"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Tier II100.0*Average seed
Car Stealer 11 Guardians 1 -5.9
+3.8
-0.5
Knights 1 Gunners 3 -0.8
+0.1
-0.1
Rasputins 3 Black Flag 4 +0.4
+0.5
Seals 3 Camels 2 -0.3
-0.4
Pharaohs 10 Owls 1 -0.4
Lions 4 Red Wings 2 +0.2
Creamless Oreos 3 Night Hawks 1 -0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Tier II100.0*Average seed
Colts vs Car Stealer+0.4*-0.0*-0.1-0.3-0.4-0.2
+0.7+0.6+0.5*+0.1*-0.1-0.6
-0.0-0.1-0.1*-0.0-0.0+0.0
Oompa Loompa vs Stabbers-0.3-0.4-0.4*-0.0*-0.0+0.3
Narwhals vs Friars+0.1*-0.1*-0.1-0.4-0.3-0.1
-0.3*+0.1*+0.0+0.7+0.5+0.4
+0.0*-0.0*-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1
Owls vs Juggernauts+0.2+0.8+0.6*+0.2*+0.1-0.3

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Guardians finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy123456789101112131415Tier IICount
63270-0In83.0%982No329
60251-1InYes100No1
59241-2InNo100No1
58242-1In20.0100No5*
57243-0In14.336577No14*
56233-1In2.4335017No42*
55223-2In0.62561122No155*
54224-1InNo2052262No323*
53214-2InNo8493481No704*
52215-1InNo53445152No1,395*
51205-2InNo122442561No3,042*
50206-1InNo011353715200No5,533*
49196-2InNo04233827710No9,997*
48197-1100.0%No0111313518400No16,668*
47187-299.8No0419352812200No27,557*
46188-198.6No0182434248100No41,483*
45178-294.7No00212293318510No62,553*
44179-183.5No0041732301330No87,061*
43169-264.2No0017223426910No120,179*
421610-139.9No00210283520500No152,265*
411510-219.8No0041633321310No193,777*
401511-17.3No0016233825600No228,471*
391411-22.1No00212343713200No265,575*
381412-10.6No0162642224000.0%141,048
1311-30.2No0031942286000.0148,873*
371312-20.1No0112383611100.0172,708
1211-40.1No0212373612100.1140,355*
361313-10.0No006294219300.2153,012
1212-30.0No004244225500.6162,205*
351213-2OutNo02164033911.9173,879
1112-4OutNo021639331012.5140,473*
341214-1OutNo01934391625.5143,250
1113-3OutNo00629412139.8149,569*
331114-2OutNo003214128619.3269,976*
321115-1OutNo011237381237.8232,214*
311015-2OutNo00629442158.5197,906*
301016-1OutNo0320453276.9155,806*
29916-2OutNo0112434489.0123,512*
28917-1OutNo007365795.790,121*
27817-2OutNo03286898.665,095*
26818-1OutNo01207999.742,976*
25718-2OutNo01148699.929,004*
24719-1OutNo0991100.017,620*
23619-2OutNo0694Yes10,612*
22620-1OutNo0397Yes5,935*
21520-2OutNo298Yes3,288*
20521-1OutNo199Yes1,529*
19421-2OutNo0100Yes754*
18422-1OutNo0100Yes315*
9-17OutNo100Yes575*
Total:11.0%0.0%00011234710151716141019.5%3,989,740

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Car Stealer 11 Guardians 1 +1.0
Knights 1 Gunners 3 +0.1
Lions 4 Red Wings 2 -0.0
Pharaohs 10 Owls 1 -0.0
Creamless Oreos 3 Night Hawks 1 -0.0
Seals 3 Camels 2 -0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Narwhals vs Friars-0.0*+0.0*+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Colts vs Car Stealer+0.0+0.1+0.1*+0.0+0.0-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
63270-083161
60251-1100
59241-2100
58242-1206020
57243-014432121
56233-12243131102
55223-21123237153
54224-1720382492
53214-22112636194100
52215-1041429301761
51205-2015192927144100
50206-1016172726156200
49196-20271626251572000
48197-100161524251883100
47187-20014122126201141000
46188-1001391824231462000
45178-20002715232417831000
44179-10001512212520114100
43169-2000139192522135100
421610-1000271624251672000
411510-200026152426187200
401511-100015142428198200
391411-200015142529197100
381412-10016172927144100
1311-300031225302071000
371312-20015172928154100
361313-1000282332249200
1212-300151730291441000
351213-2002924322292000
1112-40002923312310200
341214-10014152930165100
1113-3002102531228200
331114-2001517302815410
321115-100182231251120
311015-200031226312061
301016-100015173130142
29916-200292435246
28917-1000415333413
27817-20018264123
26818-1003184236
25718-201103850
24719-10053163
23619-2032473
22620-1011782
21520-211089
20521-10693
19421-20397
18422-1298
17322-2199
9-16100
Total:00000000001111223456791010987643