Bratislava Red Wings Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 1.4 to 61.7%

16 points 8 6-0

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Monday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Tier II	100.0*	Average seed
Rioters 1 Colts 3	+0.7
Hipsters 4 Zambronies 0	*+0.1				+0.0
Fortress 5 Yellow Kings 2					+0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Tier II	100.0*	Average seed
Creamless Oreos vs Eskimos	-0.8-1.0-0.9-0.2+0.1+0.7				-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.0
Anchors vs Crusaders	-0.8-0.8-0.8+0.0+0.0+0.7				-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.0
Colts vs Fortress	+0.8+0.3+0.4-0.6-0.7-0.7				+0.1+0.0+0.0*-0.0-0.1-0.0
Stabbers vs Muskies			-0.1-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Red Wings finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Pres		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	Tier II		Count

68		26	0		-	0	In		99.1	%	100	0														No		435
65	-67						In		Yes		100															No		5	*
64		24	2		-	0	In		93.8		97	3														No		32	*
63		23	2		-	1	In		73.3		80	20														No		45	*
62		23	3		-	0	In		69.4		82	17	1													No		186	*
61		22	3		-	1	In		62.0		77	22	2													No		400	*
60		22	4		-	0	In		48.4		69	29	2													No		1,122	*
59		21	4		-	1	In		34.9		57	38	4													No		2,131	*
58		21	5		-	0	In		24.8		49	44	7	0												No		4,967	*
57		20	5		-	1	In		13.6		37	51	13	0												No		7,924	*
56		20	6		-	0	In		7.8		28	53	19	0												No		16,671	*
55		19	6		-	1	In		3.4		18	51	29	1	0											No		24,694	*
54		19	7		-	0	In		1.5		13	47	37	3	0											No		45,453	*
53		18	7		-	1	In		0.4		6	39	47	8	0											No		61,591	*
52		18	8		-	0	In		0.1		3	29	52	14	1	0										No		101,843	*
51		17	8		-	1	In		0.0		1	18	52	25	4	0	0									No		126,745	*
50		16	8		-	2	In		0.0		0	10	46	34	9	1	0									No		189,522	*
49		16	9		-	1	In		0.0		0	4	32	42	19	3	0	0								No		218,452	*
48		15	9		-	2	100.0	%	No		0	1	19	40	29	9	1	0	0	0						No		294,656	*
47		15	10		-	1	100.0		No		0	0	8	29	37	20	5	1	0	0						No		314,633	*
46		14	10		-	2	99.7		No			0	3	16	34	30	13	3	0	0	0					No		389,747	*
45		14	11		-	1	98.0		No			0	1	6	22	34	26	10	2	0	0					No		385,397	*
44		13	11		-	2	89.8		No				0	1	8	24	33	24	9	1	0	0				No		250,509	*
		14	12		-	0	94.9		No				0	3	13	30	32	17	4	1	0					No		190,482	*
43		13	12		-	1	76.1		No				0	0	3	13	28	32	18	5	1	0	0			No		401,839	*
42		12	12		-	2	48.2		No				0	0	0	3	14	30	31	16	4	0	0			No		207,297
		13	13		-	0	57.2		No					0	1	6	19	32	27	12	3	0	0			No		216,330	*
41		12	13		-	1	26.9		No					0	0	1	6	20	33	27	11	2	0			No		357,335	*
40		11	13		-	2	11.0		No					0	0	0	2	9	25	34	23	7	1	0		No		348,985	*
39		11	14		-	1	2.9		No						0	0	0	3	13	30	34	17	3	0		No		270,860	*
38		10	14		-	2	0.6		No								0	1	5	20	37	29	8	0		0.0	%	243,823	*
37		10	15		-	1	0.1		No								0	0	1	9	30	41	18	0		0.1		173,911	*
36		9	15		-	2	0.0		No									0	0	4	20	43	31	2	0	0.9		145,568	*
35		9	16		-	1	0.0		No									0	0	1	10	39	45	4	0	4.3		95,205	*
34		8	16		-	2	Out		No										0	0	5	30	56	9	0	13.0		73,219	*
33		8	17		-	1	Out		No											0	2	19	62	16	0	28.9		43,655	*
32		8	18		-	0	Out		No											0	1	11	62	25	1	48.2		31,290	*
31		7	18		-	1	Out		No												0	6	56	34	3	67.7		16,752	*
30		7	19		-	0	Out		No												0	2	46	44	7	83.7		10,994	*
29		6	19		-	1	Out		No													1	34	52	13	92.6		5,225	*
28		6	20		-	0	Out		No													0	25	55	19	96.9		3,232	*
27		5	20		-	1	Out		No													0	17	55	28	98.9		1,371	*
26		5	21		-	0	Out		No														11	51	38	99.4		681	*
25		4	21		-	1	Out		No														7	43	50	Yes		258	*
24		4	22		-	0	Out		No														4	38	58	Yes		127	*
23		3	22		-	1	Out		No															17	83	Yes		36	*
22		3	23		-	0	Out		No															14	86	Yes		21	*
21		2	23		-	1	Out		No															17	83	Yes		6
19	-20						Out		No																100	Yes		3	*
16		0	26		-	0	Out		No															1	99	Yes		435

Total:							61.7	%	0.1	%	1	3	8	10	10	10	10	10	9	9	8	7	5	1	0	1.4	%	5,276,100

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Monday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Black Flag 5 Diggers 1	*-0.0
Fortress 5 Yellow Kings 2	-0.0
Hipsters 4 Zambronies 0	-0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Anchors vs Crusaders	+0.0+0.1+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.0
Creamless Oreos vs Eskimos	+0.0+0.1+0.1*+0.0-0.0-0.0
Panthers vs Gunners	-0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.0+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

68		26	0		-	0	99	1
65	-67						100
64		24	2		-	0	94	3	3
63		23	2		-	1	73	22	4
62		23	3		-	0	69	28	3
61		22	3		-	1	62	31	7	1
60		22	4		-	0	48	42	9	1
59		21	4		-	1	35	44	19	2	0
58		21	5		-	0	25	45	25	5	0	0
57		20	5		-	1	14	39	34	12	1	0
56		20	6		-	0	8	31	38	19	4	0	0
55		19	6		-	1	3	20	38	28	9	1	0	0
54		19	7		-	0	2	12	31	34	17	4	0	0	0
53		18	7		-	1	0	5	20	35	28	10	2	0	0
52		18	8		-	0	0	2	11	28	33	20	6	1	0	0
51		17	8		-	1	0	0	4	16	30	30	15	4	1	0	0
50		16	8		-	2	0	0	1	7	20	31	25	12	3	1	0	0
49		16	9		-	1	0	0	0	2	8	21	29	24	11	3	1	0	0	0
48		15	9		-	2			0	0	2	10	21	28	22	11	4	1	0	0	0
47		15	10		-	1			0	0	0	2	9	19	27	23	13	5	1	0	0	0
46		14	10		-	2				0	0	0	1	6	15	24	25	17	8	2	0	0	0	0
		15	11		-	0				0	0	0	3	9	19	26	22	13	5	2	0	0	0
45		14	11		-	1					0	0	0	1	5	13	22	25	19	10	3	1	0	0	0
44		13	11		-	2							0	0	0	2	8	16	24	23	16	7	2	0	0	0	0
		14	12		-	0						0	0	0	1	6	14	23	25	18	9	3	1	0	0
43		13	12		-	1								0	0	0	2	7	15	22	24	17	9	3	1	0	0	0
42		12	12		-	2									0	0	0	1	4	11	19	24	21	13	5	2	0	0	0	0
41		12	13		-	1										0	0	0	0	2	7	15	23	24	17	9	3	1	0	0	0
40		11	13		-	2										0		0	0	0	1	5	12	20	25	20	12	4	1	0	0
39		11	14		-	1													0	0	0	1	3	8	17	25	24	15	6	1	0	0
38		10	14		-	2															0	0	0	2	7	15	24	25	17	7	2	0	0
37		10	15		-	1																0	0	0	1	5	14	24	27	19	7	2	0	0
36		9	15		-	2																	0	0	0	1	5	14	26	29	18	6	1	0	0
35		9	16		-	1																			0	0	1	5	15	28	30	16	4	0	0
34		8	16		-	2																			0	0	0	1	6	19	32	28	11	2	0	0
33		8	17		-	1																					0	0	2	9	25	35	22	6	1	0
32		8	18		-	0																						0	0	3	15	33	32	14	2	0
31		7	18		-	1																							0	1	7	25	38	24	6	0
30		7	19		-	0																							0	0	2	14	35	34	13	2
29		6	19		-	1																								0	1	7	26	39	24	4
28		6	20		-	0																									0	3	17	39	33	9
27		5	20		-	1																									0	1	9	32	43	15
26		5	21		-	0																										1	4	23	46	26
25		4	21		-	1																											2	16	44	38
24		4	22		-	0																											1	8	43	49
23		3	22		-	1																												6	17	78
22		3	23		-	0																													19	81
21		2	23		-	1																													17	83
19	-20																																			100
16		0	26		-	0																													1	99

Total:							0	1	1	2	3	4	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	4	4	4	3	3	2	2	1	0	0	0