Alan's Wolf Pack Playoff Chances 2012 50/50Lost to JESS 10-11, playoff odds down 1.5 to 96.3% 9-5-0 .643 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain If winner is:HomeTieAway | Week of 7/22 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed | RNAT vs AWP | -2.6+1.1+2.5 | | -0.6-0.0+0.6 | | TBP vs LFB | -0.7*+0.0+0.7 | | | | TS vs JESS | +0.5+0.3-0.5 | | +0.1+0.1-0.1 | | WBW vs IFBE | -0.4+0.2+0.4 | | | | MYD vs CS | -0.3-0.2+0.3 | | -0.2-0.0+0.2 | | DI vs HFB | -0.2+0.1+0.2 | | | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the AWP finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | | TW | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 16 | | 7 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | 65 | 23 | | 13 | | | | | | | | | | | 32,855 | | 15 | .5 | 6 | - | 0 | - | 1 | In | 34 | 34 | | 32 | | | | | | | | | | | 19,067 | | 15 | | 6 | - | 1 | - | 0 | In | 24 | 33 | 0 | 42 | | | | | | | | | | | 221,850 | | | 5 | - | 0 | - | 2 | In | 24 | 31 | | 45 | | | | | | | | | | | 4,841 | | 14 | .5 | 5 | - | 1 | - | 1 | In | 6 | 26 | 0 | 67 | | | 0 | | | | | | | | 113,527 | | 14 | | 5 | - | 2 | - | 0 | In | 3 | 20 | 2 | 74 | 0 | | 1 | | | | | | | | 665,372 | | | 4 | - | 0 | - | 2 | In | 7 | 25 | 0 | 67 | | | | | | | | | | | 679 | | | 3 | - | 0 | - | 4 | In | 3 | 23 | 2 | 71 | | | 2 | | | | | | | | 62 | | 13 | .5 | 4 | - | 1 | - | 1 | In | 3 | 19 | 1 | 76 | 0 | | 1 | | | | | | | | 24,198 | | 13 | | 4 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 100.0 | % | 0 | 3 | 2 | 80 | 5 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | 1,109,120 | | | 4 | - | 2 | - | 0 | In | 0 | 7 | 1 | 87 | 1 | | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | 283,156 | | | 3 | - | 2 | - | 2 | In | 0 | 3 | 1 | 81 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 0 | | | | | | | 48,484 | | | 3 | - | 1 | - | 2 | In | 0 | 8 | 1 | 87 | 1 | | 3 | | | | | | | | 2,714 | | | 2 | - | 0 | - | 4 | In | | | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | 3 | | 12 | .5 | 2 | - | 1 | - | 3 | In | | 4 | | 78 | 3 | | 14 | 1 | | | | | | | 151 | | | 1 | - | 1 | - | 5 | In | | | | 67 | 33 | | | | | | | | | | 6 | | 12 | | 3 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 99.9 | | | 0 | 0 | 37 | 19 | 2 | 37 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | 1,110,751 | | | 3 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 100.0 | | | 0 | 0 | 65 | 11 | 0 | 22 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | 377,200 | | | 2 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 100.0 | | | 0 | 0 | 65 | 13 | 0 | 20 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | 4,078 | | | 1 | - | 2 | - | 4 | 99.4 | | | | | 34 | 16 | 2 | 45 | 2 | 1 | | | | | | 161 | | 11 | .5 | 2 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 99.9 | | | 0 | 0 | 36 | 18 | 2 | 39 | 5 | 0 | | | | | | 47,989 | | | 0 | - | 2 | - | 5 | In | | | | 20 | 40 | | 40 | | | | | | | | 5 | | 11 | | 2 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 94.9 | | | | | 3 | 11 | 6 | 46 | 29 | 5 | 0 | 0 | | | | 666,226 | | | 2 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 99.5 | | | | | 16 | 20 | 3 | 49 | 12 | 1 | 0 | | | | | 282,940 | | | 1 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 95.0 | | | | | 3 | 10 | 6 | 47 | 30 | 5 | 0 | | | | | 24,010 | | | 1 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 99.4 | | | | | 14 | 20 | 4 | 51 | 11 | 1 | | | | | | 2,703 | | | 0 | - | 3 | - | 4 | 98.3 | | | | | | 7 | 2 | 61 | 29 | 2 | | | | | | 59 | | 10 | .5 | 1 | - | 5 | - | 1 | 84.9 | | | | | 0 | 4 | 4 | 34 | 43 | 14 | 1 | 0 | | | | 112,969 | | | 0 | - | 4 | - | 3 | 82.6 | | | | | 0 | 3 | 3 | 33 | 42 | 16 | 2 | | | | | 677 | | 10 | | 1 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 54.4 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 40 | 36 | 9 | 0 | 0 | | | 221,402 | | | 0 | - | 5 | - | 2 | 53.9 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 41 | 38 | 8 | 0 | | | | 4,762 | | 9 | .5 | 0 | - | 6 | - | 1 | 27.5 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 47 | 23 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | 18,805 | | 9 | | 0 | - | 7 | - | 0 | 5.4 | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 31 | 44 | 17 | 2 | 0 | | 33,337 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 96.3 | % | 2 | 6 | 1 | 48 | 9 | 2 | 22 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 5,434,159 | |
