Quebec City Fortress Playoff Chances 50/50Did not play, playoff odds down 0.3 to 53.9% 34 points 16 14-2 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain Sunday | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Tier II | 100.0* | Average seed | Red Wings 5 Juggernauts 0 | -0.8 | | | | | | Canadiens 5 Miners 4 | +0.6 | | | | +0.1 | | Speculum 2 Crusaders 0 | -0.2 | | | | | | | If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway | Monday | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Tier II | 100.0* | Average seed | Fortress vs Red Wings | +15.6+12.3+12.7-5.6-5.8-16.4 | | No*No*No*No*No+0.0 | | +0.6+0.5+0.5-0.2-0.2-0.6 | | Hipsters vs Anchors | +3.3+1.2+1.0-2.8-2.9-3.1 | | | | +0.1+0.0+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1 | | Speculum vs Juggernauts | +1.9+0.4*+0.4-1.6-1.9-1.8 | | | | +0.1-0.0-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1 | | Mad Cats vs Canadiens | -0.8-0.6-0.6*-0.2*+0.3+0.9 | | | | -0.1-0.1-0.1*-0.0+0.0+0.1 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Fortress finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance in | Pres | Chance will finish regular season at seed | | | TP | W | | L | - | OT | playoffs | Trophy | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | Tier II | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 50 | | 8 | 0 | - | 0 | In | No | | | 17 | 45 | 31 | 7 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 20,198 | | 49 | | 7 | 0 | - | 1 | In | No | | | 5 | 33 | 43 | 17 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 17,372 | | 48 | | 7 | 1 | - | 0 | In | No | | | 1 | 13 | 39 | 38 | 9 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 143,546 | | | 6 | 0 | - | 2 | In | No | | | 1 | 12 | 37 | 39 | 11 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 6,777 | | 47 | | 6 | 1 | - | 1 | 100.0 | % | No | | | 0 | 5 | 27 | 46 | 21 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 110,155 | | | 5 | 0 | - | 3 | In | No | | | | 2 | 13 | 42 | 40 | 4 | | | | | | | | No | 1,500 | | 46 | | 6 | 2 | - | 0 | 99.9 | | No | | | 0 | 1 | 8 | 39 | 47 | 5 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 444,406 | | | 5 | 1 | - | 2 | 99.7 | | No | | | 0 | 0 | 7 | 36 | 48 | 9 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 36,183 | | | 4 | 0 | - | 4 | 99.5 | | No | | | | | 5 | 28 | 47 | 18 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 211 | | 45 | | 5 | 2 | - | 1 | 98.8 | | No | | | | 0 | 2 | 23 | 54 | 19 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | No | 293,210 | | | 4 | 1 | - | 3 | 96.1 | | No | | | | | 1 | 10 | 53 | 33 | 4 | | | | | | | No | 6,738 | | | 3 | 0 | - | 5 | 95.7 | | No | | | | | | 13 | 52 | 30 | 4 | | | | | | | No | 23 | | 44 | | 5 | 3 | - | 0 | 93.0 | | No | | | | 0 | 0 | 6 | 48 | 39 | 7 | 0 | | | | | | No | 790,994 | | | 4 | 2 | - | 2 | 87.1 | | No | | | | | 0 | 4 | 38 | 45 | 12 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 80,917 | | | 3 | 1 | - | 4 | 81.5 | | No | | | | | | 2 | 29 | 50 | 18 | 1 | | | | | | No | 740 | | 43 | | 4 | 3 | - | 1 | 72.7 | | No | | | | | 0 | 1 | 23 | 48 | 25 | 2 | 0 | | | | | No | 435,823 | | | 3 | 2 | - | 3 | 58.7 | | No | | | | | | 0 | 13 | 46 | 36 | 5 | 0 | | | | | No | 11,702 | | | 2 | 1 | - | 5 | 55.3 | | No | | | | | | | 11 | 45 | 36 | 9 | | | | | | No | 47 | | 42 | | 4 | 4 | - | 0 | 48.5 | | No | | | | | | 0 | 9 | 40 | 44 | 7 | 0 | | | | | No | 882,634 | | | 3 | 3 | - | 2 | 33.9 | | No | | | | | | 0 | 4 | 30 | 50 | 15 | 1 | | | | | No | 95,430 | | | 2 | 2 | - | 4 | 24.1 | | No | | | | | | | 2 | 22 | 50 | 23 | 2 | | | | | No | 993 | | 41 | | 3 | 4 | - | 1 | 16.2 | | No | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 15 | 46 | 31 | 6 | 0 | | | | No | 387,126 | | | 2 | 3 | - | 3 | 8.0 | | No | | | | | | | 0 | 8 | 43 | 39 | 10 | 0 | | | | No | 10,554 | | | 1 | 2 | - | 5 | 5.1 | | No | | | | | | | | 5 | 23 | 49 | 23 | | | | | No | 39 | | 40 | | 3 | 5 | - | 0 | 5.8 | | No | | | | | | | 0 | 6 | 41 | 41 | 11 | 1 | | | | No | 627,417 | | | 2 | 4 | - | 2 | 2.3 | | No | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 28 | 46 | 22 | 2 | | | | No | 63,841 | | | 1 | 3 | - | 4 | 1.0 | | No | | | | | | | | 1 | 24 | 48 | 24 | 3 | | | | No | 613 | | | 0 | 2 | - | 6 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | | | | No | 1 | | 39 | | 2 | 5 | - | 1 | 0.4 | | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 11 | 39 | 39 | 11 | 0 | | | No | 206,901 | | | 1 | 4 | - | 3 | 0.0 | | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 7 | 34 | 44 | 14 | | | | No | 4,686 | | | 0 | 3 | - | 5 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | 17 | 75 | 8 | | | | No | 12 | | 38 | | 2 | 6 | - | 0 | 0.1 | | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 6 | 33 | 46 | 15 | 0 | | | No | 278,678 | | | 1 | 5 | - | 2 | 0.0 | | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 22 | 51 | 24 | 0 | | | No | 22,880 | | | 0 | 4 | - | 4 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | 1 | 11 | 55 | 33 | | | | No | 102 | | 37 | | 1 | 6 | - | 1 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 7 | 38 | 52 | 2 | 0 | | No | 61,720 | | | 0 | 5 | - | 3 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 6 | 36 | 57 | 1 | | | No | 815 | | 36 | | 1 | 7 | - | 0 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 4 | 33 | 58 | 4 | 0 | | No | 70,866 | | | 0 | 6 | - | 2 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 25 | 66 | 7 | 0 | | No | 3,347 | | 35 | | 0 | 7 | - | 1 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 7 | 73 | 19 | 1 | | No | 7,932 | | 34 | | 0 | 8 | - | 0 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 4 | 63 | 29 | 3 | | 0.3 | % | 8,371 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 53.9 | % | No | | | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 20 | 22 | 22 | 13 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | 0.0 | % | 5,135,500 | |
Chance Will Make Playoffs
