NZ Young Gun Juggernauts Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.2 to 0.5%

21 points 10 18-1

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Wednesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Tier II	100.0*	Average seed
Car Stealers 5 Puckakke 4			+0.6
Crusaders 1 Seals 2			+0.6

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Tier II	100.0*	Average seed
Red Wings vs Juggernauts	-0.4-0.2-0.2+0.4+0.5+0.6		+6.0-1.4-1.5-8.9-9.0-8.9		-0.3-0.0-0.0+0.4+0.4+0.4
Friars vs Black Flag			-1.0+0.4+0.4+1.7+1.6+1.3
Eskimos vs Creamless Oreos			-0.8+0.3+0.3+1.9+1.8+1.9		+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1
Colts vs Seals			-0.5+0.1-0.0+0.8+1.0+0.8
Oompa Loompas vs Ice Wolves			+0.8+0.7+0.9-0.0-0.1-0.6

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Juggernauts finish out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance in		Pres	Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	Tier II		Count

43	11	0		-	0	98.0	%	No					0	23	50	26	2							No		1,125
42	10	0		-	1	91.5		No						9	42	40	8	0						No		1,035
41	10	1		-	0	75.1		No						3	25	47	21	3	0					No		7,372
	9	0		-	2	65.6		No						1	17	47	27	7	1					No		878
40	9	1		-	1	45.8		No						1	9	36	37	15	2	0				No		12,776	*
39	9	2		-	0	23.8		No						0	3	21	41	28	7	1				No		44,815
	8	1		-	2	13.4		No							1	13	37	36	13	1	0			No		9,519	*
38	8	2		-	1	6.2		No							0	6	26	40	23	4	0			No		67,783
	7	1		-	3	2.5		No								3	17	38	33	10	0			No		4,110	*
37	8	3		-	0	1.7		No							0	2	14	36	36	12	0			No		166,370
	7	2		-	2	0.5		No							0	1	8	31	42	18	0			No		44,690
	6	1		-	4	0.4		No								0	5	24	45	26	1			No		1,116	*
36	7	3		-	1	0.1		No							0	0	3	20	44	32	1	0		No		217,952
	6	2		-	3	0.1		No								0	1	12	42	43	2	0		No		17,247	*
35	7	4		-	0	0.0		No								0	1	9	38	49	3	0		No		399,872
	6	3		-	2	0.0		No								0	0	6	33	57	4	0		No		123,523
	5	2		-	4	Out		No									0	4	26	62	8	0		No		4,100	*
34	6	4		-	1	0.0		No								0	0	2	22	65	10	0	0	0.0	%	453,916
	5	3		-	3	Out		No									0	1	14	67	17	1	0	0.0		39,699
	4	2		-	5	Out		No										0	11	64	24	1		0.2		640	*
33	6	5		-	0	Out		No									0	0	11	68	20	1	0	0.0		665,118
	5	4		-	2	Out		No									0	0	8	65	25	2	0	0.1		217,415
	4	3		-	4	Out		No										0	5	59	32	4	0	0.3		7,907	*
32	5	5		-	1	Out		No									0	0	3	55	35	6	0	0.6		635,996
	4	4		-	3	Out		No										0	1	45	43	10	1	1.6		57,217
	3	3		-	5	Out		No											0	40	44	15	1	3.7		914	*
31	5	6		-	0	Out		No										0	1	41	45	12	1	2.9		780,617
	4	5		-	2	Out		No										0	0	35	47	17	1	4.5		249,760
	3	4		-	4	Out		No											0	25	48	23	3	8.5		8,762	*
30	4	6		-	1	Out		No											0	22	47	27	4	12.7		611,488
	3	5		-	3	Out		No											0	14	43	35	8	21.8		52,002
	2	4		-	5	Out		No												7	38	44	11	32.8		746	*
29	4	7		-	0	Out		No											0	11	41	38	9	30.1		640,762
	3	6		-	2	Out		No											0	8	36	42	13	37.4		188,798
	2	5		-	4	Out		No											0	5	29	46	19	48.5		5,994	*
28	3	7		-	1	Out		No											0	3	26	48	23	58.5		396,495
	2	6		-	3	Out		No												1	17	47	34	72.4		29,276	*
27	3	8		-	0	Out		No												1	15	47	37	79.9		364,683
	2	7		-	2	Out		No												1	10	44	45	85.2		91,200
	1	6		-	4	Out		No												0	8	34	57	91.0		2,130	*
26	2	8		-	1	Out		No												0	5	35	59	94.0		166,247
	1	7		-	3	Out		No													2	27	71	97.5		9,031	*
25	2	9		-	0	Out		No												0	2	25	74	98.6		136,027
	1	8		-	2	Out		No												0	1	19	80	99.3		25,096	*
24	1	9		-	1	Out		No												0	0	12	88	99.8		40,683
	0	8		-	3	Out		No													0	7	93	Yes		1,214
23	1	10		-	0	Out		No													0	6	94	100.0		29,947
	0	9		-	2	Out		No														3	97	Yes		2,929
22	0	10		-	1	Out		No														2	98	Yes		4,444
21	0	11		-	0	Out		No														1	99	Yes		3,544

