Banska Bystrica Mad Cats Playoff Chances

Beat Raju 8-0, playoff odds up 0.005 to 99.9997%

43 points 20 6-3

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Wednesday	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Average seed
Mad Cats 8 Raju 0	+0.5		+0.1
Crusaders 1 Seals 2	+0.2		+0.1

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Average seed
Eskimos vs Creamless Oreos	-0.8-0.8-0.7+1.2+1.1+2.2

Chances based on how well the Mad Cats finish out the regular season. Explain

										100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance in		Pres		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	Tier II	Count

65	11	0		-	0	In		50.3	%	50	50														No	24,499
64	10	0		-	1	In		40.0		40	60														No	21,749
63	10	1		-	0	In		27.8		28	72	0													No	160,501
	9	0		-	2	In		26.4		27	73	0													No	9,178
62	9	1		-	1	In		19.2		20	80	0	0												No	133,595
	8	0		-	3	In		17.9		19	80	1													No	2,176
61	9	2		-	0	In		11.0		12	86	2	0												No	488,560
	8	1		-	2	In		9.4		11	87	3	0												No	48,931
	7	0		-	4	In		9.1		11	86	3													No	374
60	8	2		-	1	In		5.8		7	87	5	0												No	359,210
	7	1		-	3	In		5.3		7	88	5	0												No	10,481	*
59	8	3		-	0	In		2.4		3	83	14	0	0											No	875,551
	7	2		-	2	In		1.7		3	82	15	0	0											No	114,846
	6	1		-	4	In		1.8		3	82	15	0												No	1,436	*
58	7	3		-	1	In		0.7		2	74	23	1	0											No	560,810
	6	2		-	3	In		0.6		2	73	23	1	0											No	20,957
	5	1		-	5	In		0.7		1	75	22	2												No	143
57	7	4		-	0	In		0.2		1	58	37	4	0											No	1,027,857
	6	3		-	2	In		0.1		0	55	39	5	0											No	154,478
	5	2		-	4	In		0.1		0	53	41	5	0											No	2,507	*
56	6	4		-	1	In		0.0		0	41	46	12	1											No	564,178
	5	3		-	3	In		0.0		0	39	47	13	1											No	23,718
	4	2		-	5	In		No			35	46	17	1											No	183
55	6	5		-	0	In		0.0		0	24	50	24	2											No	830,369
	5	4		-	2	In		0.0		0	21	49	26	3											No	130,769
	4	3		-	4	In		No		0	20	50	26	4											No	2,239	*
54	5	5		-	1	In		No		0	11	42	38	9	0										No	382,360
	4	4		-	3	In		No			10	40	39	10	0										No	16,526
	3	3		-	5	In		No			11	35	42	13											No	139
53	5	6		-	0	In		No		0	4	30	48	18	0										No	468,602
	4	5		-	2	In		No			3	28	49	20	0										No	72,456
	3	4		-	4	In		No			3	25	49	22	0										No	1,150	*
52	4	6		-	1	In		No			1	16	47	35	0										No	177,069	*
	3	5		-	3	In		No		0	1	15	46	37	0										No	7,284
51	4	7		-	0	In		No			0	8	41	50	1	0									No	185,919
	3	6		-	2	In		No			0	6	38	54	1										No	26,070
	2	5		-	4	In		No				5	37	56	2										No	390	*
50	3	7		-	1	In		No			0	2	26	68	3	0									No	55,219
	2	6		-	3	In		No				2	24	70	4										No	1,891	*
49	3	8		-	0	In		No			0	1	17	76	7	0									No	50,383
	2	7		-	2	In		No				1	14	76	9	0									No	5,929
	1	6		-	4	In		No					8	84	8										No	73
48	2	8		-	1	In		No				0	6	76	17	1									No	11,149
	1	7		-	3	In		No					4	69	25	2									No	285	*
47	2	9		-	0	In		No				0	3	67	28	2	0								No	9,006
	1	8		-	2	In		No					2	64	30	3	0								No	801	*
46	1	9		-	1	In		No					0	52	40	8	0								No	1,271	*
45	1	10		-	0	In		No						33	50	16	1								No	1,008	*
44	0	10		-	1	In		No						22	37	36	5								No	78
43	0	11		-	0	96.5	%	No						7	28	43	19	3	0						No	627

Total:						100.0	%	2.9	%	3	50	27	14	6	0	0	0	0	0						No	7,044,980

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Wednesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Mad Cats 8 Raju 0	-0.4
Crusaders 1 Seals 2	-0.1
Red Wings 2 Diggers 4	+0.1

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Oompa Loompas vs Ice Wolves	-0.1-0.0*-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

65	11	0		-	0	50	50
64	10	0		-	1	40	60	0
63	10	1		-	0	28	72	1	0
	9	0		-	2	26	73	1
62	9	1		-	1	19	78	3	0
	8	0		-	3	18	78	4
61	9	2		-	0	11	81	8	0	0
	8	1		-	2	9	79	11	0	0
	7	0		-	4	9	78	12	1
60	8	2		-	1	6	73	19	2	0
	7	1		-	3	5	70	23	2	0
59	8	3		-	0	2	61	31	5	0	0
	7	2		-	2	2	52	38	8	1	0
	6	1		-	4	2	49	40	9	0
58	7	3		-	1	1	37	43	17	3	0	0
	6	2		-	3	1	31	44	20	4	0	0
	5	1		-	5	1	32	45	17	4	1
57	7	4		-	0	0	19	40	29	9	1	0	0
	6	3		-	2	0	13	37	34	13	2	0	0
	5	2		-	4	0	12	36	34	15	2	0
56	6	4		-	1	0	5	23	36	25	9	1	0	0	0
	5	3		-	3	0	4	20	36	28	11	2	0	0
	4	2		-	5		2	22	33	28	11	3
55	6	5		-	0	0	1	10	27	34	21	6	1	0	0
	5	4		-	2	0	1	6	22	34	25	9	2	0	0
	4	3		-	4		0	6	21	35	27	10	2	0	0
54	5	5		-	1		0	2	9	25	33	22	7	1	0
	4	4		-	3		0	1	8	23	33	25	9	1	0
	3	3		-	5			1	6	16	35	25	14	4
53	5	6		-	0		0	0	2	12	27	33	20	5	1	0
	4	5		-	2		0	0	1	8	24	34	24	8	1	0
	3	4		-	4				1	8	21	34	27	8	1	0
52	4	6		-	1			0	0	2	10	27	35	21	5	0	0
	3	5		-	3			0	0	2	9	25	35	23	5	0
51	4	7		-	0			0	0	0	3	14	32	35	14	2	0	0
	3	6		-	2					0	2	10	30	38	18	2	0
	2	5		-	4					0	2	11	27	35	22	3
50	3	7		-	1					0	0	3	16	38	34	9	1	0
	2	6		-	3						0	3	13	37	35	11	1
49	3	8		-	0						0	1	6	25	42	22	4	0	0
	2	7		-	2							0	4	23	43	25	5	1	0
	1	6		-	4								7	15	45	26	7
48	2	8		-	1							0	1	9	34	37	16	3	0	0
	1	7		-	3								0	7	32	37	19	5	0
47	2	9		-	0								0	2	19	37	30	10	2	0
	1	8		-	2									2	14	40	29	12	3
46	1	9		-	1									0	6	21	35	26	9	2	1
45	1	10		-	0									0	2	9	22	36	22	8	1
44	0	10		-	1												12	19	33	26	8	3
43	0	11		-	0												1	9	19	32	28	9	1	0

Total:						3	29	20	15	11	8	6	4	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0