Guelph Guardians Playoff ChancesLost to Car Stealer 1-11, playoff odds down 10.5 to 11% 9 points 4 8-1 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain Wednesday | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Tier II | 100.0* | Average seed | Car Stealer 11 Guardians 1 | -5.9 | | +3.8 | | -0.5 | | Knights 1 Gunners 3 | -0.8 | | +0.1 | | -0.1 | | Rasputins 3 Black Flag 4 | +0.4 | | +0.5 | | | | Seals 3 Camels 2 | -0.3 | | -0.4 | | | | Pharaohs 10 Owls 1 | | | -0.4 | | | | Lions 4 Red Wings 2 | | | +0.2 | | | | Creamless Oreos 3 Night Hawks 1 | | | -0.1 | | | | | If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway | Thursday | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Tier II | 100.0* | Average seed | Colts vs Car Stealer | +0.4*-0.0*-0.1-0.3-0.4-0.2 | | +0.7+0.6+0.5*+0.1*-0.1-0.6 | | -0.0-0.1-0.1*-0.0-0.0+0.0 | | Oompa Loompa vs Stabbers | -0.3-0.4-0.4*-0.0*-0.0+0.3 | | | | | | Narwhals vs Friars | +0.1*-0.1*-0.1-0.4-0.3-0.1 | | -0.3*+0.1*+0.0+0.7+0.5+0.4 | | +0.0*-0.0*-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1 | | Owls vs Juggernauts | | | +0.2+0.8+0.6*+0.2*+0.1-0.3 | | | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Guardians finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance in | Pres | Chance will finish regular season at seed | | | TP | W | | L | - | OT | playoffs | Trophy | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | Tier II | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 63 | | 27 | 0 | - | 0 | In | 83.0 | % | 98 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 329 | | 60 | | 25 | 1 | - | 1 | In | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1 | | 59 | | 24 | 1 | - | 2 | In | No | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1 | | 58 | | 24 | 2 | - | 1 | In | 20.0 | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 5 | * | 57 | | 24 | 3 | - | 0 | In | 14.3 | | 36 | 57 | 7 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 14 | * | 56 | | 23 | 3 | - | 1 | In | 2.4 | | 33 | 50 | 17 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 42 | * | 55 | | 22 | 3 | - | 2 | In | 0.6 | | 25 | 61 | 12 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 155 | * | 54 | | 22 | 4 | - | 1 | In | No | 20 | 52 | 26 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 323 | * | 53 | | 21 | 4 | - | 2 | In | No | 8 | 49 | 34 | 8 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 704 | * | 52 | | 21 | 5 | - | 1 | In | No | 5 | 34 | 45 | 15 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,395 | * | 51 | | 20 | 5 | - | 2 | In | No | 1 | 22 | 44 | 25 | 6 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | No | 3,042 | * | 50 | | 20 | 6 | - | 1 | In | No | 0 | 11 | 35 | 37 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 5,533 | * | 49 | | 19 | 6 | - | 2 | In | No | 0 | 4 | 23 | 38 | 27 | 7 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 9,997 | * | 48 | | 19 | 7 | - | 1 | 100.0 | % | No | 0 | 1 | 11 | 31 | 35 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 16,668 | * | 47 | | 18 | 7 | - | 2 | 99.8 | | No | | 0 | 4 | 19 | 35 | 28 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 27,557 | * | 46 | | 18 | 8 | - | 1 | 98.6 | | No | | 0 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 34 | 24 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 41,483 | * | 45 | | 17 | 8 | - | 2 | 94.7 | | No | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 29 | 33 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 0 | | | | | No | 62,553 | * | 44 | | 17 | 9 | - | 1 | 83.5 | | No | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 32 | 30 | 13 | 3 | 0 | | | | | No | 87,061 | * | 43 | | 16 | 9 | - | 2 | 64.2 | | No | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 34 | 26 | 9 | 1 | 0 | | | | No | 120,179 | * | 42 | | 16 | 10 | - | 1 | 39.9 | | No | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 28 | 35 | 20 | 5 | 0 | 0 | | | No | 152,265 | * | 41 | | 15 | 10 | - | 2 | 19.8 | | No | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 33 | 32 | 13 | 1 | 0 | | | No | 193,777 | * | 40 | | 15 | 11 | - | 1 | 7.3 | | No | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 38 | 25 | 6 | 0 | 0 | | No | 228,471 | * | 39 | | 14 | 11 | - | 2 | 2.1 | | No | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 34 | 37 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 265,575 | * | 38 | | 14 | 12 | - | 1 | 0.6 | | No | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 6 | 26 | 42 | 22 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | % | 141,048 | | | 13 | 11 | - | 3 | 0.2 | | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 42 | 28 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | | 148,873 | * | 