Raiders Playoff Chances 2019-2019

Lost to Vikings 3-5, playoff odds down 13.4 to 84.5%

12 points 6 4-0

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

Week of 7/14	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Raiders 3 Vikings 5	-6.8		-0.7
Knights 5 Kodiaks 3	-0.4
Bulldogs 3 Chaos C3 4	-0.2
Piranhas 3 Spartans 5	-0.1		-0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Rebels vs Raiders	-11.4-1.6-1.5+11.1+11.1+11.3		-0.7-0.2-0.2+0.5+0.5+0.7
Vikings vs Angry Beavers	+1.3+0.9+0.8-0.9-0.9-0.9

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Week of 7/21	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Piranhas vs Raiders	-30.4-17.2-17.1+4.1+4.2+4.2		-1.2-0.7-0.7+0.2+0.2+0.2
Knights vs Bulldogs	-3.2-3.2-3.2-0.9-0.9+5.8		-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.1
Spartans vs Chaos C3	+3.1-3.4-3.4-3.5-3.5-2.4		-0.0-0.3-0.3+0.0+0.0+0.1
Rebels vs Angry Beavers	+1.0+0.3+0.2-2.9-2.8-2.9		-0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1-0.1+0.0
Kodiaks vs Vikings	+0.2+0.2+0.3-0.2-0.2-0.2

Chances based on how well the Raiders finish out the regular season. Explain

								100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	Count

20	4	0		-	0	In		22	56	22								15,489,566
19	3	0		-	1	99.5	%	1	32	56	11	1						3,487,309
18	3	1		-	0	96.7		0	11	59	27	3	0					22,259,422
	2	0		-	2	71.1		0	2	22	47	29	0					200,666
17	2	1		-	1	65.9		0	1	18	47	33	1					2,553,654
	1	0		-	3	41.6			0	6	36	50	8					4,217
16	2	2		-	0	39.7			0	6	34	50	10	0	0			8,161,192
	1	1		-	2	9.0				0	9	66	25	1	0			81,921
	0	0		-	4	11.5					12	38	50					26
15	1	2		-	1	6.3				0	6	57	35	2	0			526,759
	0	1		-	3	0.4					0	23	61	14	1			809
14	1	3		-	0	0.4					0	16	55	25	2			1,125,662
	0	2		-	2	Out						9	54	33	4			7,579
13	0	3		-	1	Out						5	42	43	11			33,274
12	0	4		-	0	Out							4	42	53	0		66,564

Total:						84.5	%	7	23	36	19	12	3	1	0	0		53,998,620

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Week of 7/14	100.0*	Lottery seed
Raiders 3 Vikings 5	+0.7
Piranhas 3 Spartans 5	+0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Rebels vs Raiders	+0.7+0.2+0.2-0.5-0.5-0.7

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Week of 7/21	100.0*	Lottery seed
Piranhas vs Raiders	+1.2+0.7+0.7-0.2-0.2-0.2
Spartans vs Chaos C3	+0.0+0.3+0.3-0.0-0.0-0.1
Knights vs Bulldogs	+0.1+0.1+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.1
Rebels vs Angry Beavers	+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1-0.0

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10

20	4	0		-	0	22	56	22
19	3	0		-	1	1	32	56	11	1
18	3	1		-	0	0	11	59	27	3	0
	2	0		-	2	0	2	22	47	29	0
17	2	1		-	1	0	1	18	47	33	1
	1	0		-	3		0	6	36	50	8
16	2	2		-	0		0	6	34	50	10	0	0
	1	1		-	2			0	9	66	25	1	0
	0	0		-	4				12	38	50
15	1	2		-	1			0	6	57	35	2	0
	0	1		-	3				0	23	61	14	1
14	1	3		-	0				0	16	55	25	2
	0	2		-	2					9	54	33	4
13	0	3		-	1					5	42	43	11
12	0	4		-	0						4	42	53	0

Total:						7	23	36	19	12	3	1	0	0