Concorde Fire South Black Title Chances Fall2016
Lost to AFC Lightning 0 1-5, title odds down 1 to 0%
22 points 4-1-3
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 10/29 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Concorde Fire S 1 AFC Lightning 0 5 | -1.0 | -4.4 | -0.4 | |||
| NTH TopHat 00 W 2 DSC 00G Revolut 3 | +0.5 | +1.2 | ||||
| DSC 00G Revolut 0 SAF 2000 Elite 1 | -0.5 | -1.9 | +0.0 | |||
| Inter Atlanta F 1 SAF 2000 Elite 4 | -0.2 | -0.7 | -0.0 | |||
| UFA 00G Red 2 GSA 00 Red 0 | -0.0 | |||||
| Rush 2000 5 Ga Revolution G 3 | -0.0 | |||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||
| Rush 2000 vs AFC Lightning 0 | +0.2*+0.0No | -0.2-0.1+0.1 | ||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||
| Week of 11/5 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Average seed |
| AFC Lightning 0 vs Ga Revolution G | No+0.1+0.3 | |||||
| AFC Lightning 0 vs NTH TopHat 00 W | No-0.0+0.1 | +0.1-0.1-0.2 | ||||
| Concorde Fire S vs UFA 00G Red | +0.0NoNo | +1.0-0.2-1.0 | ||||
| Concorde Fire S vs Rush 2000 | +0.0NoNo | +0.9-0.3-1.1 | ||||
| SAF 2000 Elite vs NTH TopHat 00 W | +0.1-0.1-0.2 | |||||
| SSA Savannah UT vs Atlanta Fire - | +0.2+0.1-0.1 | |||||
| DSC 00G Revolut vs Inter Atlanta F | -0.0+0.1+0.2 | |||||
| UFA 00G Red vs Lady Chiefs Pre | -0.1+0.1+0.2 | |||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Concorde Fire S finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | Promoted | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | Relegated | Count | |||||
| 42 | 4 | - | 0 | - | 0 | No | 0.4 | % | 0 | 87 | 13 | No | 3,686,317 | ||||||||||||||
| 39 | 3 | - | 1 | - | 0 | No | No | 59 | 40 | 1 | No | 4,730,124 | |||||||||||||||
| 37 | 3 | - | 0 | - | 1 | No | No | 20 | 47 | 29 | 3 | 0 | No | 10,149,101 | |||||||||||||
| 36 | 2 | - | 2 | - | 0 | No | No | 8 | 32 | 40 | 18 | 2 | No | 2,249,053 | |||||||||||||
| 34 | 2 | - | 1 | - | 1 | No | No | 0 | 7 | 32 | 42 | 17 | 1 | No | 9,432,023 | ||||||||||||
| 33 | 1 | - | 3 | - | 0 | No | No | 0 | 3 | 21 | 44 | 29 | 3 | No | 465,593 | ||||||||||||
| 32 | 2 | - | 0 | - | 2 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 5 | 30 | 50 | 15 | 0 | No | 9,543,832 | |||||||||||
| 31 | 1 | - | 2 | - | 1 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 12 | 52 | 35 | 1 | No | 2,846,664 | ||||||||||||
| 30 | 0 | - | 4 | - | 0 | No | No | 4 | 51 | 42 | 3 | No | 35,240 | ||||||||||||||
| 29 | 1 | - | 1 | - | 2 | No | No | 0 | 21 | 73 | 6 | No | 5,516,675 | ||||||||||||||
| 28 | 0 | - | 3 | - | 1 | No | No | 0 | 20 | 70 | 9 | No | 276,206 | ||||||||||||||
| 27 | 1 | - | 0 | - | 3 | No | No | 3 | 79 | 18 | No | 3,291,682 | |||||||||||||||
| 26 | 0 | - | 2 | - | 2 | No | No | 0 | 72 | 27 | 1 | No | 751,431 | ||||||||||||||
| 24 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 3 | No | No | 57 | 42 | 2 | No | 794,770 | |||||||||||||||
| 22 | 0 | - | 0 | - | 4 | No | No | 37 | 57 | 6 | No | 229,921 | |||||||||||||||
| Total: | No | 0.0 | % | 0 | 15 | 16 | 14 | 15 | 17 | 19 | 3 | 0 | No | 53,998,632 | |||||||||||||
Points
Chance Will Win Championship
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 1:07 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
