How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 1/15100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Qualify100.0*Average seed
Scotland 1 Bahrain 0 +14.0
+14.0
+0.4
Panama 1 Cyprus 3 +4.2
+4.2
+0.1
Malta 1 Italia 2 -2.6
-2.6
-0.1
Bangladesh 0 Tounes 0 +0.1
+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 1/22100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Qualify100.0*Average seed
Cyprus vs Scotland-10.3+2.6+8.1
-10.3+2.6+8.1
-0.3+0.0+0.3
Tounes vs Panama+3.3+1.7-4.7
+3.3+1.7-4.7
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Italia vs Bangladesh-0.6*+0.0+0.6
-0.6*+0.0+0.6
-0.1+0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Scotland finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-D-LplayoffsQualify12345678Count
344-0-0InYes100270,436
323-1-0InYes973868,922
313-0-1InYes88121,062,263
302-2-0InYes84161,063,672
292-1-1InYes63372,602,096
282-0-299.4%99.4%405911,592,520
1-3-099.799.753460578,455
271-2-198.698.63069102,120,458
261-1-293.093.01182702,599,106
0-4-095.495.417795117,383
251-0-378.578.53752011,061,835
0-3-183.083.0578161577,994
240-2-268.068.01672931,062,156
230-1-344.144.1444511865,461
220-0-421.121.12150290270,379
Total:90.5%90.5%395181016,713,136
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs