How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 7/22100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
MYD vs CS-0.3-0.2+0.8
-0.2+0.0+0.5
TS vs JESS+0.2-0.0-0.1
-0.1-0.1+0.1
TBP vs LFB-0.1-0.1+0.0
WBW vs IFBE-0.0+0.0+0.1
+0.0+0.0-0.1
DI vs HFB+0.0-0.1-0.0

What If

Chances based on how well the CS finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs1234567891011121314Count
117-0-097.4%1315834302,440
10.56-0-182.30133491711,309
106-1-053.7001143379021,534
5-0-255.511443510544
9.55-1-119.7021844315017,623
4-0-322.022039345127
95-2-05.600529501400143,031
4-1-24.60428501716,000
3-0-4Out21641414
8.54-2-10.300841456097,682
3-1-30.3084242701,147
2-0-5Out1001
84-3-00.0022954150525,171
3-2-20.001265616025,822
2-1-4Out1865171108
7.53-3-1Out05474350284,657
2-2-3Out06474353,520
1-1-5Out3850138
73-4-0Out0235521001,146,657
2-3-2Out02345411057,323
1-2-4Out1325413238
6.52-4-1Out01056330461,266
1-3-3Out010563305,126
0-2-5Out40605
62-5-0Out05494511,478,622
1-5-2Out024724392,890
1-4-2Out054845161,448
0-3-4Out747432161
5.51-6-1Out01573121,053,208
0-4-3Out0247142,796
50-6-2Out37621139,105
0-5-2Out015731225,991
40-7-0Out15445318,042
Total:0.4%000001517343756,273,616
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 7/22100.0*Lottery seed
MYD vs CS+0.2-0.0-0.5
TS vs JESS+0.1+0.1-0.1
DI vs HFB-0.0+0.1+0.0
WBW vs IFBE-0.0-0.0+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314
117-0-0131583430
10.56-0-1013349171
106-1-000114336100
5-0-211443510
9.55-1-10218443150
4-0-322039345
95-2-000529501400
4-1-2042851171
3-0-4216414
8.54-2-1008414560
3-1-308424270
2-0-5100
84-3-0022954150
3-2-2012656160
2-1-41865171
7.53-3-105474350
2-2-30647435
1-1-5385013
73-4-0023552100
2-3-2023454110
1-2-41325413
6.52-4-101056330
1-3-301056330
0-2-54060
62-5-00549451
1-5-2024724
1-4-20548451
0-3-4747432
5.51-6-10157312
0-4-3024714
50-6-237621
0-5-20157312
40-7-015445
Total:00000151734375