The Big Patron Playoff Chances 2012Lost to DI 9-11, playoff odds down 18.7 to 70.6% 7-7-0 .500 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain If winner is:HomeTieAway | Week of 7/22 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed | TBP vs LFB | +14.4+5.1-4.5 | | +0.7+0.3-0.2 | | TS vs JESS | +5.8*+0.1-2.6 | | +0.1+0.0-0.0 | | WBW vs IFBE | -1.4+0.9+3.9 | | -0.1+0.1+0.3 | | MYD vs CS | -1.6+1.0+3.5 | | -0.0+0.0+0.1 | | DI vs HFB | -0.8+0.5+0.9 | | | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the TBP finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | | TW | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 14 | | 7 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | | 0 | 0 | 59 | 40 | | | | | | | | | | 38,825 | | 13 | .5 | 6 | - | 0 | - | 1 | In | | 0 | 0 | 51 | 48 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | 23,829 | | 13 | | 6 | - | 1 | - | 0 | In | | 0 | 0 | 28 | 70 | 0 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | 302,202 | | | 5 | - | 0 | - | 2 | In | | 0 | | 29 | 69 | 0 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | 6,363 | | 12 | .5 | 5 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 100.0 | % | | 0 | 0 | 17 | 75 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | 155,099 | | | 4 | - | 0 | - | 3 | In | | | | 18 | 72 | 1 | 8 | 1 | | | | | | | 882 | | 12 | | 5 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 99.9 | | | 0 | 0 | 6 | 74 | 5 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | 921,147 | | | 4 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 99.9 | | | | 0 | 7 | 74 | 6 | 11 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | 32,300 | | | 3 | - | 0 | - | 4 | 98.9 | | | | | 11 | 72 | 5 | 9 | 2 | 1 | | | | | | 88 | | 11 | .5 | 4 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 98.3 | | | | | 1 | 54 | 15 | 16 | 12 | 2 | 0 | | | | | 377,249 | | | 3 | - | 1 | - | 3 | 98.0 | | | | | 1 | 54 | 12 | 18 | 14 | 2 | | | | | | 3,668 | | | 2 | - | 0 | - | 5 | 80.0 | | | | | | 60 | | 20 | | 20 | | | | | | 5 | | 11 | | 4 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 93.4 | | | | | 0 | 33 | 21 | 15 | 25 | 7 | 0 | | | | | 1,424,990 | | | 3 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 93.9 | | | | | 0 | 31 | 22 | 16 | 25 | 6 | 0 | | | | | 60,710 | | | 2 | - | 1 | - | 4 | 93.4 | | | | | 0 | 29 | 28 | 16 | 20 | 6 | 0 | | | | | 228 | | 10 | .5 | 3 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 75.1 | | | | | 0 | 13 | 21 | 8 | 33 | 24 | 1 | | | | | 452,872 | | | 2 | - | 2 | - | 3 | 74.1 | | | | | | 11 | 19 | 8 | 35 | 25 | 0 | | | | | 4,878 | | | 1 | - | 1 | - | 5 | 50.0 | | | | | | 17 | 17 | | 17 | 50 | | | | | | 6 | | 10 | | 3 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 54.5 | | | | | 0 | 4 | 16 | 3 | 31 | 42 | 4 | 0 | | | | 1,232,999 | | | 2 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 55.9 | | | | | | 3 | 15 | 4 | 33 | 41 | 3 | 0 | | | | 52,999 | | | 1 | - | 2 | - | 4 | 48.4 | | | | | | 3 | 9 | 5 | 31 | 45 | 6 | | | | | 190 | | 9 | .5 | 2 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 25.7 | | | | | | 1 | 7 | 1 | 17 | 64 | 10 | 0 | | | | 285,095 | | | 1 | - | 3 | - | 3 | 25.6 | | | | | | 1 | 6 | 1 | 19 | 63 | 11 | 0 | | | | 2,690 | | | 0 | - | 2 | - | 5 | 33.3 | | | | | | | | | 33 | 33 | 33 | | | | | 3 | | 9 | | 2 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 10.4 | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 58 | 30 | 2 | 0 | | | 598,924 | | | 1 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 10.0 | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 58 | 30 | 2 | 0 | | | 21,906 | | | 0 | - | 3 | - | 4 | 6.0 | | | | | | | | | 6 | 70 | 24 | | | | | 50 | | 8 | .5 | 1 | - | 5 | - | 1 | 2.0 | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 47 | 44 | 7 | 0 | 0 | | 89,668 | | | 0 | - | 4 | - | 3 | 0.7 | | | | | | | 0 | | 0 | 44 | 46 | 8 | 1 | | | 555 | | 8 | | 1 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 0.3 | | | | | | | 0 | | 0 | 16 | 51 | 28 | 5 | 0 | | 151,812 | | | 0 | - | 5 | - | 2 | 0.2 | | | | | | | | | 0 | 18 | 51 | 27 | 4 | 0 | | 3,350 | | 7 | .5 | 0 | - | 6 | - | 1 | 0.0 | | | | | | | | | 0 | 7 | 42 | 39 | 12 | 1 | | 11,059 | | 7 | | 0 | - | 7 | - | 0 | Out | | | | | | | | | 0 | 11 | 41 | 40 | 7 | 0 | 16,975 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 70.6 | % | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 30 | 12 | 8 | 18 | 22 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6,273,616 | |
