NZ Young Gun Juggernauts Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 1.5 to 47.1%

15 points 7 6-1

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Monday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Tier II	100.0*	Average seed
Rioters 1 Colts 3	+0.7		-0.0		+0.1
Fortress 5 Yellow Kings 2	+0.1		*+0.0
Hipsters 4 Zambronies 0	*+0.1		+0.1

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Tier II	100.0*	Average seed
Creamless Oreos vs Eskimos	-0.9-0.8-1.1-0.4*-0.1+0.7				-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.0
Colts vs Fortress	+0.8+0.1+0.3-0.8-0.8-0.7				+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1
Anchors vs Crusaders	-0.8-0.7-0.8+0.1+0.1+0.7				-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.0
Stabbers vs Muskies			-0.1-0.0+0.1+0.2*+0.1+0.2
Mad Cats vs Hogs			-0.1-0.0+0.1*+0.1+0.2+0.0
Guardians vs Oompa Loompa			-0.1-0.0-0.1-0.1+0.1+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Juggernauts finish out the regular season. Explain

										100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance in		Pres		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	Tier II		Count

67	26	0		-	0	In		98.2	%	100	0														No		435
64	24	1		-	1	In		Yes		100															No		3
63	24	2		-	0	In		83.3		89	11														No		18	*
62	23	2		-	1	In		73.0		86	14														No		37	*
61	23	3		-	0	In		59.3		81	18	2													No		113	*
60	22	3		-	1	In		41.2		65	32	4													No		250	*
59	22	4		-	0	In		32.5		60	35	5													No		750	*
58	21	4		-	1	In		20.9		46	46	9													No		1,345	*
57	21	5		-	0	In		13.2		36	49	15	0												No		3,319	*
56	20	5		-	1	In		6.7		26	52	22	1												No		5,621	*
55	20	6		-	0	In		3.0		18	51	30	2	0											No		11,787	*
54	19	6		-	1	In		0.9		11	46	40	4	0											No		18,249	*
53	19	7		-	0	In		0.3		6	37	49	8	0	0										No		33,939	*
52	18	7		-	1	In		0.1		3	27	53	16	2	0	0									No		47,113	*
51	17	7		-	2	In		0.0		1	17	52	26	4	0	0									No		79,448	*
50	17	8		-	1	In		0.0		0	8	42	37	11	1	0									No		103,048	*
49	16	8		-	2	In		No		0	4	30	41	20	4	0	0								No		155,644	*
48	16	9		-	1	100.0	%	No		0	1	16	37	32	12	2	0	0							No		186,482	*
47	15	9		-	2	100.0		No		0	0	7	27	37	22	6	1	0	0						No		257,077	*
46	15	10		-	1	99.5		No			0	2	13	31	33	17	4	0	0	0					No		283,856	*
45	14	10		-	2	97.3		No			0	0	5	20	33	28	12	2	0	0	0				No		358,146	*
44	14	11		-	1	88.5		No				0	1	7	22	33	25	10	2	0	0				No		367,681	*
43	13	11		-	2	67.9		No				0	0	1	9	24	33	23	8	1	0				No		212,860
	14	12		-	0	75.8		No				0	0	3	13	28	31	18	5	1	0	0			No		215,311	*
42	13	12		-	1	44.2		No				0	0	0	3	13	28	32	18	5	1	0			No		403,668	*
41	12	12		-	2	23.0		No					0	0	1	5	17	31	29	13	3	0	0		No		434,433	*
40	12	13		-	1	7.3		No						0	0	1	6	21	34	27	9	1	0		No		380,771	*
39	11	13		-	2	1.5		No							0	0	1	9	26	37	22	4	0		0.0	%	187,812
	12	14		-	0	3.0		No							0	0	3	13	30	34	17	3	0		0.0		189,458	*
38	11	14		-	1	0.3		No								0	0	3	16	35	34	11	0		0.0		304,354	*
37	10	14		-	2	0.1		No								0	0	1	8	28	42	21	1	0	0.2		278,629	*
36	10	15		-	1	0.0		No									0	0	2	16	43	36	2	0	1.5		206,987	*
35	9	15		-	2	0.0		No									0	0	1	9	37	49	4	0	5.6		176,212	*
34	9	16		-	1	Out		No										0	0	3	26	61	9	0	16.6		120,024	*
33	8	16		-	2	Out		No											0	1	17	65	16	0	32.1		93,802	*
32	8	17		-	1	Out		No											0	0	9	65	24	1	53.8		58,265	*
31	7	17		-	2	Out		No												0	5	59	33	3	70.4		42,282	*
30	7	18		-	1	Out		No												0	2	50	43	6	85.1		23,670	*
29	7	19		-	0	Out		No													1	40	49	10	92.7		15,892	*
28	6	19		-	1	Out		No													0	29	55	16	97.5		7,835	*
27	6	20		-	0	Out		No													0	21	55	24	98.7		4,816	*
26	5	20		-	1	Out		No														13	55	31	99.8		2,123	*
25	5	21		-	0	Out		No														9	47	44	99.8		1,236	*
24	4	21		-	1	Out		No														4	41	55	99.8		505	*
23	4	22		-	0	Out		No														1	41	58	Yes		254	*
22	3	22		-	1	Out		No															30	70	Yes		61	*
21	3	23		-	0	Out		No															9	91	Yes		33	*
20	2	23		-	1	Out		No															20	80	Yes		10	*
19	2	24		-	0	Out		No																100	Yes		1
15	0	26		-	0	Out		No															0	100	Yes		435

