"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Tier II100.0*Average seed
Fortress 4 Crusaders 5 +0.1
-0.1
Juggernauts 4 Creamless Oreos 5 +0.1
+0.2
Diggers 3 Mad Cats 4 +0.6
-0.1
Seals 2 Guardians 3 -0.3
Rioters 1 Anchors 2 -0.2
Camels 4 Colts 3 +0.1
Gunners 6 Car Stealer 2 -0.1
HC Stratovarius 5 Stabbers 6 (ot)*-0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Tier II100.0*Average seed
Academy vs Zambronies+1.8+1.5+1.6-0.3-0.3-1.2
-8.1-7.9-7.9*+0.1*+0.1+5.8
+0.4+0.3+0.3-0.0-0.0-0.3
Night Hawks vs Mad Cats-0.1*-0.1*+0.0*-0.1*-0.0+0.1
-0.5*+0.0*-0.1+0.8+0.7+0.6
+0.0*-0.0*+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.0
Crusaders vs Hogs-0.5*-0.1*-0.1+0.8+0.8+0.8
Oilers vs Rioters-0.2*+0.3*+0.2+0.6+0.6*+0.1
Gunners vs HC Stratovarius-0.4*-0.1*+0.3+0.7+0.5+0.4
Narwhals vs Black Flag+0.3*+0.3*+0.3*+0.2*+0.0-0.3

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Academy finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy123456789101112131415Tier IICount
57-65In99.2%100No372*
56244-1In25.02575No4*
55234-2In32.462325No37*
54235-1In13.347449No45*
53225-2In11.33245202No142*
52226-1In2.022492360No245*
51216-2In0.81235371520No633*
50217-1In0.25253923710No1,165*
49207-2In0.021336321530No2,350*
48208-1InNo15223526920No4,103*
47198-2100.0%No2102832206100No7,568*
46199-199.4No03143131164100No12,287*
45189-296.7No01519322713300No20,549*
441810-187.2No00172133261120No30,695*
431710-267.4No0029243223810No47,303*
421711-140.5No00211273220610No66,090*
411611-218.8No000415303116400No95,047*
401612-15.6No0151833291220No122,303*
391512-21.4No00182335248100.0%163,423*
381513-10.2No00212303518300.4196,109*
371413-20.0No0041836311013.0133,442
1514-00.0No015203529913.0108,897*
361414-10.0No0021131381729.7153,284
1313-3OutNo017264023417.3116,300*
351314-20.0No0004193931732.6312,087*
341315-1OutNo0011135401253.4184,858
1214-3OutNo001831441765.1138,885*
331215-2OutNo00424482480.2191,349
1316-0OutNo00525472377.1155,370*
321216-1OutNo00217483390.4193,337
1115-3OutNo00113464094.2142,208*
311116-2OutNo0008424997.6184,511
1217-0OutNo019434897.0151,021*
301117-1OutNo005365999.2175,505
1016-3OutNo003326599.6125,387*
291017-2OutNo02267299.9153,168
1118-0OutNo02277099.8125,044*
281018-1OutNo011980100.0232,003*
27918-2OutNo001387100.0199,258*
26919-1OutNo0892100.0152,819*
25819-2OutNo0595Yes121,394*
24820-1OutNo0397Yes85,163*
23720-2OutNo0298Yes63,017*
22721-1OutNo199Yes40,253*
21621-2OutNo00100Yes27,167*
20622-1OutNo0100Yes15,640*
19522-2OutNo0100Yes9,880*
18523-1OutNo0100Yes5,030*
17423-2OutNo0100Yes2,813*
7-16OutNo100Yes2,580*
Total:3.6%0.0%00000111246914243862.1%4,472,140

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
Diggers 3 Mad Cats 4 +0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday100.0*Lottery seed
Academy vs Zambronies-0.8-0.8-0.8+0.0+0.0+0.6
Crusaders vs Hogs-0.0*-0.0*-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Night Hawks vs Mad Cats-0.0*+0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.0
Gunners vs HC Stratovarius-0.0*+0.0*+0.0+0.1+0.0+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
65290-01000
57254-03367
56244-12575
55234-23238273
54235-1132942114
53225-211243320111
52226-121537241741
51216-2151729261561
50217-102519272615510
49207-20027182724146100
48208-10271626231673000
47198-200161423241993100
46199-1001310202421136200
45189-2002715232317931000
441810-10014101824211462000
431710-200026142123181041000
421711-100001381623221573100
411611-200015122023201251000
401612-1000271522231793100
391512-200015112024211251000
381513-1001381624241672000
371413-2000151323261993000
1514-0000127152324178300
361414-100016142426198200
1313-30013920272413410
351314-200013112228221020
1415-00001513232720920
341315-1000151426291861
1214-300031022302492
331215-200015152930163
321216-1000282234268
1115-30001518343211
311116-2000212303818
301117-100015214231
291017-2002134045
1118-0002144043
281018-100173458
27918-20032670
26919-10011980
25819-2011387
24820-100892
23720-20595
22721-10397
21621-20298
20622-1199
19522-2199
18523-10100
17423-20100
16424-10100
7-15100
Total:000000000000011111223345679121624