Here for Beer Playoff Chances 2012 50/50

Lost to CU 9-10, playoff odds down 15.6 to 8.9%

4-9-1 .321

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the HFB finish out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	Count

11		7	-	0	-	-1	99.8	%			26	5	41	9	14	5	0						32,858
		6	-	0	-	1	97.7				17	1	32	22	12	13	2	0					18,712
10	.5	6	-	1	-	0	82.5				3	0	11	26	10	32	16	1	0				221,736
		5	-	0	-	2	82.2				3	0	11	27	10	32	16	2					4,914
10		5	-	1	-	1	57.2				2		3	26	3	24	32	10	1				113,155
		4	-	0	-	3	58.6				2		4	26	3	24	32	9	0				727
9	.5	5	-	2	-	0	21.0				0		0	9	1	11	38	34	7	0	0		667,386
		4	-	1	-	2	19.9				0		0	9	0	10	37	35	8	0	0		23,817
		3	-	0	-	4	20.6							13		7	44	29	6				68
9		4	-	2	-	1	7.9				0		0	6	0	2	19	45	26	2	0		284,052
		3	-	1	-	3	7.8							5		2	21	45	24	2	0		2,704
		2	-	0	-	5	Out										25	50	25				4
8	.5	4	-	3	-	0	0.9						0	1	0	0	5	35	46	13	1	0	1,109,361
		3	-	2	-	2	0.8							1		0	4	33	47	14	1	0	47,991
		2	-	1	-	4	0.6							1			3	31	51	14	1		160
		1	-	0	-	6	Out												100				1
8		3	-	3	-	1	0.3							0		0	1	13	49	31	6	0	377,958
		2	-	2	-	3	0.2							0		0	0	14	49	30	5	0	4,057
		1	-	1	-	5	Out												25	75			4
7	.5	3	-	4	-	0	0.0									0	0	4	31	43	20	3	1,109,182
		2	-	3	-	2	Out										0	3	29	44	21	3	47,560
		1	-	2	-	4	Out											2	24	51	23	2	190
7		2	-	5	-	1	Out											0	4	26	46	24	665,047
		2	-	4	-	1	Out										0	0	14	43	36	7	283,793
		1	-	3	-	3	Out											1	16	43	34	7	2,717
		0	-	2	-	5	Out													100			2
6	.5	1	-	4	-	2	Out											0	4	24	48	25	23,937
		0	-	3	-	4	Out												2	26	50	22	54
6		1	-	6	-	1	Out												0	4	32	64	221,845
		1	-	5	-	1	Out												1	14	48	37	112,749
		0	-	4	-	3	Out												2	16	48	35	663
5	.5	0	-	5	-	2	Out												0	4	31	65	4,805
5		0	-	6	-	1	Out													2	24	75	18,865
4	.5	0	-	7	-	0	Out													0	9	91	33,085

Total:							8.9	%			0	0	1	3	1	3	8	16	23	20	15	8	5,434,159

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14

11		7	-	0	-	-1			26	5	41	9	14	5	0
		6	-	0	-	1			17	1	32	22	12	13	2	0
10	.5	6	-	1	-	0			3	0	11	26	10	32	16	1	0
		5	-	0	-	2			3	0	11	27	10	32	16	2
10		5	-	1	-	1			2		3	26	3	24	31	11	1	0
		4	-	0	-	3			2		4	26	3	24	31	10	0
9	.5	5	-	2	-	0			0		0	9	1	11	38	34	7	0	0
		4	-	1	-	2			0		0	9	0	10	37	35	8	0	0
		3	-	0	-	4						13		7	44	29	6
9		4	-	2	-	1			0		0	6	0	2	19	45	26	2	0	0
		3	-	1	-	3						5		2	21	45	25	2	0
		2	-	0	-	5									25	50	25
8	.5	4	-	3	-	0					0	1	0	0	5	35	46	13	1	0
		3	-	2	-	2						1		0	4	33	47	14	1	0
		2	-	1	-	4						1			3	31	51	14	1
		1	-	0	-	6											100
8		3	-	3	-	1						0		0	1	13	49	31	6	0
		2	-	2	-	3						0		0	0	14	49	30	5	0
		1	-	1	-	5											25	75
7	.5	3	-	4	-	0								0	0	4	31	43	20	3
		2	-	3	-	2									0	3	29	44	21	3
		1	-	2	-	4										2	24	51	23	2
7		2	-	5	-	1										0	4	26	46	24
		2	-	4	-	1									0	0	14	43	36	7
		1	-	3	-	3										1	16	43	34	7
		0	-	2	-	5												100
6	.5	1	-	4	-	2										0	4	24	48	25
		0	-	3	-	4											2	26	50	22
6		1	-	6	-	1											0	4	32	64
		1	-	5	-	1											1	14	48	37
		0	-	4	-	3											2	16	48	35
5	.5	0	-	5	-	2											0	4	31	65
5		0	-	6	-	1												2	24	75
4	.5	0	-	7	-	0												0	9	91

Total:									0	0	1	3	1	3	8	16	23	20	15	8