Chance Will Make Playoffs
LotteryYe of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds. Big GamesIf winner is:HomeTieAway | Week of 7/22 | 100.0* | Lottery seed | TBP vs LFB | -0.7-0.3+0.2 | | WBW vs IFBE | +0.1-0.1-0.3 | | TS vs JESS | -0.1-0.0+0.0 | | MYD vs CS | +0.0-0.0-0.1 | |
What If | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | TW | W | - | L | - | T | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 14 | | 7 | - | 0 | - | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 59 | 40 | | | | | | | | | | 13 | .5 | 6 | - | 0 | - | 1 | | 0 | 0 | 51 | 48 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | 13 | | 6 | - | 1 | - | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 28 | 70 | 0 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | 5 | - | 0 | - | 2 | | 0 | | 29 | 69 | 0 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | 12 | .5 | 5 | - | 1 | - | 1 | | 0 | 0 | 17 | 75 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | 4 | - | 0 | - | 3 | | | | 18 | 72 | 1 | 8 | 1 | | | | | | | 12 | | 5 | - | 2 | - | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 6 | 74 | 5 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | 4 | - | 1 | - | 2 | | | 0 | 7 | 74 | 6 | 11 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | 3 | - | 0 | - | 4 | | | | 11 | 72 | 5 | 9 | 2 | 1 | | | | | | 11 | .5 | 4 | - | 2 | - | 1 | | | | 1 | 54 | 15 | 16 | 12 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | 3 | - | 1 | - | 3 | | | | 1 | 54 | 12 | 18 | 14 | 2 | | | | | | | 2 | - | 0 | - | 5 | | | | | 60 | | 20 | | 20 | | | | | | 11 | | 4 | - | 3 | - | 0 | | | | 0 | 33 | 21 | 15 | 25 | 7 | 0 | 0 | | | | | 3 | - | 2 | - | 2 | | | | 0 | 31 | 22 | 16 | 25 | 6 | 0 | | | | | | 2 | - | 1 | - | 4 | | | | 0 | 29 | 28 | 16 | 20 | 6 | 0 | | | | | 10 | .5 | 3 | - | 3 | - | 1 | | | | 0 | 13 | 21 | 8 | 33 | 24 | 1 | | | | | | 2 | - | 2 | - | 3 | | | | | 11 | 19 | 8 | 35 | 25 | 1 | | | | | | 1 | - | 1 | - | 5 | | | | | 17 | 17 | | 17 | 50 | | | | | | 10 | | 3 | - | 4 | - | 0 | | | | 0 | 4 | 16 | 3 | 31 | 42 | 4 | 0 | | | | | 2 | - | 3 | - | 2 | | | | | 3 | 15 | 4 | 33 | 41 | 3 | 0 | | | | | 1 | - | 2 | - | 4 | | | | | 3 | 9 | 5 | 31 | 45 | 6 | | | | | 9 | .5 | 2 | - | 4 | - | 1 | | | | | 1 | 7 | 1 | 17 | 64 | 10 | 0 | | | | | 1 | - | 3 | - | 3 | | | | | 1 | 6 | 1 | 19 | 62 | 12 | 0 | | | | | 0 | - | 2 | - | 5 | | | | | | | | 33 | 33 | 33 | | | | | 9 | | 2 | - | 5 | - | 0 | | | | | 0 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 58 | 30 | 2 | 0 | | | | 1 | - | 4 | - | 2 | | | | | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 58 | 29 | 2 | 0 | | | | 0 | - | 3 | - | 4 | | | | | | | | 6 | 70 | 24 | | | | | 8 | .5 | 1 | - | 5 | - | 1 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 46 | 44 | 7 | 0 | 0 | | | 0 | - | 4 | - | 3 | | | | | | 0 | | 0 | 45 | 46 | 8 | 1 | | | 8 | | 1 | - | 6 | - | 0 | | | | | | 0 | | 0 | 16 | 51 | 28 | 5 | 0 | | | 0 | - | 5 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | 0 | 18 | 51 | 27 | 4 | 0 | | 7 | .5 | 0 | - | 6 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | 0 | 7 | 42 | 39 | 12 | 1 | | 7 | | 0 | - | 7 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | 0 | 11 | 41 | 40 | 7 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 30 | 12 | 8 | 18 | 22 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
|