Sports Club Stats, which I have open
in like seven browser tabs always
-Katie Baker

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
MTL 7 SAS 3 +7.8
+0.2
OTT 2 POR 6 -0.6
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
MTL vs WIN+9.8+2.9-3.4
+0.2+0.1-0.1
POR vs NOT-3.1*-0.0+2.9
-0.1*-0.0+0.1
SAS vs EDM-1.8-0.2+1.6
OTT vs LON-1.8*+0.0+1.5
-0.1*-0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the MTL finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910Count
8524-0-0In127513954
7619-4-1In1001
7518-4-2In17836*
7418-5-1In6928329*
7317-5-2In4354365*
7217-6-1In041509208*
7116-6-2In265420491*
7016-7-1In17552801,149*
6915-7-2In9494202,595*
6815-8-1In4405605,174*
6714-8-2In23167110,244*
6614-9-1100.0%121762018,849*
6513-9-2100.0013824033,733*
6413-10-199.908848056,017*
6312-10-299.7048114090,131*
6212-11-199.202752210136,196*
6111-11-298.01663220200,186*
6011-12-195.20544150273,685*
5910-12-290.30415090199,603
9-11-490.104050100165,280*
5810-13-182.802954171208,110
9-12-381.602754181248,090*
579-13-270.801753272304,512
8-12-470.501753282248,151*
569-14-157.501048384290,388
8-13-355.4947405330,196*
558-14-241.40437509379,816
7-13-439.74365110153,425
9-15-042.4538499151,415*
548-15-128.12265616337,834
7-14-326.12255617360,457*
537-15-215.81155727389,097
6-14-415.61155727305,447*
527-16-18.5085239322,541
6-15-37.5075241312,934*
516-16-23.6044353322,788
7-17-03.6044353248,934*
506-17-11.5013365250,762
5-16-31.2013267216,686*
495-17-20.4002377211,894
6-18-00.502376162,709*
485-18-10.101585270,024*
474-18-20.00991193,305*
464-19-10.00595121,397*
453-19-2Out29875,373*
443-20-1Out19939,658*
432-20-2Out010021,425*
422-21-1Out01009,241*
412-22-0Out01004,145*
37-40Out1002,810*
Total:37.9%0000132433297,688,160

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Friday100.0*Lottery seed
MTL 7 SAS 3 -0.4
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
MTL vs WIN-0.5-0.1+0.2
POR vs NOT+0.1*+0.0-0.1
SAS vs EDM+0.1+0.0-0.1
OTT vs LON+0.1*+0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920
8524-0-0127513
7619-4-1100
7518-4-21783
7418-5-169283
7317-5-243543
7217-6-10415018
7116-6-2265420
7016-7-117550280
6915-7-2949420
6815-8-144005600
6714-8-223106701
6614-9-1121076020
6513-9-2013820400
6413-10-1088418000
6312-10-20481014000
6212-11-102750220000
6111-11-21660310100
6011-12-10540411310
5910-12-20410501540
9-11-40400501540
5810-13-10280541890
9-12-3027541890
579-13-2017053010181
8-12-401753010181
569-14-101048010293
8-13-3947011303
558-14-2043709427
7-13-4436010438
9-15-053809417
548-15-1226075114
7-14-3225075115
537-15-2115055425
6-14-4115055525
527-16-108025237
6-15-307025139
516-16-204014352
7-17-00414352
506-17-10103365
5-16-301003266
495-17-20002376
6-18-0002376
485-18-1001585
474-18-200991
464-19-100595
453-19-2298
443-20-1199
432-20-20100
422-21-10100
412-22-00100
37-40100
Total:0000013024052928