Las Vegas Aces Playoff Chances 2015-16
Lost to Falcons 72.7-81.7, playoff odds down 3.6 to 93.4%
10 points 5-0 3-0 0
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 11/23 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Falcons 81.7 Aces 72.7 | -1.1 | -0.3 | ||
| Direwolves 54.1 Leafs 53.8 (ot) | +0.2 | -0.0 | ||
| Sabres 36.4 Millionaires 47.6 | +0.1 | |||
| Sags 52.5 Bulls 56.2 | -0.1 | |||
| Lions 57.6 Wolves 81.9 | -0.1 | -0.0 | ||
| Lumberjacks 58.6 Buccaneers 70.5 | -0.1 | |||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| Week of 11/30 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Aces vs Sags | +3.1+0.3-4.0 | +0.5-0.0-0.6 | ||
| Lumberjacks vs Gauntlets | +0.3-0.2-0.7 | |||
| Bulls vs Direwolves | -0.4-0.1+0.3 | |||
| Whalers vs Falcons | -0.4-0.1+0.2 | -0.1-0.0+0.0 | ||
| Wolves vs Leafs | +0.2-0.1-0.3 | |||
| Millionaires vs Lions | -0.1*+0.0+0.1 | |||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Aces finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | OT | L | - | OT | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | Count | |||||
| 40 | 15 | - | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | In | 93 | 7 | 3,338 | |||||||||||||||||
| 39 | 14 | - | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 1 | In | 80 | 20 | 0 | 1,287 | ||||||||||||||||
| 38 | 14 | - | 0 | 1 | - | 0 | 0 | In | 66 | 33 | 1 | 7,315 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 37 | 13 | - | 0 | 1 | - | 0 | 1 | In | 50 | 47 | 3 | 17,412 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 36 | 13 | - | 0 | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | In | 33 | 58 | 8 | 0 | 54,808 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 35 | 12 | - | 0 | 2 | - | 0 | 1 | In | 20 | 62 | 18 | 0 | 104,477 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 34 | 12 | - | 0 | 3 | - | 0 | 0 | In | 10 | 57 | 32 | 1 | 118,684 | |||||||||||||||
| 11 | - | 0 | 2 | - | 0 | 2 | In | 10 | 58 | 31 | 1 | 115,319 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 33 | 11 | - | 0 | 3 | - | 0 | 1 | In | 4 | 47 | 46 | 3 | 0 | 287,356 | ||||||||||||||
| 10 | - | 0 | 2 | - | 0 | 3 | In | 5 | 48 | 44 | 3 | 0 | 82,420 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 32 | 10 | - | 0 | 3 | - | 0 | 2 | In | 1 | 33 | 57 | 8 | 0 | 319,102 | ||||||||||||||
| 11 | - | 0 | 4 | - | 0 | 0 | In | 1 | 32 | 57 | 9 | 0 | 332,557 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 31 | 10 | - | 0 | 4 | - | 0 | 1 | In | 0 | 19 | 62 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 643,161 | ||||||||||||
| 9 | - | 0 | 3 | - | 0 | 3 | In | 0 | 20 | 62 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 228,828 | * | |||||||||||||
| 30 | 9 | - | 0 | 4 | - | 0 | 2 | In | 0 | 10 | 57 | 31 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 643,943 | ||||||||||||
| 10 | - | 0 | 5 | - | 0 | 0 | In | 0 | 9 | 56 | 32 | 3 | 0 | 517,992 | ||||||||||||||
| 8 | - | 0 | 3 | - | 0 | 4 | In | 0 | 10 | 58 | 30 | 2 | 0 | 99,587 | * | |||||||||||||
| 29 | 9 | - | 0 | 5 | - | 0 | 1 | In | 0 | 4 | 43 | 45 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1,030,473 | ||||||||||||
| 8 | - | 0 | 4 | - | 0 | 3 | In | 0 | 4 | 44 | 44 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 416,072 | * | ||||||||||||
| 28 | 8 | - | 0 | 5 | - | 0 | 2 | In | 0 | 1 | 27 | 51 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 918,625 | |||||||||||
| 9 | - | 0 | 6 | - | 0 | 0 | In | 0 | 1 | 25 | 51 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 681,787 | ||||||||||||
| 7 | - | 0 | 4 | - | 0 | 4 | In | 1 | 28 | 51 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 160,506 | * | |||||||||||||
| 27 | 8 | - | 0 | 6 | - | 0 | 1 | In | 0 | 12 | 44 | 35 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1,258,575 | * | |||||||||||
| 7 | - | 0 | 5 | - | 0 | 3 | In | 0 | 0 | 13 | 45 | 34 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 485,909 | ||||||||||||
| 26 | 7 | - | 0 | 6 | - | 0 | 2 | 100.0 | % | 0 | 4 | 28 | 43 | 21 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 958,502 | ||||||||||
