Jessica's Playoff Chances 2012Beat AWP 11-10, playoff odds up 22.9 to 72.7% 7-7-0 .500 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain If winner is:HomeTieAway | Week of 7/22 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed | TS vs JESS | -16.5-4.6+7.7 | | -0.6-0.2+0.3 | | WBW vs IFBE | -1.9+0.9+5.4 | | -0.0+0.0+0.1 | | TBP vs LFB | -4.2-0.6+1.3 | | -0.1-0.0+0.0 | | MYD vs CS | -1.5*-0.1+3.3 | | -0.1*+0.0+0.1 | | DI vs HFB | -0.9*+0.2+1.2 | | | | RNAT vs AWP | +0.2*-0.1-0.3 | | +0.1-0.1-0.1 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the JESS finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | | TW | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 14 | | 7 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | | 1 | 0 | 81 | 0 | | 18 | | | | | | | | 53,129 | | 13 | .5 | 6 | - | 0 | - | 1 | In | | 0 | 0 | 57 | 1 | | 41 | 0 | | | | | | | 31,911 | | 13 | | 6 | - | 1 | - | 0 | In | | 0 | 0 | 46 | 4 | 0 | 49 | 1 | | | | | | | 388,119 | | | 5 | - | 0 | - | 2 | In | | | 0 | 46 | 4 | | 49 | 1 | | | | | | | 8,171 | | 12 | .5 | 5 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 100.0 | % | | 0 | 0 | 19 | 5 | 0 | 68 | 8 | 0 | | | | | | 189,367 | | | 4 | - | 0 | - | 3 | In | | | | 20 | 6 | | 68 | 7 | | | | | | | 1,095 | | 12 | | 5 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 99.8 | | | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | 1 | 68 | 16 | 0 | 0 | | | | | 1,067,492 | | | 4 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 99.8 | | | | | 9 | 7 | 0 | 67 | 17 | 0 | | | | | | 37,566 | | | 3 | - | 0 | - | 4 | 98.9 | | | | | 12 | 6 | | 67 | 14 | 1 | | | | | | 90 | | 11 | .5 | 4 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 97.9 | | | | | 1 | 2 | 0 | 53 | 41 | 2 | 0 | | | | | 414,692 | | | 3 | - | 1 | - | 3 | 98.3 | | | | | 1 | 3 | 1 | 57 | 37 | 2 | 0 | | | | | 3,946 | | | 2 | - | 0 | - | 5 | In | | | | | | | 50 | 50 | | | | | | | 2 | | 11 | | 4 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 91.1 | | | | | 0 | 1 | 1 | 37 | 52 | 9 | 0 | | | | | 1,468,072 | | | 3 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 90.8 | | | | | 0 | 1 | 1 | 36 | 53 | 9 | 0 | | | | | 63,402 | | | 2 | - | 1 | - | 4 | 91.8 | | | | | 0 | 1 | | 41 | 50 | 8 | 0 | | | | | 232 | | 10 | .5 | 3 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 71.4 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 58 | 27 | 2 | 0 | | | | 440,536 | | | 2 | - | 2 | - | 3 | 72.8 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 15 | 58 | 26 | 1 | | | | | 4,715 | | | 1 | - | 1 | - | 5 | 57.1 | | | | | | | | | 57 | 43 | | | | | | 7 | | 10 | | 3 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 49.1 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 6 | 44 | 46 | 5 | 0 | | | | 1,117,319 | | | 2 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 48.7 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 44 | 47 | 5 | 0 | | | | 48,818 | | | 1 | - | 2 | - | 4 | 40.1 | | | | | | | | 4 | 36 | 55 | 5 | | | | | 187 | | 9 | .5 | 2 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 20.9 | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 20 | 59 | 20 | 0 | 0 | | | 243,927 | | | 1 | - | 3 | - | 3 | 20.6 | | | | | | | | 1 | 20 | 60 | 19 | 0 | 0 | | | 2,379 | | | 0 | - | 2 | - | 5 | Out | | | | | | | | | 100 | | | | | | 1 | | 9 | | 2 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 7.7 | | | | | | | | 0 | 8 | 54 | 35 | 3 | 0 | | | 476,066 | | | 1 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 7.8 | | | | | | | | 0 | 8 | 55 | 35 | 2 | 0 | | | 17,432 | | | 0 | - | 3 | - | 4 | 9.1 | | | | | | | | | 9 | 59 | 32 | | | | | 44 | | 8 | .5 | 1 | - | 5 | - | 1 | 1.2 | | | | | | | | | 1 | 30 | 55 | 13 | 1 | 0 | | 67,462 | | | 0 | - | 4 | - | 3 | 1.0 | | | | | | | | | 1 | 28 | 57 | 13 | 0 | | | 395 | | 8 | | 1 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 0.1 | | | | | | | | | 0 | 12 | 49 | 32 | 6 | 0 | | 106,419 | | | 0 | - | 5 | - | 2 | 0.1 | | | | | | | | | 0 | 13 | 50 | 31 | 5 | 0 | | 2,373 | | 7 | .5 | 0 | - | 6 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | | | | 2 | 31 | 46 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 7,410 | | 7 | | 0 | - | 7 | - | 0 | Out | | | | | | | | | 0 | 7 | 35 | 44 | 14 | 0 | 10,840 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 72.7 | % | | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 32 | 32 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6,273,616 | |
