How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Tier II100.0*Average seed
Seagulls 6 Red Wings 2 +0.2
+0.1
Eskimos 4 Yellow Kings 3 (ot)-0.1
+0.2
Panthers 4 Seals 3 -0.4
Stars 2 Guardians 5 -0.2
Pharaohs 1 Fortress 2 -0.1
-0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Tier II100.0*Average seed
Flyers vs Yellow Kings+1.0+1.0+1.0+0.1+0.1-1.2
+2.1+1.7+1.6-1.1-1.0-2.0
-0.0-0.0NoNoNo+0.0
+0.5+0.4+0.4-0.1-0.1-0.5
H Crusaders vs Lions-0.1-0.2-0.1*+0.1*+0.1+0.2
Night Hawks vs Fortress-0.1*-0.1-0.1*+0.0*+0.0+0.1
+0.3+0.1+0.2-0.2-0.2-0.2
Panthers vs Stabbers-0.3-0.3-0.3+0.3+0.3+0.6
Stars vs Guardians+0.3+0.2+0.1-0.2-0.2-0.2
Colts vs Muskies+0.1*-0.0*-0.1*-0.1-0.2-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Flyers finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy123456789101112131415Tier IICount
66190-0In99.7%100No618
65180-1In98.51000No403
64181-0In96.1991No2,025*
63171-1In91.2973No4,888*
62172-0In84.99550No14,187*
61162-1In72.090100No27,423*
60152-2In58.083170No58,689*
59153-1In41.1732610No96,240*
58143-2In23.5603730No87,382
154-0In28.5643320No76,284*
57144-1In12.94746700No230,403*
56134-2In4.732531410No182,389
145-0In6.437511200No150,361*
55135-1In1.923542210No259,805*
124-3In1.0185327200No146,724*
54125-2In0.3104737600No347,578*
136-0In0.615513040No157,486*
53126-1In0.1639441110No332,453
115-3In0.0434471410No212,609*
52116-2In0.02234823400No332,740
127-0In0.03294818200No168,118
105-4InNo1204826500No92,186*
51117-1In0.01144432910No337,477*
106-3InNo010413612100No230,446*
50107-2100.0%No042941214000No306,829
118-0InNo07353916300No148,414
96-4InNo03264124510No90,290*
49108-1100.0No0218393010100No271,803
97-3100.0No0114363413200No195,328*
4898-2100.0No006253824710No225,214
109-0100.0No007273722610No175,353*
4799-199.9No0214333315300No177,265
88-399.7No0111303518400No128,341*
4689-298.6No0418353011100No130,801
910-098.8No005213627910No102,620*
45810-193.9No018253723600No158,982*
44710-281.7No00213323516300No108,840*
43711-159.9No004183730910No66,331*
42611-235.6No018273821500No40,391*
41612-115.1No0021334351420No21,450*
40512-25.3No0521382771No11,800*
39513-11.5No011029381830No5,538*
38413-20.2No031838301010No2,664*
37414-1OutNo16244223300.1%1,097*
36314-2OutNo214383780.5430*
35315-1OutNo527461753.3151*
34215-2OutNo611433466.447*
33216-1OutNo36432128.614*
32116-2OutNo33333366.73*
28019-0OutNo138799.2490
Total:97.9%3.6%112223161174311000000.0%5,919,400

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Monday100.0*Lottery seed
Seagulls 6 Red Wings 2 -0.1
Stars 2 Guardians 5 +0.0
Pharaohs 1 Fortress 2 +0.0
Panthers 4 Seals 3 +0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Flyers vs Yellow Kings-0.9-0.8-0.8+0.2+0.2+1.0
Stars vs Guardians-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
Panthers vs Stabbers+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
Colts vs Muskies-0.0+0.0+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
66190-01000
65180-1991
64181-09640
63171-19190
62172-0851410
61162-17225300
60152-25835710
59153-1414215200
58143-22342267100
154-02842236100
57144-114363314300
133-310323618400
56134-2521362710200
145-062535248100
55135-12123033185100
124-3182534238100
54125-203143031174100
136-01620332711200
53126-1017213225102000
115-3014163029154100
52116-200172131251120000
127-0003122632207100
105-4015183028144100
51117-100021125312182000
106-30017203025123100
50107-200029222923113100
118-000141427291861000
96-400171929251441000
49108-100310232822103100
97-3000171828251451000
4898-2000271726251561000
109-000141223282093100
4799-10028182624156100
88-300151323271993000
4689-2000151323261993000
45810-1001310202722124100
44710-200028182725145100
43711-10016162727166100
42611-20015152628176100
41612-1001413252919710
40512-201413262919610
39513-101413243019710
38413-201415272817610
37414-100414253218510
36314-2131630291830
35315-1151730301321
34215-21319362642
33216-172936217
32116-2333333
28019-016254226
Total:4681011111087654322111000000000000