THE BUCS Playoff Chances 2011

Beat Throwbacks 98-51, playoff odds up 0.002 to 0.003%

2-6-1 .278

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the THE BUCS finish out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	Count

8	.5	6	-	0	-	0	2.0	%			0	2	14	37	34	12	1						6,662
8		5	-	0	-	1	Out						2	10	31	36	19	3	0				1,862
7	.5	5	-	1	-	0	Out						0	1	8	33	43	14	1	0			78,487
		4	-	0	-	2	Out							0	9	28	44	17	1				218
7		4	-	1	-	1	Out							0	1	11	35	40	13	0			19,884
		3	-	0	-	3	Out									12	32	36	20				25
6	.5	4	-	2	-	0	Out								0	1	18	48	30	2	0		418,360
		3	-	1	-	2	Out									1	19	49	29	2			1,945
		2	-	0	-	4	Out											100					1
6		3	-	2	-	1	Out								0	0	5	32	54	9	0		80,335
		2	-	1	-	3	Out										7	30	52	11			88
5	.5	3	-	3	-	0	Out									0	1	15	57	27	1	0	1,107,357
		2	-	2	-	2	Out										1	15	57	27	1		5,656
		1	-	1	-	4	Out												40	60			5
5		2	-	3	-	1	Out										0	7	47	41	5	0	149,297
		1	-	2	-	3	Out											5	54	39	2		161
4	.5	2	-	4	-	0	Out										0	1	22	62	16	0	1,486,194
		1	-	3	-	2	Out											1	21	64	14	0	6,317
		0	-	2	-	4	Out													100			1
4		1	-	4	-	1	Out											0	10	49	38	3	123,121
		0	-	3	-	3	Out												9	47	42	2	98
3	.5	1	-	5	-	0	Out												1	28	62	10	929,591
		0	-	4	-	2	Out												1	30	60	9	2,398
3		0	-	5	-	1	Out													6	47	47	35,481
2	.5	0	-	6	-	0	Out														33	67	210,650

Total:							0.0	%			0	0	0	0	0	1	3	9	26	35	21	6	4,664,194

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14

8	.5	6	-	0	-	0			0	2	14	37	34	12	1
8		5	-	0	-	1					2	10	31	36	19	3	0
7	.5	5	-	1	-	0					0	1	8	33	43	14	1	0
		4	-	0	-	2						0	9	28	44	17	1
7		4	-	1	-	1						0	1	11	35	40	13	0
		3	-	0	-	3								12	32	36	20
6	.5	4	-	2	-	0							0	1	18	48	30	2	0
		3	-	1	-	2								1	19	49	29	2
		2	-	0	-	4										100
6		3	-	2	-	1							0	0	5	32	54	9	0
		2	-	1	-	3									7	30	52	11
5	.5	3	-	3	-	0								0	1	15	57	27	1	0
		2	-	2	-	2									1	15	57	27	1
		1	-	1	-	4											40	60
5		2	-	3	-	1									0	7	47	41	5	0
		1	-	2	-	3										5	54	39	2
4	.5	2	-	4	-	0									0	1	22	62	16	0
		1	-	3	-	2										1	21	64	14	0
		0	-	2	-	4												100
4		1	-	4	-	1										0	10	49	38	3
		0	-	3	-	3											9	47	42	2
3	.5	1	-	5	-	0											1	28	62	10
		0	-	4	-	2											1	30	60	9
3		0	-	5	-	1												6	47	47
2	.5	0	-	6	-	0													33	67

Total:									0	0	0	0	0	1	3	9	26	35	21	6