How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 7/22100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
WBW vs IFBE-0.1-0.1+0.1
-0.3-0.1+0.3
TS vs JESS-0.1+0.0+0.1
DI vs HFB+0.0-0.1-0.0
MYD vs CS+0.1-0.0-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the IFBE finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs1234567891011121314Count
9.57-0-017.7%060113635100032,993
96-0-11.6010112403880018,980
8.56-1-00.3000425442340221,575
5-0-20.2003244623404,749
85-1-10.000042743223113,495
4-0-3Out42841234678
7.55-2-0Out0115383511666,168
4-1-2Out011539351024,249
3-0-4Out154930653
74-3-1Out011040491,108,770
4-2-1Out02194731282,811
3-1-3Out021946332,696
2-0-5Out3333333
6.53-2-2Out0110404948,190
2-1-4Out1123849162
63-4-1Out0113861,109,305
3-3-1Out022375378,138
2-2-3Out0221774,169
1-1-5Out25758
5.52-3-2Out01138648,147
1-2-4Out11090197
52-4-1Out0496282,618
1-3-3Out03972,696
0-2-5Out1003
4.52-5-0Out0199666,418
1-4-2Out19924,355
0-3-4Out10057
41-5-1Out0100113,251
0-4-3Out100709
3.51-6-0Out0100222,247
0-5-2Out1004,703
2.5-3Out10051,566*
Total:0.1%00000251021625,434,159

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 7/22100.0*Lottery seed
WBW vs IFBE+0.3+0.1-0.3
MYD vs CS-0.1+0.0+0.1
TS vs JESS+0.1-0.0-0.1
DI vs HFB-0.0+0.1+0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314
9.57-0-00601137351000
96-0-10101114138800
8.56-1-0000425442340
5-0-200324462340
85-1-100042743223
4-0-342841234
7.55-2-00115383511
4-1-20115393510
3-0-41549306
74-3-101104049
4-2-102194731
3-1-302194633
2-0-5333333
6.53-2-201104049
2-1-41123849
63-4-1011386
3-3-1022375
2-2-3022177
1-1-52575
5.52-3-2011386
1-2-411090
52-4-10496
1-3-30397
0-2-5100
4.52-5-00199
1-4-2199
0-3-4100
41-5-10100
0-4-3100
3.51-6-00100
0-5-2100
2.5-3100
Total:0000025102162