"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 10/29100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Average seed
Inter Atlanta F 1 SAF 2000 Elite 4 +17.8
+15.5
+0.4
DSC 00G Revolut 0 SAF 2000 Elite 1 +14.8
+20.2
+0.6
Concorde Fire S 1 AFC Lightning 0 5 -12.4
-4.0
-0.2
NTH TopHat 00 W 2 DSC 00G Revolut 3 +4.4
+6.6
+0.1
Rush 2000 5 Ga Revolution G 3 -0.3
Inter Atlanta F 1 SSA Savannah UT 1 *+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Rush 2000 vs AFC Lightning 0+17.8+7.8-20.8
+1.9+1.3-2.4
+0.2+0.1-0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 11/5100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Average seed
SAF 2000 Elite vs NTH TopHat 00 W+24.5+2.1-25.3
YesYes-6.1
+0.3+0.1-0.3
AFC Lightning 0 vs Ga Revolution G-20.7+7.8+17.8
-2.4+1.3+1.9
-0.2+0.1+0.2
AFC Lightning 0 vs NTH TopHat 00 W-20.1+12.1+15.5
YesYes-6.1
-0.2+0.2+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the SAF 2000 Elite finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titlePromoted12345678910111213RelegatedCount
501-0-066.1%Yes6634No7,559,441
470-1-043.6Yes4456No2,875,545
450-0-116.289.5%167311No7,564,558
Total:41.5%95.6%42544No17,999,544
Points
Chance Will Win Championship