"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 10/29100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
SSA Chelsea 02G 2 Augusta Arsenal 2 -0.5
-1.7
-0.3
-0.2
UFA 02G Gold 0 Alliance SC 02G 2 +0.2
+0.5
+0.2
-0.1
Augusta Arsenal 1 AFC Lightning 0 2 No
No
+0.7
-0.9
Ga Revolution G 2 DSC 02G Revolut 1 +0.1
-0.1
DSC 02G Revolut 4 GS 02G Gold 0 -0.1
-0.4
-0.4
NTH Top Whi TH 0 Ga Revolution G 0 +0.1
+0.3
+0.0
NTH Top Whi QP 2 YMCA Arsenal Ro 2 +0.1
Alliance SC 02G 2 SSA Chelsea 02G 2 +0.1
UFA South Georg 0 NTH Top Whi QP 2 +0.1
-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 11/5100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
YMCA Arsenal Ro vs Augusta Arsenal+0.5NoNo
-0.9-0.2+1.0
SSA Chelsea 02G vs GS 02G GoldNoNo+0.5
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Ga Revolution G vs NTH Top Whi QP-0.2-0.1+0.2
+0.1+0.1-0.1
NTH Top Whi TH vs UFA South Georg+0.2+0.0-0.2
-0.2+0.0+0.2
Alliance SC 02G vs YMCA Arsenal Ro+0.1*-0.0-0.1
-0.1-0.0+0.1
AFC Lightning 0 vs Alliance SC 02G-0.1*-0.0+0.1
+0.2+0.0-0.2
NTH Top Whi QP vs NTH Top Whi TH+0.1+0.1-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Augusta Arsenal finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titlePromoted123456789101112RelegatedCount
292-0-0NoNo834411610No2,044,223
261-1-0NoNo32747202No1,552,411
241-0-1NoNo063645130No4,081,930
230-2-0NoNo22350241No296,202
210-1-1NoNo05345110No1,553,707
190-0-2NoNo113543022.1%2,039,055
Total:NoNo1713232722700.4%11,567,528
Points
Chance Will Win Championship