YMCA Arsenal Rome - GU15 Title Chances Fall2016 50/50
Tied NTH Top Whi QP 2-2, title odds down 3.8 to 1.3%
24 points 4-2-2
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 10/29 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed |
| NTH Top Whi QP 2 YMCA Arsenal Ro 2 | -2.6 | -5.1 | -0.2 | |||||
| Augusta Arsenal 1 AFC Lightning 0 2 | -2.0 | -2.7 | ||||||
| UFA 02G Gold 0 Alliance SC 02G 2 | +1.0 | +2.1 | +0.0 | |||||
| NTH Top Whi TH 0 Ga Revolution G 0 | +0.9 | +1.3 | +0.1 | |||||
| DSC 02G Revolut 4 GS 02G Gold 0 | -0.6 | -1.8 | No | -0.1 | ||||
| Alliance SC 02G 2 SSA Chelsea 02G 2 | +0.1 | +0.3 | +0.1 | |||||
| Ga Revolution G 2 DSC 02G Revolut 1 | +0.1 | -0.1 | -0.0 | |||||
| SSA Chelsea 02G 2 Augusta Arsenal 2 | +0.1 | +0.2 | +0.1 | |||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||||
| Week of 11/5 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed |
| YMCA Arsenal Ro vs Augusta Arsenal | +1.8NoNo | +7.4-4.1-5.8 | +0.9+0.0-0.9 | |||||
| Alliance SC 02G vs YMCA Arsenal Ro | NoNo+1.8 | -5.8-4.1+7.4 | -0.9+0.0+0.9 | |||||
| AFC Lightning 0 vs UFA South Georg | No+0.4+1.1 | -0.9+0.3+0.8 | ||||||
| AFC Lightning 0 vs Alliance SC 02G | No+0.5+1.1 | -0.9+0.3+0.7 | +0.1+0.1-0.1 | |||||
| Ga Revolution G vs NTH Top Whi QP | -0.4+0.3+0.3 | -2.2+1.4+1.6 | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | |||||
| UFA 02G Gold vs DSC 02G Revolut | +0.1+0.3-0.2 | +0.3+1.7-1.0 | -0.1+0.0+0.0 | |||||
| SSA Chelsea 02G vs GS 02G Gold | -0.1*+0.0+0.1 | -0.2+0.0+0.1 | ||||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the YMCA Arsenal Ro finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance | Chance will finish season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | Promoted | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | Relegated | Count | |||||
| 39 | 3 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 17.6 | % | 68.3 | % | 18 | 51 | 28 | 4 | No | 857,866 | |||||||||||
| 36 | 2 | - | 1 | - | 0 | No | 9.3 | 9 | 39 | 44 | 8 | No | 979,171 | |||||||||||||
| 34 | 2 | - | 0 | - | 1 | No | 1.5 | 2 | 19 | 48 | 29 | 2 | 0 | No | 2,569,497 | |||||||||||
| 33 | 1 | - | 2 | - | 0 | No | 0.6 | 1 | 12 | 49 | 37 | 1 | No | 372,353 | ||||||||||||
| 31 | 1 | - | 1 | - | 1 | No | No | 16 | 67 | 16 | 1 | No | 1,956,676 | |||||||||||||
| 30 | 0 | - | 3 | - | 0 | No | No | 10 | 57 | 31 | 2 | No | 47,851 | |||||||||||||
| 29 | 1 | - | 0 | - | 2 | No | No | 2 | 34 | 45 | 18 | 2 | 0 | No | 2,571,672 | |||||||||||
| 28 | 0 | - | 2 | - | 1 | No | No | 2 | 37 | 46 | 15 | 1 | No | 372,986 | ||||||||||||
| 26 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 2 | No | No | 7 | 29 | 41 | 21 | 3 | No | 978,734 | ||||||||||||
| 24 | 0 | - | 0 | - | 3 | No | No | 0 | 2 | 18 | 51 | 28 | 1 | No | 860,722 | |||||||||||
| Total: | 1.3 | % | 6.2 | % | 1 | 5 | 10 | 20 | 29 | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 0 | No | 11,567,528 | ||||||||||
Points
Chance Will Win Championship
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 1:06 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