LotteryYe of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds. Big GamesSunday | 100.0* | Lottery seed | Camels 2 Gunners 1 | -0.1 | | Colts 4 Stabbers 6 | -0.1 | | Canadiens 5 Miners 4 | -0.1 | | Speculum 2 Crusaders 0 | +0.0 | | | If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway | Monday | 100.0* | Lottery seed | Fortress vs Red Wings | -1.0-0.9-0.9+0.2+0.2+1.0 | | Hipsters vs Anchors | -0.1-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1 | | Speculum vs Juggernauts | -0.1+0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1 | | Mad Cats vs Canadiens | +0.1+0.1+0.1*+0.0-0.0-0.1 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What If | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | TP | W | | L | - | OT | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 50 | | 8 | 0 | - | 0 | | | | 0 | 1 | 7 | 23 | 32 | 24 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 49 | | 7 | 0 | - | 1 | | | | | 0 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 32 | 25 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 48 | | 7 | 1 | - | 0 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 27 | 30 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 6 | 0 | - | 2 | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 27 | 30 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 47 | | 6 | 1 | - | 1 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 29 | 31 | 17 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 5 | 0 | - | 3 | | | | | | | | | 1 | 5 | 15 | 33 | 33 | 12 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 46 | | 6 | 2 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 26 | 38 | 23 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 5 | 1 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 23 | 38 | 26 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 4 | 0 | - | 4 | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 4 | 16 | 30 | 39 | 9 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 45 | | 5 | 2 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 33 | 39 | 13 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 4 | 1 | - | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 18 | 44 | 29 | 6 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 3 | 0 | - | 5 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 22 | 43 | 30 | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 44 | | 5 | 3 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 40 | 37 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 4 | 2 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 7 | 32 | 40 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 3 | 1 | - | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 4 | 22 | 43 | 25 | 5 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 43 | | 4 | 3 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 39 | 30 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | 3 | 2 | - | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 8 | 29 | 40 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | 1 | - | 5 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | 34 | 32 | 28 | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 42 | | 4 | 4 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 39 | 30 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | 3 | 3 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 12 | 33 | 36 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | 2 | - | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 6 | 25 | 40 | 23 | 5 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | 41 | | 3 | 4 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 36 | 29 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 2 | 3 | - | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 10 | 32 | 35 | 17 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 2 | - | 5 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 5 | 15 | 26 | 38 | 13 | 3 | | | | | | | | | | 40 | | 3 | 5 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 24 | 37 | 25 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 2 | 4 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 32 | 34 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 1 | 3 | - | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 10 | 30 | 38 | 17 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | - | 6 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | 39 | | 2 | 5 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 34 | 31 | 12 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 1 | 4 | - | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 12 | 31 | 36 | 18 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | - | 5 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 33 | 58 | 8 | | | | | | | | | | 38 | | 2 | 6 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 37 | 27 | 8 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | 1 | 5 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 12 | 33 | 36 | 14 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | 0 | 4 | - | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 7 | 28 | 39 | 22 | 4 | | | | | | | | 37 | | 1 | 6 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 39 | 32 | 7 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | 0 | 5 | - | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 14 | 40 | 34 | 9 | 0 | | | | | | | 36 | | 1 | 7 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 23 | 39 | 26 | 6 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | 0 | 6 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 17 | 40 | 31 | 9 | 1 | 0 | | | | | 35 | | 0 | 7 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 5 | 29 | 41 | 20 | 4 | 0 | | | | | 34 | | 0 | 8 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 8 | 29 | 40 | 19 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 15 | 14 | 13 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | |
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