Jessica's Playoff Chances 2012 50/50

Beat AWP 11-10, playoff odds up 15.3 to 63%

7-7-0 .500

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the JESS finish out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	Count

14		7	-	0	-	0	In		1	13	1	80	0		6								33,069
13		6	-	1	-	0	In		0	2	1	65	5	0	27	1							221,991
		6	-	0	-	0	In		0	5	1	74	1		19	0							18,591
		5	-	0	-	2	In		0	1	1	65	5	0	28	0							4,807
12		5	-	2	-	0	99.9	%		0	0	22	13	1	54	10	0						666,770
		5	-	1	-	0	100.0			0	0	38	7	0	49	5	0						113,349
		4	-	0	-	2	In					39	6	0	51	4							670
		3	-	0	-	4	In					20	11		58	12							66
11	.5	4	-	1	-	1	99.9			0	0	22	12	1	54	10	0						23,951
		2	-	0	-	5	In					33				67							3
11		4	-	3	-	0	94.5					1	5	2	44	42	5	0					1,107,033
		4	-	2	-	0	98.8					5	7	1	55	31	1	0					283,464
		3	-	2	-	2	94.2					1	4	2	43	44	6	0					48,548
		3	-	1	-	2	99.3					5	8	1	56	30	1						2,783
		2	-	1	-	4	95.0						6	1	48	40	5						159
10	.5	3	-	3	-	1	75.9					0	1	1	19	56	22	3	0	0			378,270
		2	-	2	-	3	75.7					0	0	1	19	55	22	2					4,068
		1	-	1	-	5	87.5									88	13						8
10		3	-	4	-	0	51.2					0	0	0	8	43	39	9	0	0			1,109,002
		2	-	3	-	2	51.5						0	0	8	44	40	9	0	0			48,092
		1	-	2	-	4	56.3								9	47	39	5					190
9	.5	2	-	4	-	1	18.9						0	0	1	18	46	31	4	0	0		283,629
		1	-	3	-	3	18.4							0	1	18	46	31	5	0			2,733
		0	-	2	-	5	Out										80	20					5
9		2	-	5	-	0	4.4						0	0	0	4	28	45	19	3	0	0	665,911
		1	-	4	-	2	4.7								0	5	30	45	18	2	0		24,006
		0	-	3	-	4	1.9									2	40	36	19	4			53
8	.5	1	-	6	-	1	0.0									0	1	14	38	36	11	1	222,261
		1	-	5	-	1	0.4									0	9	38	38	13	2	0	113,530
		0	-	4	-	3	0.1									0	8	35	40	15	1		715
8		0	-	5	-	2	Out										1	14	40	33	11	1	4,779
7	.5	0	-	6	-	1	Out										0	3	22	43	28	3	18,872
7		0	-	7	-	0	Out											0	4	28	52	16	32,781

Total:							63.0	%	0	0	0	8	3	1	25	26	17	11	5	2	1	0	5,434,159

Games Above .500 (Full Screen)

Chance Will Make Playoffs (Full Screen)

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14

14		7	-	0	-	0	1	13	1	80	0		6
13		6	-	1	-	0	0	2	1	65	5	0	27	1
		6	-	0	-	0	0	5	1	74	1		19	0
		5	-	0	-	2	0	1	1	65	5	0	28	0
12		5	-	2	-	0		0	0	22	13	1	54	10	0	0
		5	-	1	-	0		0	0	38	7	0	49	5	0
		4	-	0	-	2				39	6	0	51	4
		3	-	0	-	4				20	11		58	12
11	.5	4	-	1	-	1		0	0	22	12	1	54	10	0	0
		2	-	0	-	5				33				67
11		4	-	3	-	0				1	5	2	44	42	5	0
		4	-	2	-	0				5	7	1	55	31	1	0
		3	-	2	-	2				1	4	2	43	44	6	0
		3	-	1	-	2				5	8	1	56	30	1
		2	-	1	-	4					6	1	48	40	5
10	.5	3	-	3	-	1				0	1	1	19	56	22	3	0	0
		2	-	2	-	3				0	0	1	19	55	22	2
		1	-	1	-	5								88	13
10		3	-	4	-	0				0	0	0	8	43	39	9	0	0
		2	-	3	-	2					0	0	8	44	39	9	0	0
		1	-	2	-	4							9	47	38	6
9	.5	2	-	4	-	1					0	0	1	18	46	31	4	0	0
		1	-	3	-	3						0	1	18	45	31	5	0
		0	-	2	-	5									80	20
9		2	-	5	-	0					0	0	0	4	28	45	19	3	0	0
		1	-	4	-	2							0	5	30	45	18	2	0
		0	-	3	-	4								2	40	36	19	4
8	.5	1	-	6	-	1								0	1	14	38	36	11	1
		1	-	5	-	1								0	9	38	38	13	2	0
		0	-	4	-	3								0	8	34	40	15	1
8		0	-	5	-	2									1	14	40	33	11	1
7	.5	0	-	6	-	1									0	3	22	43	28	3
7		0	-	7	-	0										0	4	28	52	16

Total:							0	0	0	8	3	1	25	26	17	11	5	2	1	0