"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats" (thank you Mr. Dater) |
Con Fir Nor Bl Title Chances Fall2016 50/50
Tied SSA Chelsea 02G 0-0, title odds down 0.2 to 0%
19 points 3-2-4
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 10/29 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Lady Chiefs Pre 1 Con Fir Nor Bl 1 | -0.6 | -2.0 | -0.5 | -0.2 | ||||
| SSA Chelsea 02G 0 AFC Lightning 0 1 | +0.3 | +0.6 | +1.8 | |||||
| Con Fir Nor Bl 0 SSA Chelsea 02G 0 | -0.2 | -1.8 | -1.0 | -0.2 | ||||
| Lanier Sharks 02 4 Con Fir Cen Wh 1 | +0.2 | +0.5 | +0.5 | |||||
| UFA 02G Black 4 GSA 02 White 0 | +0.1 | +0.4 | +0.6 | |||||
| Lanier Sharks 02 0 Roswell Santos 4 | -0.1 | -0.7 | -0.2 | +0.1 | ||||
| Inter Atlanta F 0 Con Fir Cen Wh 1 | -0.1 | -0.5 | -2.0 | |||||
| Roswell Santos 0 Atlanta Fire - 0 | +0.1 | +0.1 | -0.6 | |||||
| Georgia FC 02 E 4 UFA 02G Black 0 | +0.1 | +0.4 | +1.6 | -0.0 | ||||
| Inter Atlanta F 0 Georgia FC 02 E 2 | +0.1 | +0.9 | +0.0 | |||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||||
| Week of 11/5 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Georgia FC 02 E vs Lady Chiefs Pre | +0.0NoNo | +0.4+0.3-0.5 | -0.2+0.0+0.2 | |||||
| GSA 02 White vs Inter Atlanta F | NoNo+0.0 | -3.6-0.1+3.6 | ||||||
| Con Fir Nor Bl vs Lanier Sharks 02 | +0.0NoNo | -8.5-4.6+10.2 | +1.6-0.2-1.5 | |||||
| Atlanta Fire - vs SSA Chelsea 02G | +0.0-0.0No | +2.8-1.5-2.2 | ||||||
| SSA Chelsea 02G vs UFA 02G Black | No*+0.0+0.0 | -1.5+0.5+1.3 | +0.1-0.0-0.1 | |||||
| Con Fir Cen Wh vs Roswell Santos | +0.0No-0.0 | |||||||
| AFC Lightning 0 vs Roswell Santos | +3.7-0.4-3.6 | -0.1-0.0+0.1 | ||||||
| Atlanta Fire - vs Inter Atlanta F | -0.9-1.0+1.3 | +0.1+0.1-0.1 | ||||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Con Fir Nor Bl finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance | Chance will finish season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | Promoted | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | Relegated | Count | |||||
| 29 | 2 | - | 0 | - | 0 | No | 0.1 | % | 0 | 3 | 30 | 43 | 20 | 3 | 0 | No | 3,179,669 | |||||||||
| 26 | 1 | - | 1 | - | 0 | No | No | 0 | 9 | 36 | 40 | 15 | 1 | No | 2,415,608 | |||||||||||
| 24 | 1 | - | 0 | - | 1 | No | No | 0 | 5 | 25 | 44 | 22 | 4 | 0 | 0.1 | % | 6,348,010 | |||||||||
| 23 | 0 | - | 2 | - | 0 | No | No | 0 | 9 | 50 | 33 | 6 | 0 | 0.2 | 460,224 | |||||||||||
| 21 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 1 | No | No | 0 | 10 | 38 | 41 | 10 | 0 | 10.5 | 2,418,312 | |||||||||||
| 19 | 0 | - | 0 | - | 2 | No | No | 0 | 12 | 48 | 36 | 3 | 39.9 | 3,177,721 | ||||||||||||
| Total: | No | 0.0 | % | 0 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 20 | 16 | 16 | 8 | 1 | 8.5 | % | 17,999,544 | |||||||||
Points
Chance Will Win Championship
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 1:06 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
