4	4	5	5	5	5	5	5	6	5	5	5	4	3	2