Chaos C3 Playoff Chances 2019-2019
Did not play, playoff odds up 1.4 to 44.1%
15 points 7 4-1
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 7/21 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Spartans 3 Chaos C3 2 | -17.2 | -0.9 | ||
| Knights 3 Bulldogs 0 | -5.0 | -0.1 | ||
| Rebels 1 Angry Beavers 5 | -3.3 | +0.1 | ||
| Piranhas 4 Raiders 5 | -0.6 | -0.0 | ||
| If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway | ||||
| Week of 7/28 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Chaos C3 vs Angry Beavers | +37.0+34.9+34.9-27.2-27.1-40.8 | +0.9+0.9+0.9-0.6-0.6-1.0 | ||
| Knights vs Piranhas | -1.9-1.9-1.9+4.9+4.9+6.7 | -0.1-0.1-0.1+0.3+0.3+0.4 | ||
| Rebels vs Bulldogs | -1.4-1.4-1.4+3.3+3.2+4.6 | -0.1-0.1-0.1+0.2+0.2+0.3 | ||
| Kodiaks vs Spartans | +2.1*-0.0*-0.1-0.4-0.4-0.4 | +0.2+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.0 | ||
| Vikings vs Raiders | +1.9*+0.1*+0.1-0.5-0.5-0.5 | +0.3-0.0-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1 | ||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Chaos C3 finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | L | - | OT | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | Count | ||||
| 19 | 2 | 0 | - | 0 | 99.4 | % | 1 | 12 | 41 | 46 | 1 | 21,743,287 | ||||||||
| 18 | 1 | 0 | - | 1 | 30.6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 28 | 47 | 22 | 3,680,450 | ||||||||
| 17 | 1 | 1 | - | 0 | 6.9 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 37 | 57 | 23,503,356 | |||||||||
| 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 0.4 | 0 | 21 | 79 | 115,611 | ||||||||||||
| 16 | 0 | 1 | - | 1 | Out | 7 | 93 | 1,485,722 | ||||||||||||
| 15 | 0 | 2 | - | 0 | Out | 100 | 4,756,594 | |||||||||||||
| Total: | 44.1 | % | 0 | 5 | 16 | 23 | 19 | 37 | 55,285,020 | |||||||||||
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| Week of 7/21 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Spartans 3 Chaos C3 2 | +0.9 | |
| Knights 3 Bulldogs 0 | +0.1 | |
| Rebels 1 Angry Beavers 5 | -0.1 | |
| Piranhas 4 Raiders 5 | +0.0 | |
| If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway | ||
| Week of 7/28 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Chaos C3 vs Angry Beavers | -0.9-0.9-0.9+0.6+0.6+1.0 | |
| Knights vs Piranhas | +0.1+0.1+0.1-0.3-0.3-0.4 | |
| Rebels vs Bulldogs | +0.1+0.1+0.1-0.2-0.2-0.3 | |
| Vikings vs Raiders | -0.3+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1 | |
| Kodiaks vs Spartans | -0.2-0.1-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.0 | |
What If
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||
| TP | W | L | - | OT | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | ||
| 19 | 2 | 0 | - | 0 | 1 | 12 | 41 | 46 | 1 | |||||||
| 18 | 1 | 0 | - | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 28 | 47 | 22 | ||||||
| 17 | 1 | 1 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 37 | 57 | |||||||
| 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 0 | 21 | 79 | ||||||||||
| 16 | 0 | 1 | - | 1 | 7 | 93 | ||||||||||
| 15 | 0 | 2 | - | 0 | 100 | |||||||||||
| Total: | 0 | 5 | 16 | 23 | 19 | 37 | ||||||||||
Updated Saturday, 2023-10-21 11:30 PM Eastern (GMT-04:00)