37 | | 13 | 12 | - | 2 | 0.1 | | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 12 | 38 | 36 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | | 172,708 | | | 12 | 11 | - | 4 | 0.1 | | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 12 | 37 | 36 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0.1 | | 140,355 | * | 36 | | 13 | 13 | - | 1 | 0.0 | | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 6 | 29 | 42 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 0.2 | | 153,012 | | | 12 | 12 | - | 3 | 0.0 | | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 42 | 25 | 5 | 0 | 0.6 | | 162,205 | * | 35 | | 12 | 13 | - | 2 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 16 | 40 | 33 | 9 | 1 | 1.9 | | 173,879 | | | 11 | 12 | - | 4 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 16 | 39 | 33 | 10 | 1 | 2.5 | | 140,473 | * | 34 | | 12 | 14 | - | 1 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 9 | 34 | 39 | 16 | 2 | 5.5 | | 143,250 | | | 11 | 13 | - | 3 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 6 | 29 | 41 | 21 | 3 | 9.8 | | 149,569 | * | 33 | | 11 | 14 | - | 2 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 41 | 28 | 6 | 19.3 | | 269,976 | * | 32 | | 11 | 15 | - | 1 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 12 | 37 | 38 | 12 | 37.8 | | 232,214 | * | 31 | | 10 | 15 | - | 2 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 6 | 29 | 44 | 21 | 58.5 | | 197,906 | * | 30 | | 10 | 16 | - | 1 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 20 | 45 | 32 | 76.9 | | 155,806 | * | 29 | | 9 | 16 | - | 2 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 12 | 43 | 44 | 89.0 | | 123,512 | * | 28 | | 9 | 17 | - | 1 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 7 | 36 | 57 | 95.7 | | 90,121 | * | 27 | | 8 | 17 | - | 2 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 28 | 68 | 98.6 | | 65,095 | * | 26 | | 8 | 18 | - | 1 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 20 | 79 | 99.7 | | 42,976 | * | 25 | | 7 | 18 | - | 2 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 14 | 86 | 99.9 | | 29,004 | * | 24 | | 7 | 19 | - | 1 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 9 | 91 | 100.0 | | 17,620 | * | 23 | | 6 | 19 | - | 2 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 6 | 94 | Yes | 10,612 | * | 22 | | 6 | 20 | - | 1 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 97 | Yes | 5,935 | * | 21 | | 5 | 20 | - | 2 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | 98 | Yes | 3,288 | * | 20 | | 5 | 21 | - | 1 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | Yes | 1,529 | * | 19 | | 4 | 21 | - | 2 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 754 | * | 18 | | 4 | 22 | - | 1 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 315 | * | 9 | -17 | | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | Yes | 575 | * | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 11.0 | % | 0.0 | % | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 17 | 16 | 14 | 10 | 19.5 | % | 3,989,740 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Make Playoffs
LotteryYe of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds. Big GamesWednesday | 100.0* | Lottery seed | Car Stealer 11 Guardians 1 | +1.0 | | Knights 1 Gunners 3 | +0.1 | | Lions 4 Red Wings 2 | -0.0 | | Pharaohs 10 Owls 1 | -0.0 | | Creamless Oreos 3 Night Hawks 1 | -0.0 | | Seals 3 Camels 2 | -0.0 | | | If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway | Thursday | 100.0* | Lottery seed | Narwhals vs Friars | -0.0*+0.0*+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1 | | Colts vs Car Stealer | +0.0+0.1+0.1*+0.0+0.0-0.0 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What If | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | TP | W | | L | - | OT | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 63 | | 27 | 0 | - | 0 | 83 | 16 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 60 | | 25 | 1 | - | 1 | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 59 | | 24 | 1 | - | 2 | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 58 | | 24 | 2 | - | 1 | 20 | 60 | 20 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 57 | | 24 | 3 | - | 0 | 14 | 43 | 21 | 21 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 56 | | 23 | 3 | - | 1 | 2 | 24 | 31 | 31 | 10 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 55 | | 22 | 3 | - | 2 | 1 | 12 | 32 | 37 | 15 | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 54 | | 22 | 4 | - | 1 | | 7 | 20 | 38 | 24 | 9 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 53 | | 21 | 4 | - | 2 | | 2 | 11 | 26 | 36 | 19 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 52 | | 21 | 5 | - | 