Total:						47.1	%	0.1	%	0	1	5	6	8	8	9	10	10	10	11	11	9	2	0	3.3	%	5,276,100

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Monday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Fortress 5 Yellow Kings 2	-0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Anchors vs Crusaders	+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0
Creamless Oreos vs Eskimos	+0.1+0.0+0.1+0.1*+0.0-0.0
Stabbers vs Muskies	-0.0*-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.0
Colts vs Fortress	-0.0+0.0*+0.0+0.1+0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

67	26	0		-	0	98	2
64	24	1		-	1	100
63	24	2		-	0	83	17
62	23	2		-	1	73	24	3
61	23	3		-	0	59	31	10
60	22	3		-	1	41	42	14	2	0
59	22	4		-	0	33	45	19	3	0
58	21	4		-	1	21	43	28	8	1	0
57	21	5		-	0	13	38	35	13	2	0
56	20	5		-	1	7	28	38	22	5	1
55	20	6		-	0	3	18	36	31	10	2	0	0
54	19	6		-	1	1	10	28	35	20	5	1	0	0
53	19	7		-	0	0	4	18	33	29	12	3	0	0
52	18	7		-	1	0	1	8	24	34	23	8	2	0	0
51	17	7		-	2	0	0	3	13	29	31	18	5	1	0	0
50	17	8		-	1	0	0	1	5	16	29	28	15	5	1	0	0	0
49	16	8		-	2		0	0	1	7	19	29	25	14	4	1	0	0
48	16	9		-	1		0	0	0	1	7	18	27	25	15	5	1	0	0	0
47	15	9		-	2			0	0	0	2	7	17	26	25	15	6	2	0	0	0
46	15	10		-	1				0	0	0	1	5	13	23	25	19	9	3	1	0	0
45	14	10		-	2					0	0	0	1	4	11	20	25	20	12	5	1	0	0	0
44	14	11		-	1						0	0	0	0	2	7	16	23	24	16	8	3	1	0	0	0
43	13	11		-	2							0	0	0	0	1	5	12	21	24	19	11	4	1	0	0	0
42	13	12		-	1									0	0	0	1	2	7	16	23	23	16	8	3	1	0	0
41	12	12		-	2											0	0	0	1	4	11	19	25	21	13	5	1	0	0	0
	13	13		-	0										0	0	0	1	2	7	15	22	23	17	9	3	1	0	0
40	12	13		-	1												0	0	0	1	3	8	17	24	23	15	7	2	0	0	0
39	11	13		-	2														0	0	0	1	5	13	23	26	20	9	3	0	0	0
	12	14		-	0														0	0	1	3	8	17	24	23	15	6	2	0	0	0
38	11	14		-	1															0	0	0	1	4	12	22	27	21	10	3	0	0	0
37	10	14		-	2																	0	0	1	4	12	23	28	21	9	2	0	0
36	10	15		-	1																		0	0	1	3	11	23	30	22	8	1	0	0
35	9	15		-	2																			0	0	1	4	13	27	31	19	5	1	0	0
34	9	16		-	1																				0	0	1	4	16	31	31	14	3	0	0
33	8	16		-	2																					0	0	1	7	23	36	24	7	1	0
32	8	17		-	1																						0	0	2	12	32	35	16	3	0
31	7	17		-	2																							0	1	6	23	38	25	7	0
30	7	18		-	1																								0	2	13	34	36	14	2
29	7	19		-	0																								0	1	7	26	40	23	3
28	6	19		-	1																									0	2	16	39	35	8
27	6	20		-	0																									0	1	10	33	41	15
26	5	20		-	1																										0	5	24	49	22
25	5	21		-	0																										0	2	16	49	33
24	4	21		-	1																										0	1	7	44	47
23	4	22		-	0																											0	5	41	54
22	3	22		-	1																												2	30	69
21	3	23		-	0																													12	88
20	2	23		-	1																													20	80
19	2	24		-	0																														100
15	0	26		-	0																													0	100

Total:						0	0	0	1	2	2	3	3	4	4	4	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	4	4	3	2	1	0	0