How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Tier II100.0*Average seed
Car Stealers 5 Puckakke 4 +0.6
Crusaders 1 Seals 2 +0.6
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Tier II100.0*Average seed
Red Wings vs Juggernauts-0.4-0.2-0.2+0.4+0.5+0.6
+6.0-1.4-1.5-8.9-9.0-8.9
-0.3-0.0-0.0+0.4+0.4+0.4
Friars vs Black Flag-1.0+0.4+0.4+1.7+1.6+1.3
Eskimos vs Creamless Oreos-0.8+0.3+0.3+1.9+1.8+1.9
+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1
Colts vs Seals-0.5*+0.1*-0.0+0.8+1.0+0.8
Oompa Loompas vs Ice Wolves+0.8+0.7+0.9*-0.0*-0.1-0.6

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Juggernauts finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy123456789101112131415Tier IICount
43110-098.0%No02350262No1,125
42100-191.5No9424080No1,035
41101-075.1No325472130No7,372
90-265.6No117472771No878
4091-145.8No1936371520No12,776*
3992-023.8No0321412871No44,815
81-213.4No11337361310No9,519*
3882-16.2No0626402340No67,783
71-32.5No3173833100No4,110*
3783-01.7No02143636120No166,370
72-20.5No0183142180No44,690
61-40.4No052445261No1,116*
3673-10.1No00320443210No217,952
62-30.1No0112424320No17,247*
3574-00.0No019384930No399,872
63-20.0No006335740No123,523
52-4OutNo04266280No4,100*
3464-10.0No002226510000.0%453,916
53-3OutNo01146717100.039,699
42-5OutNo011642410.2640*
3365-0OutNo00116820100.0665,118
54-2OutNo0086525200.1217,415
43-4OutNo055932400.37,907*
3255-1OutNo0035535600.6635,996
44-3OutNo0145431011.657,217
33-5OutNo040441513.7914*
3156-0OutNo0141451212.9780,617
45-2OutNo0035471714.5249,760
34-4OutNo025482338.58,762*
3046-1OutNo0224727412.7611,488
35-3OutNo0144335821.852,002
24-5OutNo738441132.8746*
2947-0OutNo0114138930.1640,762
36-2OutNo0836421337.4188,798
25-4OutNo0529461948.55,994*
2837-1OutNo0326482358.5396,495
26-3OutNo117473472.429,276*
2738-0OutNo115473779.9364,683
27-2OutNo110444585.291,200
16-4OutNo08345791.02,130*
2628-1OutNo05355994.0166,247
17-3OutNo2277197.59,031*
2529-0OutNo02257498.6136,027
18-2OutNo01198099.325,096*
2419-1OutNo00128899.840,683
08-3OutNo0793Yes1,214
23110-0OutNo0694100.029,947
09-2OutNo397Yes2,929
22010-1OutNo298Yes4,444
21011-0OutNo199Yes3,544
Total:0.5%No00001393326181020.3%7,044,980

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Car Stealers 5 Puckakke 4 +0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Red Wings vs Juggernauts+0.5-0.0-0.0-0.7-0.8-0.8
Eskimos vs Creamless Oreos-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Friars vs Black Flag-0.0+0.1+0.0+0.1+0.1-0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
43110-00211283120610
42100-1002724362461
41101-00211283319610
90-201622332883
4091-1018253423710
3992-000211283319610
81-20162034281020
3882-10019263422710
71-3151733301320
3783-000313303317400
72-20018243624610
61-414193431111
3673-100213313516300
62-3017253823500
3574-0005203829800
63-20021536341110
52-4011034371520
3464-1016264123300
53-3003204029700
42-5011538341010
3365-000214373510100
54-20111343914200
43-40829401940
3255-10042242256100
44-30216393211200
33-521136331530
3156-000111343615300
45-20018303819400
34-405243725710
3046-100318363011200
35-30111313518400
24-505233924810
2947-00017263723610
36-2005213628910
25-4021633331420
2837-10011129361930
26-300522382860
2738-0003173633101
27-2002133437141
16-4182842193
2628-10152442244
17-3021741337
2529-000111383811
18-2018354115
2419-104264724
08-32194830
23110-001144540
09-20114445
22010-1063658
21011-022572
Total:0000000012491418171310631