"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 11/9100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Michael 88.3 Dan 109.9 +0.9
+0.9
Mark 87.2 Ryan 78.7 +0.4
Brandon 82.5 Sara 89.2 +0.2
David 74.9 Josh 101.1 -0.2
Jonathan 113.2 Andrew 131.5 -0.1
+0.1
Jake 119.2 Derek 108.6 +0.1
If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 11/16100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Dan vs David+3.1-3.1
+1.1-1.1
Ryan vs Jake-1.5+1.5
-0.1+0.1
Josh vs Mark-1.4+1.4
-0.1+0.1
Andrew vs Brandon+0.4-0.4
+0.2-0.2
Derek vs Jonathan-0.3+0.3
-0.1+0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Dan finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112Count
73-024.1%244327501,931,827
62-11.0182536236005,783,155
51-2Out005223627915,782,426
40-3Out021945341,929,320
Total:3.4%3813161716139515,426,728
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs