How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 7/22100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
TS vs JESS+0.7+0.1-0.3
+0.5+0.1-0.2
NP vs CU+0.2*-0.0-0.2
MYD vs CS-0.0*+0.0+0.1
+0.1-0.0-0.2
WBW vs IFBE+0.0-0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the TS finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs1234567891011121314Count
118-0--199.8%12138416101,248
10.57-0-097.01166111820203
107-1--185.4154411251323,970
6-0-185.514401328132110
9.56-1-054.00138213301604,722
5-0-251.435314272237
96-2--127.3001611036343041,141
5-1-126.8017010353532,327
4-0-350.03020203010
8.55-2-011.210011559140038,758
4-1-29.8911262151562
3-0-4Out1001
2-0-6Out1001
85-3--12.02008543330221,338
4-2-12.120754333014,618
3-1-31.6256325664
7.54-3-00.910135531000162,808
3-2-20.81133531302,783
2-1-4Out83176
74-4--10.000016532930682,557
3-3-10.000145329346,551
2-2-3Out1456263318
1-1-5Out50502
6.53-4-0Out04434570383,208
2-3-2Out4414886,336
1-2-4Out3657714
63-5--1Out119562501,255,604
2-5-1Out0853381501,633
2-4-1Out0185626077,934
1-3-3Out0195526428
0-2-5Out1001
5.52-6-0Out01316441,342,158
1-4-2Out07533916,862
0-3-4Out50508
51-6-1Out0206415343,609
1-5-1Out13064564,844
0-4-3Out227664226
4.50-5-2Out2065162,706
41-7--1Out056728769,151
0-7-1Out2376193,323
0-6-1Out5623421,195
3.50-8-0Out2278180,241
Total:0.5%0000001617313796,273,616
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 7/22100.0*Lottery seed
TS vs JESS-0.5-0.1+0.2
MYD vs CS-0.1+0.0+0.2
WBW vs IFBE-0.0+0.0+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314
118-0--11213841610
10.57-0-01166111820
107-1--115441125132
6-0-114401328132
9.56-1-0013821329161
5-0-2353142424
96-2--10016110363430
5-1-101701035363
4-0-330202030
8.55-2-0100115591400
4-1-2911262151
3-0-4100
2-0-6100
85-3--12008543330
4-2-1207543330
3-1-32563256
7.54-3-010135531000
3-2-2113353130
2-1-48317
74-4--100016532930
3-3-1001453293
2-2-31456263
1-1-55050
6.53-4-004434570
2-3-2441488
1-2-436577
63-5--111956250
2-5-10853381
2-4-101856260
1-3-30195526
0-2-5100
5.52-6-00131644
1-4-20753391
0-3-45050
51-6-10206415
1-5-1130645
0-4-3227664
4.50-5-2206516
41-7--1056728
0-7-123761
0-6-156234
3.50-8-02278
Total:000000161731379