East Coast Crushers 2013

Beat Barley Mow Chiefs 19-9, average seed up 0.6 to 6

10 points 5-3-0

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Thursday	100.0*	Pool A	100.0*	Pool B	100.0*	Average seed
East Coast Crus 19 Barley Mow Chiefs 9	+5.7		-5.7		+0.3
Head Hunters 1 Durabuilt Comba 28	+0.1		-0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Orion Group vs Invaders	+0.4*-0.1-0.5		-0.4*+0.1+0.5

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Monday	100.0*	Pool A	100.0*	Pool B	100.0*	Average seed
Tartan vs Snipers	+0.3+0.2-0.2		-0.3-0.2+0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the East Coast Crus finish out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance			Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W	-	L	-	T	wins title	Pool A		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	Pool B		Count

32	11	-	0	-	0	No	Yes		68	29	3												No		8,317
31	10	-	0	-	1	No	Yes		39	49	12	1											No		4,688
30	10	-	1	-	0	No	Yes		16	47	31	6	0										No		74,323
	9	-	0	-	2	No	Yes		10	41	40	9	0										No		1,429
29	9	-	1	-	1	No	Yes		5	32	45	17	2	0									No		44,066
	8	-	0	-	3	No	Yes		3	28	50	16	2										No		231
28	9	-	2	-	0	No	Yes		1	13	39	36	10	0	0								No		337,335
	8	-	1	-	2	No	Yes		0	8	34	42	15	1									No		11,543
	7	-	0	-	4	No	Yes			7	43	32	18										No		28
27	8	-	2	-	1	No	Yes		0	4	24	45	25	2	0								No		175,386
	7	-	1	-	3	No	Yes			2	19	45	30	4	0								No		1,736	*
26	8	-	3	-	0	No	100.0	%	0	1	9	36	43	10	0	0							0.0	%	878,307
	7	-	2	-	2	No	Yes		0	0	5	29	48	17	1								No		40,111
	6	-	1	-	4	No	Yes				7	33	45	15									No		163	*
25	7	-	3	-	1	No	100.0			0	2	20	50	26	2	0							0.0		395,772
	6	-	2	-	3	No	Yes			0	1	17	47	32	3								No		5,398	*
24	7	-	4	-	0	No	100.0			0	0	8	41	43	7	0							0.0		1,445,803
	6	-	3	-	2	No	99.9			0	0	4	33	51	11	0							0.1		77,505
	5	-	2	-	4	No	99.5				0	3	33	52	11	0							0.5		428
23	6	-	4	-	1	No	99.8				0	2	25	54	19	0							0.2		558,987
	5	-	3	-	3	No	99.6				0	1	20	55	23	0							0.4		8,570
	4	-	2	-	5	No	96.8						13	61	23	3							3.2		31
22	6	-	5	-	0	No	99.0				0	0	12	51	35	1	0						1.0		1,589,163
	5	-	4	-	2	No	96.9					0	7	46	44	3	0						3.1		92,075
	4	-	3	-	4	No	97.5					0	9	42	46	3							2.5		638	*
21	5	-	5	-	1	No	95.6					0	4	38	54	4	0						4.4		516,574
	4	-	4	-	3	No	93.3					0	3	32	58	7	0						6.7		8,418
	3	-	3	-	5	No	85.2							33	52	15							14.8		27
20	5	-	6	-	0	No	90.1					0	1	23	65	10	0	0					9.9		1,192,119
	4	-	5	-	2	No	80.1						0	15	64	19	1	0					19.9		68,810
	3	-	4	-	4	No	81.9						0	17	64	18	0						18.1		463	*
19	4	-	6	-	1	No	74.9					0	0	10	65	24	1	0					25.1		316,714
	3	-	5	-	3	No	68.3						0	7	61	30	2	0					31.7		4,838	*
18	4	-	7	-	0	No	59.9						0	4	56	35	5	0	0				40.1		610,475
	3	-	6	-	2	No	42.4						0	2	41	48	10	0					57.6		33,533
	2	-	5	-	4	No	42.5							3	40	48	8	1					57.5		212
17	3	-	7	-	1	No	35.1						0	1	34	50	14	1	0				64.9		127,186
	2	-	6	-	3	No	27.8							0	27	51	19	2					72.2		1,757	*
16	3	-	8	-	0	No	19.8							0	20	48	28	4	0	0			80.2		209,013
	2	-	7	-	2	No	8.5							0	8	43	39	8	1				91.5		9,890
	1	-	6	-	4	No	6.0								6	40	46	6	2				94.0		50
15	2	-	8	-	1	No	5.5								6	35	44	14	1	0			94.5		32,230
	1	-	7	-	3	No	4.4								4	23	48	22	2				95.6		338
14	2	-	9	-	0	No	1.6								2	18	44	30	6	0			98.4		45,705
	1	-	8	-	2	No	0.2								0	8	35	41	14	1			99.8		1,671	*
13	1	-	9	-	1	No	0.1								0	4	28	43	22	3	0		99.9		4,510	*
12	1	-	10	-	0	No	0.0								0	1	11	37	39	11	1		100.0		5,616
	0	-	9	-	2	No	No										1	23	38	32	7		Yes		119
11	0	-	10	-	1	No	No										0	14	47	28	11		Yes		254
10	0	-	11	-	0	No	No											2	23	47	26	2	Yes		1,881

Total:						No	90.3	%	0	1	4	9	19	29	29	7	2	0	0	0	0	0	9.7	%	8,944,436

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

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