1 | | 0 | 4 | 14 | 29 | 30 | 17 | 6 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 51 | | 20 | 5 | - | 2 | | 0 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 29 | 27 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 50 | | 20 | 6 | - | 1 | | | 0 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 27 | 26 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 49 | | 19 | 6 | - | 2 | | | | 0 | 2 | 7 | 16 | 26 | 25 | 15 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 48 | | 19 | 7 | - | 1 | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 24 | 25 | 18 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 47 | | 18 | 7 | - | 2 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 21 | 26 | 20 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 46 | | 18 | 8 | - | 1 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 18 | 24 | 23 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | 45 | | 17 | 8 | - | 2 | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 15 | 23 | 24 | 17 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 44 | | 17 | 9 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 21 | 25 | 20 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 43 | | 16 | 9 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 19 | 25 | 22 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 42 | | 16 | 10 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 16 | 24 | 25 | 16 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | 41 | | 15 | 10 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 24 | 26 | 18 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | 40 | | 15 | 11 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 24 | 28 | 19 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | 39 | | 14 | 11 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 25 | 29 | 19 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | 38 | | 14 | 12 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 29 | 27 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | 13 | 11 | - | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 25 | 30 | 20 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | 37 | | 13 | 12 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 29 | 28 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | 36 | | 13 | 13 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 23 | 32 | 24 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | 12 | 12 | - | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 30 | 29 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 35 | | 12 | 13 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 24 | 32 | 22 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 11 | 12 | - | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 31 | 23 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | 34 | | 12 | 14 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 29 | 30 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | 11 | 13 | - | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 25 | 31 | 22 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 33 | | 11 | 14 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 30 | 28 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 32 | | 11 | 15 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 22 | 31 | 25 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 31 | | 10 | 15 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 26 | 31 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 30 | | 10 | 16 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 31 | 30 | 14 | 2 | 29 | | 9 | 16 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 24 | 35 | 24 | 6 | 28 | | 9 | 17 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 33 | 34 | 13 | 27 | | 8 | 17 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 26 | 41 | 23 | 26 | | 8 | 18 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 42 | 36 | 25 | | 7 | 18 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 10 | 38 | 50 | 24 | | 7 | 19 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 31 | 63 | 23 | | 6 | 19 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 24 | 73 | 22 | | 6 | 20 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 17 | 82 | 21 | | 5 | 20 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 10 | 89 | 20 | | 5 | 21 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 6 | 93 | 19 | | 4 | 21 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 97 | 18 | | 4 | 22 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | 98 | 17 | | 3 | 22 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | 9 | -16 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 3 |
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