Knights Playoff Chances 2019-2019 50/50

Beat Kodiaks 5-3, playoff odds up 16.3 to 59.1%

14 points 6 3-2

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

Week of 7/14	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Knights 5 Kodiaks 3	+16.6		+0.7
Piranhas 3 Spartans 5	-3.3		-0.1
Raiders 3 Vikings 5	+2.9		+0.1
Bulldogs 3 Chaos C3 4	-0.5		-0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Rebels vs Raiders	+4.9+3.2+3.2-5.1-5.0-4.6		+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1
Vikings vs Angry Beavers	+2.8+1.1+1.1-2.6-2.6-2.6		+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Week of 7/21	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Knights vs Bulldogs	+21.6+20.2+20.0-3.0-3.1-24.2		+0.8+0.8+0.8-0.1-0.1-0.9
Piranhas vs Raiders	+5.3+3.6+3.5-5.1-5.0-5.0		+0.2+0.1+0.1-0.2-0.2-0.2
Spartans vs Chaos C3	+1.6-0.4-0.5-6.7-6.6-0.5		+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.2-0.2+0.0
Rebels vs Angry Beavers	+3.0+1.0+1.0-2.9-2.9-2.7		+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.0
Kodiaks vs Vikings	+0.7+0.7+0.7-0.7-0.7-0.7

Chances based on how well the Knights finish out the regular season. Explain

								100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	Count

20	3	0		-	0	100.0	%	31	51	17	1	0						2,091,855
19	2	0		-	1	99.5		8	38	45	9	0	0					848,674
18	2	1		-	0	91.6		0	11	45	35	8	0					5,413,788
	1	0		-	2	90.0		0	9	43	37	10	0					115,464
17	1	1		-	1	58.1			1	15	42	34	8	0				1,469,948
	0	0		-	3	52.3			0	13	39	36	11	0				5,214
16	1	2		-	0	21.3				2	19	46	29	3	0			4,682,700
	0	1		-	2	16.4				1	15	42	36	5	0			99,153
15	0	2		-	1	1.0					1	14	47	36	2			634,589
14	0	3		-	0	0.0					0	2	29	55	13			1,351,755

Total:						59.1	%	4	12	21	22	20	13	7	1			16,713,140

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Week of 7/14	100.0*	Lottery seed
Knights 5 Kodiaks 3	-0.7
Piranhas 3 Spartans 5	+0.1
Raiders 3 Vikings 5	-0.1
Bulldogs 3 Chaos C3 4	+0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Rebels vs Raiders	-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Vikings vs Angry Beavers	-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Week of 7/21	100.0*	Lottery seed
Knights vs Bulldogs	-0.8-0.8-0.8+0.1+0.1+0.9
Piranhas vs Raiders	-0.2-0.1-0.1+0.2+0.2+0.2
Spartans vs Chaos C3	-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.2+0.2-0.0
Rebels vs Angry Beavers	-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.0

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10

20	3	0		-	0	31	51	17	1	0
19	2	0		-	1	8	38	45	9	0	0
18	2	1		-	0	0	11	45	35	8	0
	1	0		-	2	0	9	43	37	10	0
17	1	1		-	1		1	15	42	34	8	0
	0	0		-	3		0	13	39	36	11	0
16	1	2		-	0			2	19	46	29	3	0
	0	1		-	2			1	15	42	36	5	0
15	0	2		-	1				1	14	47	36	2
14	0	3		-	0				0	2	29	55	13

Total:						4	12	21	22	20	13	7	1