Chance Will Make Playoffs
LotteryYe of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds. Big GamesIf winner is:HomeTieAway | Week of 7/22 | 100.0* | Lottery seed | RNAT vs AWP | +0.6+0.0-0.6 | | MYD vs CS | +0.2+0.0-0.2 | | TS vs JESS | -0.1-0.1+0.1 | |
What If | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | TW | W | - | L | - | T | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 16 | | 7 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 65 | 23 | | 13 | | | | | | | | | | | 15 | .5 | 6 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 34 | 34 | | 32 | | | | | | | | | | | 15 | | 6 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 24 | 33 | 0 | 42 | | | | | | | | | | | | 5 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 24 | 31 | | 45 | | | | | | | | | | | 14 | .5 | 5 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 6 | 26 | 0 | 67 | | | 0 | | | | | | | | 14 | | 5 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 3 | 20 | 2 | 74 | 0 | | 1 | | | | | | | | | 4 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 7 | 25 | 0 | 67 | | | | | | | | | | | | 3 | - | 0 | - | 4 | 3 | 23 | 2 | 71 | | | 2 | | | | | | | | 13 | .5 | 4 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 3 | 19 | 1 | 76 | 0 | | 1 | | | | | | | | 13 | | 4 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 80 | 5 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | 4 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 87 | 1 | | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | | 3 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 81 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 0 | | | | | | | | 3 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 87 | 1 | | 3 | | | | | | | | | 2 | - | 0 | - | 4 | | | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | 12 | .5 | 2 | - | 1 | - | 3 | | 4 | | 78 | 3 | | 14 | 1 | | | | | | | | 1 | - | 1 | - | 5 | | | | 67 | 33 | | | | | | | | | | 12 | | 3 | - | 4 | - | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 37 | 19 | 2 | 37 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | 3 | - | 3 | - | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 65 | 11 | 0 | 22 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | 2 | - | 2 | - | 2 | | 0 | 0 | 65 | 13 | 0 | 20 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | 1 | - | 2 | - | 4 | | | | 34 | 16 | 2 | 45 | 2 | 1 | | | | | | 11 | .5 | 2 | - | 3 | - | 1 | | 0 | 0 | 36 | 18 | 2 | 39 | 5 | 0 | | | | | | | 0 | - | 2 | - | 5 | | | | 20 | 40 | | 40 | | | | | | | | 11 | | 2 | - | 5 | - | 0 | | | | 3 | 11 | 6 | 46 | 29 | 5 | 0 | 0 | | | | | 2 | - | 4 | - | 0 | | | | 16 | 20 | 3 | 49 | 12 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | 1 | - | 4 | - | 2 | | | | 3 | 10 | 6 | 47 | 30 | 5 | 0 | | | | | | 1 | - | 3 | - | 2 | | | | 14 | 20 | 4 | 51 | 11 | 1 | | | | | | | 0 | - | 3 | - | 4 | | | | | 7 | 2 | 61 | 29 | 2 | | | | | | 10 | .5 | 1 | - | 5 | - | 1 | | | | 0 | 4 | 4 | 34 | 43 | 14 | 1 | 0 | | | | | 0 | - | 4 | - | 3 | | | | 0 | 3 | 3 | 33 | 42 | 17 | 1 | | | | | 10 | | 1 | - | 6 | - | 0 | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 40 | 38 | 7 | 0 | 0 | | | | 0 | - | 5 | - | 2 | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 41 | 39 | 6 | 0 | | | | 9 | .5 | 0 | - | 6 | - | 1 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 49 | 21 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | 9 | | 0 | - | 7 | - | 0 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 32 | 43 | 17 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 2 | 6 | 1 | 48 | 9 | 2 | 22 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
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