Chance Will Make Playoffs
LotteryYe of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds. Big GamesIf winner is:HomeTieAway | Week of 7/22 | 100.0* | Lottery seed | TS vs JESS | +0.6+0.2-0.3 | | MYD vs CS | +0.1*-0.0-0.2 | | RNAT vs AWP | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | | WBW vs IFBE | +0.0-0.0-0.1 | | TBP vs LFB | +0.1+0.0-0.0 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What If | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | TW | W | - | L | - | T | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 14 | | 7 | - | 0 | - | 0 | | 1 | 0 | 81 | 0 | | 18 | | | | | | | | 13 | .5 | 6 | - | 0 | - | 1 | | 0 | 0 | 57 | 1 | | 41 | 0 | | | | | | | 13 | | 6 | - | 1 | - | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 46 | 4 | 0 | 49 | 1 | | | | | | | | 5 | - | 0 | - | 2 | | | 0 | 46 | 4 | | 49 | 1 | | | | | | | 12 | .5 | 5 | - | 1 | - | 1 | | 0 | 0 | 19 | 5 | 0 | 68 | 8 | 0 | | | | | | | 4 | - | 0 | - | 3 | | | | 20 | 6 | | 68 | 7 | | | | | | | 12 | | 5 | - | 2 | - | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | 1 | 68 | 16 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | 4 | - | 1 | - | 2 | | | | 9 | 7 | 0 | 67 | 17 | 0 | | | | | | | 3 | - | 0 | - | 4 | | | | 12 | 6 | | 67 | 14 | 1 | | | | | | 11 | .5 | 4 | - | 2 | - | 1 | | | | 1 | 2 | 0 | 53 | 41 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | 3 | - | 1 | - | 3 | | | | 1 | 3 | 1 | 57 | 37 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | 2 | - | 0 | - | 5 | | | | | | | 50 | 50 | | | | | | | 11 | | 4 | - | 3 | - | 0 | | | | 0 | 1 | 1 | 37 | 52 | 9 | 0 | | | | | | 3 | - | 2 | - | 2 | | | | 0 | 1 | 1 | 36 | 53 | 9 | 0 | | | | | | 2 | - | 1 | - | 4 | | | | 0 | 1 | | 41 | 50 | 8 | 0 | | | | | 10 | .5 | 3 | - | 3 | - | 1 | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 58 | 27 | 2 | 0 | | | | | 2 | - | 2 | - | 3 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 15 | 58 | 26 | 2 | | | | | | 1 | - | 1 | - | 5 | | | | | | | | 57 | 43 | | | | | | 10 | | 3 | - | 4 | - | 0 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 6 | 44 | 46 | 5 | 0 | | | | | 2 | - | 3 | - | 2 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 44 | 47 | 5 | 0 | | | | | 1 | - | 2 | - | 4 | | | | | | | 4 | 36 | 55 | 5 | | | | | 9 | .5 | 2 | - | 4 | - | 1 | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 20 | 59 | 20 | 0 | 0 | | | | 1 | - | 3 | - | 3 | | | | | | | 1 | 20 | 60 | 19 | 0 | 0 | | | | 0 | - | 2 | - | 5 | | | | | | | | | 100 | | | | | | 9 | | 2 | - | 5 | - | 0 | | | | | | | 0 | 8 | 54 | 35 | 3 | 0 | | | | 1 | - | 4 | - | 2 | | | | | | | 0 | 8 | 55 | 35 | 2 | 0 | | | | 0 | - | 3 | - | 4 | | | | | | | | 9 | 59 | 32 | | | | | 8 | .5 | 1 | - | 5 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | 1 | 30 | 55 | 13 | 1 | 0 | | | 0 | - | 4 | - | 3 | | | | | | | | 1 | 28 | 57 | 14 | 0 | | | 8 | | 1 | - | 6 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | 0 | 12 | 49 | 32 | 6 | 0 | | | 0 | - | 5 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | 0 | 13 | 50 | 31 | 5 | 0 | | 7 | .5 | 0 | - | 6 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | 2 | 31 | 46 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 7 | | 0 | - | 7 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | 0 | 7 | 35 | 44 | 14 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 32 | 32 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
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