Raiders Playoff Chances 2019-2019 50/50

Lost to Vikings 3-5, playoff odds down 22.2 to 52.9%

12 points 6 4-0

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

Week of 7/14	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Raiders 3 Vikings 5	-15.1		-0.8
Knights 5 Kodiaks 3	-2.9		-0.1
Piranhas 3 Spartans 5	-2.2		-0.1
Bulldogs 3 Chaos C3 4	-0.2		-0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Rebels vs Raiders	-20.4-5.8-5.9+17.5+17.5+18.6		-0.9-0.2-0.2+0.7+0.7+0.8
Vikings vs Angry Beavers	+2.6+1.3+1.3-2.4-2.5-2.4		+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Week of 7/21	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Piranhas vs Raiders	-19.7-5.0-4.9+17.9+17.6+17.7		-0.9-0.2-0.2+0.8+0.8+0.8
Spartans vs Chaos C3	+3.2-4.6-4.4-4.2-4.3-1.8		+0.0-0.2-0.2-0.1-0.1-0.0
Knights vs Bulldogs	-2.9-3.2-3.0-3.0-3.2+3.9		-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.1
Rebels vs Angry Beavers	+3.0+1.4+1.5-3.7-3.6-2.7		+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1
Kodiaks vs Vikings	+1.0+0.8+0.7-1.0-1.0-1.0		+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1

Chances based on how well the Raiders finish out the regular season. Explain

								100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	Count

20	4	0		-	0	In		60	36	4								1,046,083
19	3	0		-	1	99.9	%	16	51	30	3	0						566,197
18	3	1		-	0	98.9		6	34	47	13	1	0					3,611,147
	2	0		-	2	87.5		0	9	38	40	12	0					114,678
17	2	1		-	1	82.2		0	5	33	44	17	1					1,467,651
	1	0		-	3	49.9			0	11	39	41	9	0				10,468
16	2	2		-	0	46.8			0	10	37	41	11	0	0			4,684,624
	1	1		-	2	14.4				1	14	53	30	2	0			198,758
	0	0		-	4	9.6				1	9	45	40	5				342
15	1	2		-	1	9.2				0	9	46	39	6	0			1,266,971
	0	1		-	3	0.5					0	14	52	30	3			8,954
14	1	3		-	0	0.4					0	11	43	38	8			2,697,830
	0	2		-	2	0.0					0	3	35	49	13			85,477
13	0	3		-	1	Out						2	25	49	24			366,365
12	0	4		-	0	Out							2	28	69	1		587,595

Total:						52.9	%	6	12	17	18	19	14	9	4	0		16,713,140

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Week of 7/14	100.0*	Lottery seed
Raiders 3 Vikings 5	+0.8
Piranhas 3 Spartans 5	+0.1
Knights 5 Kodiaks 3	+0.1
Bulldogs 3 Chaos C3 4	+0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Rebels vs Raiders	+0.9+0.2+0.2-0.7-0.7-0.8
Vikings vs Angry Beavers	-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Week of 7/21	100.0*	Lottery seed
Piranhas vs Raiders	+0.9+0.2+0.2-0.8-0.8-0.8
Spartans vs Chaos C3	-0.0+0.2+0.2+0.1+0.1+0.0
Knights vs Bulldogs	+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.1
Rebels vs Angry Beavers	-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Kodiaks vs Vikings	-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10

20	4	0		-	0	60	36	4
19	3	0		-	1	16	51	30	3	0
18	3	1		-	0	6	34	47	13	1	0
	2	0		-	2	0	9	38	40	12	0
17	2	1		-	1	0	5	33	44	17	1
	1	0		-	3		0	11	39	41	9	0
16	2	2		-	0		0	10	37	41	11	0	0
	1	1		-	2			1	14	53	30	2	0
	0	0		-	4			1	9	45	40	5
15	1	2		-	1			0	9	46	39	6	0
	0	1		-	3				0	14	52	30	3
14	1	3		-	0				0	11	43	38	8
	0	2		-	2				0	3	35	49	13
13	0	3		-	1					2	25	49	24
12	0	4		-	0						2	28	69	1

Total:						6	12	17	18	19	14	9	4	0