Detroit Idiots Playoff Chances 2012 50/50

Beat TBP 11-9, playoff odds up 7.3 to 22.3%

5-8-1 .393

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the DI finish out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	Count

12		7	-	0	-	-1	In			1	0	37	53	0	8	0							32,738
11	.5	6	-	0	-	0	99.8	%		0	0	14	60	4	18	4	0						18,769
11		6	-	1	-	-1	98.6					6	52	7	23	11	1	0					222,316
		5	-	1	-	1	91.1					1	27	15	21	28	8	1					113,440
		5	-	0	-	1	98.8					6	54	7	22	10	1	0					4,745
		4	-	0	-	3	91.5					0	25	15	23	28	8	0					686
10	.5	5	-	2	-	0	73.6					0	12	13	14	35	22	4	0				665,208
		4	-	1	-	2	75.5					0	12	13	14	36	21	4	0				23,982
		3	-	0	-	4	78.6						16	16	13	34	14	7					56
10		4	-	2	-	1	44.1					0	3	10	4	27	39	16	0	0			284,431
		3	-	1	-	3	44.0						3	9	4	28	39	16	1				2,727
		2	-	0	-	5	Out										50	50					6
9	.5	4	-	3	-	0	15.6						0	4	1	11	38	39	7	0	0	0	1,107,655
		3	-	2	-	2	17.0						0	4	1	12	39	37	6	0	0		48,586
		2	-	1	-	4	21.1							3	1	17	43	31	4	1			161
		1	-	0	-	6	Out										100						1
9		3	-	3	-	1	4.0						0	1	0	2	21	51	21	2	0	0	377,445
		2	-	2	-	3	4.3							2		3	20	49	23	3	0		4,083
		1	-	1	-	5	Out										13	50	38				8
8	.5	3	-	4	-	0	0.3						0	0	0	0	4	32	44	18	2	0	1,109,979
		2	-	3	-	2	0.3							0		0	5	34	43	16	2	0	48,327
		1	-	2	-	4	0.6									1	6	37	41	15	1		171
8		2	-	4	-	1	0.1							0		0	1	16	44	32	7	0	283,165
		1	-	3	-	3	Out										1	14	43	34	9	1	2,687
		0	-	2	-	5	Out												50	50			4
7	.5	2	-	5	-	0	Out										0	2	20	43	30	5	666,619
		1	-	4	-	2	Out										0	3	22	44	27	4	24,083
		0	-	3	-	4	Out												28	43	28	3	40
7		1	-	6	-	1	Out											0	1	15	51	33	221,730
		1	-	5	-	1	Out											1	10	37	42	10	113,511
		0	-	4	-	3	Out											0	6	36	48	10	681
6	.5	0	-	5	-	2	Out											0	2	15	52	31	4,837
6		0	-	7	-	1	Out												0	1	26	73	32,380
		0	-	6	-	1	Out												0	7	48	45	18,902

Total:							22.3	%		0	0	1	5	4	4	9	16	21	18	13	8	3	5,434,159

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14

12		7	-	0	-	-1		1	0	37	53	0	8	0
11	.5	6	-	0	-	0		0	0	14	60	4	18	4	0	0
11		6	-	1	-	-1				6	52	7	23	11	1	0
		5	-	1	-	1				1	27	15	21	28	8	1
		5	-	0	-	1				6	54	7	22	10	1	0
		4	-	0	-	3				0	25	15	23	28	8	0
10	.5	5	-	2	-	0				0	12	13	14	35	22	4	0
		4	-	1	-	2				0	12	13	14	36	21	4	0
		3	-	0	-	4					16	16	13	34	14	7
10		4	-	2	-	1				0	3	10	4	27	38	17	0	0
		3	-	1	-	3					3	9	4	28	39	17	1
		2	-	0	-	5									50	50
9	.5	4	-	3	-	0					0	4	1	11	38	38	7	0	0	0
		3	-	2	-	2					0	4	1	12	40	37	6	0	0
		2	-	1	-	4						3	1	17	43	32	4	1
		1	-	0	-	6									100
9		3	-	3	-	1					0	1	0	2	21	51	21	2	0	0
		2	-	2	-	3						2		3	20	50	23	3	0
		1	-	1	-	5									13	50	38
8	.5	3	-	4	-	0					0	0	0	0	4	32	44	18	2	0
		2	-	3	-	2						0		0	5	34	43	16	2	0
		1	-	2	-	4								1	6	37	41	15	1
8		2	-	4	-	1						0		0	1	16	44	32	7	0
		1	-	3	-	3									1	14	43	34	9	1
		0	-	2	-	5											50	50
7	.5	2	-	5	-	0									0	2	20	43	30	5
		1	-	4	-	2									0	3	22	44	27	4
		0	-	3	-	4											28	43	28	3
7		1	-	6	-	1										0	1	15	51	33
		1	-	5	-	1										1	10	37	42	10
		0	-	4	-	3										0	6	36	48	10
6	.5	0	-	5	-	2										0	2	15	52	31
6		0	-	7	-	1											0	1	26	73
		0	-	6	-	1											0	7	48	45

Total:								0	0	1	5	4	4	9	16	21	18	13	8	3