Poris Academy Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds unchanged at 0.008%

11 points 5 18-1

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Friday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Tier II	100.0*	Average seed
Muskies 1 Diggers 6			-0.4

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Tier II	100.0*	Average seed
Owls vs Academy	-0.0OutOut*-0.0Out+0.0		+2.9+1.3+1.4-2.8-2.9-3.6		-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Hipsters vs Mad Cats			-0.3+0.2*+0.1+0.4+0.5+0.2
Oompa Loompa vs Narwhals			+0.2+0.3+0.1+0.0*+0.1-0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Academy finish out the regular season. Explain

										100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Pres	Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	Tier II		Count

43		16	0		-	0	87.6	%	No				0	1	12	35	39	11	1						No		623
42		15	0		-	1	In		No								100								No		1
41		15	1		-	0	33.3		No								33	53	13						No		15	*
40		14	1		-	1	6.5		No							2	4	35	48	9	2				No		46	*
39		14	2		-	0	3.3		No							0	3	21	43	29	3				No		241	*
38		13	2		-	1	0.9		No								1	5	30	42	20	2			No		548	*
37		13	3		-	0	0.1		No								0	3	18	40	32	7	0		No		1,927	*
36		12	3		-	1	Out		No									0	5	30	47	17	1		No		3,857	*
35		12	4		-	0	Out		No									0	1	16	46	32	5	0	0.1	%	11,006	*
34		11	4		-	1	Out		No										0	5	33	47	14	1	0.7		19,002	*
33		11	5		-	0	Out		No										0	2	23	50	23	2	2.6		26,246
		10	4		-	2	Out		No										0	1	16	47	32	4	5.2		19,027	*
32		10	5		-	1	Out		No											0	9	42	40	8	12.6		56,646
		9	4		-	3	Out		No											0	5	35	46	13	21.0		12,200	*
31		10	6		-	0	Out		No											0	4	32	49	15	27.1		76,105
		9	5		-	2	Out		No											0	2	24	51	23	38.0		60,819	*
30		9	6		-	1	Out		No											0	1	17	52	31	54.3		150,175
		8	5		-	3	Out		No											0	0	11	48	40	66.5		33,975	*
29		9	7		-	0	Out		No												0	9	47	43	72.8		173,748
		8	6		-	2	Out		No												0	6	41	53	80.2		131,689
		7	5		-	4	Out		No												0	3	35	62	87.7		13,133	*
28		8	7		-	1	Out		No												0	3	35	62	89.6		305,416
		7	6		-	3	Out		No												0	2	27	71	94.2		71,936	*
27		8	8		-	0	Out		No												0	1	26	73	96.0		308,539
		7	7		-	2	Out		No												0	1	19	80	97.7		237,604
		6	6		-	4	Out		No													0	14	86	98.8		23,875	*
26		7	8		-	1	Out		No												0	0	14	86	99.1		481,556
		6	7		-	3	Out		No													0	10	90	99.7		114,005	*
25		7	9		-	0	Out		No													0	9	91	99.8		433,287
		6	8		-	2	Out		No													0	5	95	99.9		328,428
		5	7		-	4	Out		No													0	3	96	100.0		32,044	*
24		6	9		-	1	Out		No													0	4	96	100.0		587,773
		5	8		-	3	Out		No													0	2	98	100.0		132,167	*
23		6	10		-	0	Out		No													0	2	98	100.0		474,456
		5	9		-	2	Out		No													0	1	99	100.0		341,417
		4	8		-	4	Out		No														1	99	100.0		31,475	*
22		5	10		-	1	Out		No														1	99	Yes		551,026
		4	9		-	3	Out		No														0	100	Yes		114,351	*
21		5	11		-	0	Out		No														0	100	Yes		407,272
		4	10		-	2	Out		No														0	100	Yes		265,706
		3	9		-	4	Out		No														0	100	Yes		21,735	*
20		4	11		-	1	Out		No														0	100	Yes		391,633
		3	10		-	3	Out		No														0	100	Yes		70,305	*
19		4	12		-	0	Out		No														0	100	Yes		263,592
		3	11		-	2	Out		No														0	100	Yes		160,211	*
18		3	12		-	1	Out		No														0	100	Yes		203,035
		2	11		-	3	Out		No														0	100	Yes		29,852	*
17		3	13		-	0	Out		No														0	100	Yes		126,282
		2	12		-	2	Out		No															100	Yes		61,004	*
11	-16						Out		No															100	Yes		166,369	*

Total:							0.0	%	No				0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	10	87	94.0	%	7,527,380

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Friday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Muskies 1 Diggers 6	-0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Owls vs Academy	+0.3+0.1+0.1-0.3-0.3-0.3

What If

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

43		16	0		-	0											1	3	13	26	31	19	7	1
42		15	0		-	1															100
41		15	1		-	0															7	53	33	7
40		14	1		-	1															4	9	22	24	26	11	2	2
39		14	2		-	0																1	7	23	27	30	10	2	0
38		13	2		-	1																	1	4	18	31	26	14	6	1	0
37		13	3		-	0																	0	2	8	19	29	25	12	3	0
36		12	3		-	1																		0	1	5	19	32	29	12	2	0
35		12	4		-	0																			0	1	8	22	33	26	9	1	0
34		11	4		-	1																				0	1	7	23	35	25	7	1	0
33		11	5		-	0																				0	0	2	12	30	35	18	3	0	0
32		10	5		-	1																					0	0	3	15	35	33	12	2	0
31		10	6		-	0																						0	1	7	27	38	22	5	0
		9	5		-	2																						0	0	4	20	38	29	8	1
30		9	6		-	1																						0	0	1	11	33	37	16	2	0
		8	5		-	3																							0	1	7	26	40	23	4	0
29		9	7		-	0																							0	0	4	22	40	27	6	0
		8	6		-	2																							0	0	2	17	38	33	9	0
28		8	7		-	1																								0	1	10	32	41	16	1
		7	6		-	3																								0	0	5	26	44	23	1
27		8	8		-	0																								0	0	4	21	45	28	2
		7	7		-	2																									0	2	17	44	34	3
		6	6		-	4																									0	1	12	40	42	5
26		7	8		-	1																									0	1	10	39	44	6
		6	7		-	3																									0	0	6	34	51	9
25		7	9		-	0																									0	0	4	29	55	12
		6	8		-	2																									0	0	3	24	57	16
		5	7		-	4																										0	1	18	59	21
24		6	9		-	1																										0	1	17	59	23
		5	8		-	3																										0	1	12	58	30
23		6	10		-	0																										0	0	9	56	34
		5	9		-	2																										0	0	6	53	41
		4	8		-	4																										0	0	4	48	48
22		5	10		-	1																											0	3	47	49
		4	9		-	3																											0	2	41	57
21		5	11		-	0																											0	1	37	61
		4	10		-	2																											0	1	31	68
20		4	11		-	1																											0	0	25	74
		3	10		-	3																												0	20	80
19		4	12		-	0																												0	18	82
		3	11		-	2																												0	13	87
18		3	12		-	1																												0	10	90
		2	11		-	3																													7	93
17		3	13		-	0																												0	6	94
		2	12		-	2																												0	4	96
16		2	13		-	1																												0	3	97
15		2	14		-	0																													1	99
14		1	14		-	1																													0	100
13		1	15		-	0																													0	100
11	-12																																			100

Total:																	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	3	7	16	35	36