| 8 | - | 0 | 7 | - | 0 | 0 | 100.0 | 0 | 4 | 27 | 43 | 22 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 683,814 | ||||||||||||
| 6 | - | 0 | 5 | - | 0 | 4 | 100.0 | 0 | 4 | 29 | 43 | 20 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 176,518 | * | |||||||||||
| 25 | 7 | - | 0 | 7 | - | 0 | 1 | 99.9 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 36 | 36 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1,077,467 | ||||||||||
| 6 | - | 0 | 6 | - | 0 | 3 | 99.9 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 37 | 36 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 480,217 | * | ||||||||||
| 24 | 6 | - | 0 | 7 | - | 0 | 2 | 99.2 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 39 | 29 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 738,839 | ||||||||||
| 7 | - | 0 | 8 | - | 0 | 0 | 99.2 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 39 | 30 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 527,268 | |||||||||||
| 5 | - | 0 | 6 | - | 0 | 4 | 99.3 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 40 | 28 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 136,074 | * | |||||||||||
| 23 | 6 | - | 0 | 8 | - | 0 | 1 | 94.9 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 26 | 39 | 23 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 746,420 | * | |||||||||
| 5 | - | 0 | 7 | - | 0 | 3 | 95.1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 27 | 39 | 22 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 288,359 | ||||||||||
| 22 | 5 | - | 0 | 8 | - | 0 | 2 | 80.8 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 32 | 38 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 420,174 | ||||||||||
| 6 | - | 0 | 9 | - | 0 | 0 | 80.3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 31 | 38 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 384,173 | * | ||||||||||
| 21 | 5 | - | 0 | 9 | - | 0 | 1 | 53.3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 37 | 34 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 373,644 | * | |||||||||
| 4 | - | 0 | 8 | - | 0 | 3 | 54.4 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 37 | 34 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 136,581 | * | |||||||||||
| 20 | 4 | - | 0 | 9 | - | 0 | 2 | 25.0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 41 | 28 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 174,798 | ||||||||||
| 5 | - | 0 | 10 | - | 0 | 0 | 24.2 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 41 | 28 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 166,966 | * | |||||||||||
| 19 | 4 | - | 0 | 10 | - | 0 | 1 | 7.0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 29 | 41 | 20 | 3 | 0 | 182,195 | * | ||||||||||
| 18 | 3 | - | 0 | 10 | - | 0 | 2 | 1.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 37 | 36 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 105,141 | * | |||||||||
| 17 | 3 | - | 0 | 11 | - | 0 | 1 | 0.1 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 42 | 28 | 6 | 0 | 46,759 | * | |||||||||||
| 16 | 3 | - | 0 | 12 | - | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 31 | 42 | 17 | 1 | 22,843 | * | |||||||||||
| 15 | 2 | - | 0 | 12 | - | 0 | 1 | Out | 0 | 1 | 16 | 43 | 34 | 5 | 7,819 | * | ||||||||||||
| 14 | 2 | - | 0 | 13 | - | 0 | 0 | Out | 0 | 5 | 31 | 49 | 15 | 3,311 | * | |||||||||||||
| 13 | 1 | - | 0 | 13 | - | 0 | 1 | Out | 1 | 14 | 55 | 30 | 771 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 12 | 1 | - | 0 | 14 | - | 0 | 0 | Out | 7 | 44 | 49 | 266 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 11 | 0 | - | 0 | 14 | - | 0 | 1 | Out | 3 | 17 | 80 | 30 | ||||||||||||||||
| 10 | 0 | - | 0 | 15 | - | 0 | 0 | Out | 0 | 11 | 89 | 2,914 | ||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 93.4 | % | 1 | 6 | 20 | 22 | 17 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16,371,396 | |||||||||||
* Row combines multiple less frequent records.
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 2:09 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
