"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 2/15100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Average seed
HUL 5 FIF 4 -0.1
-0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
BRA vs DUNNoNoNo-0.0-0.0+0.0
FIF vs HUL+0.0+0.0+0.0NoNoNo
+0.2+0.1+0.1-0.1-0.1-0.2
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Week of 2/22100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Average seed
DUN vs BRA+0.0-0.0-0.0NoNoNo
FIF vs EDI+0.0+0.0+0.0NoNoNo
+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.2
EDI vs HUL+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.0

What If

Chances based on how well the FIF finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OTwins title12345Count
4270-01.1%199321,234
4160-1No100464,316
4061-0No1001,647,314
50-2No1000305,910
3951-1No10002,170,983
40-3No1000112,014
3852-0No9913,848,360
41-2No9821,191,354
30-4No97324,448
3742-1No94604,227,112
31-3No919350,580
20-5No86143,269
3643-0No881205,002,993
32-2No831701,857,708
21-4No7624057,616
10-6No6238253
3533-1No683204,396,403
22-3No59400409,222
11-5No475115,000
00-7No29717
3434-0No524723,903,452
23-2No425531,450,656
12-4No3165444,808
01-6No16777184
3324-1No236882,573,838
13-3No167212211,699
02-5No873191,981
3225-0No1168211,830,226
14-2No76627566,535
03-4No3643311,856
3115-1No154440805,544
04-3No04851041,471
3016-0No034651476,767
05-2No02870288,784
2906-1No15778105,432
2807-0No5781772,621
Total:0.0%070255038,581,950
Points
Chance Will Win Championship