"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats" (thank you Mr. Dater) |
Italia Playoff Chances 24 50/50
Beat Malta 2-1, playoff odds up 11.5 to 94.6%
23 points 7-2-1
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 1/15 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Qualify | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Malta 1 Italia 2 | +9.9 | +9.9 | +0.3 | |||
| Panama 1 Cyprus 3 | +3.9 | +3.9 | +0.1 | |||
| Scotland 1 Bahrain 0 | -2.5 | -2.5 | -0.1 | |||
| Bangladesh 0 Tounes 0 | +0.1 | +0.1 | ||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||
| Week of 1/22 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Qualify | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Italia vs Bangladesh | +4.4*-0.0-4.4 | +4.4*-0.0-4.4 | +0.2-0.0-0.2 | |||
| Tounes vs Panama | +2.8+1.2-3.8 | +2.8+1.2-3.8 | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | |||
| Cyprus vs Scotland | -0.9+0.6+0.4 | -0.9+0.6+0.4 | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | |||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Italia finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | playoffs | Qualify | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | Count | ||||
| 33 | -35 | In | Yes | 100 | 1,137,237 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 32 | 3 | - | 0 | - | 1 | In | Yes | 98 | 2 | 1,062,387 | ||||||||||
| 31 | 2 | - | 2 | - | 0 | In | Yes | 97 | 3 | 1,060,423 | ||||||||||
| 30 | 2 | - | 1 | - | 1 | In | Yes | 87 | 13 | 2,602,411 | ||||||||||
| 29 | 2 | - | 0 | - | 2 | In | Yes | 71 | 29 | 1,592,783 | ||||||||||
| 1 | - | 3 | - | 0 | In | Yes | 84 | 16 | 577,428 | |||||||||||
| 28 | 1 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 99.7 | % | 99.7 | % | 62 | 38 | 0 | 2,124,096 | |||||||
| 27 | 1 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 98.2 | 98.2 | 38 | 60 | 2 | 0 | 2,600,146 | ||||||||
| 0 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 99.8 | 99.8 | 58 | 41 | 0 | 117,749 | ||||||||||
| 26 | 1 | - | 0 | - | 3 | 90.3 | 90.3 | 17 | 73 | 10 | 0 | 1,062,008 | ||||||||
| 0 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 94.6 | 94.6 | 27 | 67 | 5 | 0 | 577,287 | |||||||||
| 25 | 0 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 81.6 | 81.6 | 8 | 73 | 18 | 1 | 1,061,052 | ||||||||
| 24 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 3 | 60.6 | 60.6 | 1 | 59 | 36 | 4 | 867,726 | ||||||||
| 23 | 0 | - | 0 | - | 4 | 33.2 | 33.2 | 33 | 55 | 11 | 270,403 | |||||||||
| Total: | 94.6 | % | 94.6 | % | 59 | 35 | 5 | 0 | 16,713,136 | |||||||||||
* Row combines multiple less frequent records.
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 2:09 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
