Philipsburg PA Mounties Playoff Chances 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.6 to 2%

34 points 17 19-0

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Friday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Tier II	100.0*	Average seed
Yellow Kings 2 Fortress 0	+1.0
Lions 2 Creamless Oreos 5	-0.3
Gunners 4 Hogs 3			-0.1
Seagulls 9 Pharaohs 3			+0.1
Oompa Loompa 0 Seals 5			-0.1

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Tier II	100.0*	Average seed
Juggernauts vs Seals	-0.4-0.4-0.4+0.2+0.2+0.4				-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.2
Creamless Oreos vs H Crusaders	-0.1-0.0-0.0-0.1*-0.1+0.1
Seagulls vs Night Hawks			+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
Dimmadomers vs Colts			+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the Mounties finish out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance in		Pres	Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	Tier II		Count

42	4	0		-	0	25.4	%	No							1	25	57	17	1					No		261,114
41	3	0		-	1	5.0		No								5	54	37	4	0				No		229,420
40	3	1		-	0	0.7		No								1	23	52	23	2				No		812,688
	2	0		-	2	0.8		No								1	23	52	23	2				No		74,918
39	2	1		-	1	Out		No									9	43	41	8				No		537,145
	1	0		-	3	Out		No									2	27	51	20				No		11,122
38	2	2		-	0	Out		No									1	17	53	29				No		950,699
	1	1		-	2	Out		No									1	17	53	30				No		117,649
	0	0		-	4	Out		No									1	10	46	44				No		602
37	1	2		-	1	Out		No									0	7	44	49				No		418,692
	0	1		-	3	Out		No										2	27	69	2			No		8,671
36	1	3		-	0	Out		No										0	18	70	11	0		0.0	%	496,053
	0	2		-	2	Out		No										0	17	68	14	1		0.0		46,224
35	0	3		-	1	Out		No										0	8	68	23	2		0.2		108,996
34	0	4		-	0	Out		No											1	39	50	10		4.3		96,707

Total:						2.0	%	No							0	2	13	25	31	26	3	0		0.1	%	4,170,700

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Friday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Lions 2 Creamless Oreos 5	-0.1
Oompa Loompa 0 Seals 5	+0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Diggers vs Stars	+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.2
Lions vs Muskies	+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.1
C Crusaders vs Pharaohs	+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.1
Juggernauts vs Seals	-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.0
Panthers vs Highlanders	-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

42	4	0		-	0												0	0	4	21	42	26	7	1	0
41	3	0		-	1														0	3	23	39	26	7	1	0	0
40	3	1		-	0														0	0	2	12	31	35	16	3	0	0
	2	0		-	2															0	2	12	31	35	17	3	0	0
39	2	1		-	1															0	0	2	11	31	35	17	3	0	0
	1	0		-	3																0	0	4	18	35	29	12	2	0
38	2	2		-	0																	0	0	5	22	39	27	7	0	0
	1	1		-	2																	0	0	4	21	38	28	8	1	0
	0	0		-	4																			1	10	31	39	17	2
37	1	2		-	1																		0	1	7	26	40	23	4	0
	0	1		-	3																		0	0	2	11	35	39	12	1	0
36	1	3		-	0																			0	0	4	22	43	26	5	0	0
	0	2		-	2																				0	3	19	41	29	7	1	0
35	0	3		-	1																				0	0	7	29	41	19	3	0	0
34	0	4		-	0																						0	6	27	40	23	4	0

Total:																	0	0	0	2	4	7	10	13	14	16	14	11	6	2	1	0	0