Total:						0.5	%	No					0	0	0	0	1	3	9	33	26	18	10	20.3	%	7,044,980

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Wednesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Car Stealers 5 Puckakke 4	+0.1

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Red Wings vs Juggernauts	+0.5-0.0-0.0-0.7-0.8-0.8
Eskimos vs Creamless Oreos	-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Friars vs Black Flag	-0.0+0.1+0.0+0.1+0.1-0.0

What If

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

43	11	0		-	0											0	2	11	28	31	20	6	1	0
42	10	0		-	1											0	0	2	7	24	36	24	6	1
41	10	1		-	0													0	2	11	28	33	19	6	1	0
	9	0		-	2													0	1	6	22	33	28	8	3
40	9	1		-	1														0	1	8	25	34	23	7	1	0
39	9	2		-	0														0	0	2	11	28	33	19	6	1	0
	8	1		-	2															0	1	6	20	34	28	10	2	0
38	8	2		-	1															0	0	1	9	26	34	22	7	1	0
	7	1		-	3																	1	5	17	33	30	13	2	0
37	8	3		-	0																0	0	3	13	30	33	17	4	0	0
	7	2		-	2																0	0	1	8	24	36	24	6	1	0
	6	1		-	4																		1	4	19	34	31	11	1
36	7	3		-	1																	0	0	2	13	31	35	16	3	0	0
	6	2		-	3																		0	1	7	25	38	23	5	0	0
35	7	4		-	0																		0	0	5	20	38	29	8	0	0
	6	3		-	2																		0	0	2	15	36	34	11	1	0
	5	2		-	4																			0	1	10	34	37	15	2	0
34	6	4		-	1																			0	1	6	26	41	23	3	0	0
	5	3		-	3																			0	0	3	20	40	29	7	0	0
	4	2		-	5																				0	1	15	38	34	10	1	0
33	6	5		-	0																			0	0	2	14	37	35	10	1	0	0
	5	4		-	2																				0	1	11	34	39	14	2	0	0
	4	3		-	4																					0	8	29	40	19	4	0
32	5	5		-	1																				0	0	4	22	42	25	6	1	0	0
	4	4		-	3																					0	2	16	39	32	11	2	0	0
	3	3		-	5																						2	11	36	33	15	3	0
31	5	6		-	0																				0	0	1	11	34	36	15	3	0	0
	4	5		-	2																				0	0	1	8	30	38	19	4	0	0
	3	4		-	4																						0	5	24	37	25	7	1	0
30	4	6		-	1																					0	0	3	18	36	30	11	2	0	0
	3	5		-	3																						0	1	11	31	35	18	4	0	0
	2	4		-	5																							0	5	23	39	24	8	1	0
29	4	7		-	0																					0	0	1	7	26	37	23	6	1	0
	3	6		-	2																						0	0	5	21	36	28	9	1	0
	2	5		-	4																							0	2	16	33	33	14	2	0
28	3	7		-	1																						0	0	1	11	29	36	19	3	0
	2	6		-	3																							0	0	5	22	38	28	6	0
27	3	8		-	0																							0	0	3	17	36	33	10	1
	2	7		-	2																							0	0	2	13	34	37	14	1
	1	6		-	4																									1	8	28	42	19	3
26	2	8		-	1																								0	1	5	24	42	24	4
	1	7		-	3																									0	2	17	41	33	7
25	2	9		-	0																								0	0	1	11	38	38	11
	1	8		-	2																									0	1	8	35	41	15
24	1	9		-	1																										0	4	26	47	24
	0	8		-	3																											2	19	48	30
23	1	10		-	0																										0	1	14	45	40
	0	9		-	2																											0	11	44	45
22	0	10		-	1																											0	6	36	58
21	0	11		-	0																												2	25	72

Total:																0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	4	9	14	18	17	13	10	6	3	1