YMCA Arsenal Title Chances Fall2013 50/50Season start, title odds unchanged at 7.1% 0 points 0-0-0 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain If winner is:HomeDrawAway | Week of 9/7 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed | Concorde Fire N vs YMCA Arsenal | -3.6-1.2+4.0 | | -6.2-1.8+6.9 | | +8.5+0.5-8.7 | | -1.1-0.2+1.2 | | SSA Chelsea 00B vs SSA Chelsea 00B | -0.0+0.2-0.0 | | -0.1+0.3-0.1 | | | | | | NASA B18 Premier vs Augusta Arsenal | -0.0+0.2-0.0 | | -0.1+0.3-0.1 | | | | | | Inter Atlanta F vs DSC Revolution | -0.0+0.2-0.0 | | -0.1+0.3-0.1 | | | | | | Concorde Fire N vs NASA B18 Premier | -0.0+0.2-0.0 | | -0.1+0.3-0.1 | | | | | | DDYSC 00 Wolves vs SSA Chelsea 00B | -0.0+0.2-0.0 | | -0.0+0.3-0.1 | | | | | | DDYSC 00 Wolves vs SSA Oconee 00B | -0.0+0.2-0.0 | | -0.1+0.3-0.0 | | | | | | Concorde Fire S vs 00 Norcross Atl | -0.0+0.2-0.0 | | -0.1+0.3-0.1 | | | | | | SSA Oconee 00B vs Concorde Fire S | -0.0+0.2-0.0 | | -0.1+0.3-0.1 | | | | | | Atlanta Fire Un vs DSC Revolution | -0.0+0.2-0.0 | | -0.1+0.3-0.0 | | | | | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | Week of 9/14 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed | SSA Chelsea 00B vs YMCA Arsenal | -3.6-1.2+4.0 | | -6.2-1.8+6.9 | | +8.5+0.5-8.6 | | -1.1-0.2+1.2 | | NASA B18 Premier vs SSA Oconee 00B | -0.1+0.2*-0.0 | | -0.1+0.3-0.0 | | | | | | Atlanta Fire Un vs Concorde Fire S | -0.0+0.2-0.0 | | -0.0+0.3-0.1 | | | | | | Concorde Fire N vs 00 Norcross Atl | -0.0+0.2-0.0 | | -0.1+0.3-0.1 | | | | | | Augusta Arsenal vs SSA Chelsea 00B | -0.0+0.2-0.0 | | -0.0+0.3-0.1 | | | | | | DDYSC 00 Wolves vs DSC Revolution | -0.0+0.2-0.0 | | -0.0+0.3-0.1 | | | | | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the YMCA Arsenal finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance | | Chance will finish season at seed | | | TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | Promoted | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | Relegated | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 62 | -65 | | Yes | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 4,777 | * | 60 | | 12 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 99.9 | % | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 3,100 | | 59 | | 11 | - | 2 | - | 0 | Yes | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,819 | | 57 | | 11 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 99.6 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 14,424 | | 56 | | 10 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 99.7 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 3,864 | | 55 | | 11 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 98.7 | | Yes | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 18,898 | | 54 | | 10 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 98.4 | | 100.0 | % | 98 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 29,873 | | 53 | | 9 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 98.2 | | Yes | 98 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 3,611 | | 52 | | 10 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 95.8 | | 100.0 | | 96 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 79,750 | | 51 | | 9 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 94.3 | | 100.0 | | 94 | 6 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 38,473 | | 50 | | 10 | - | 0 | - | 3 | 89.9 | | 99.8 | | 90 | 10 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 71,983 | * | 49 | | 9 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 86.0 | | 99.5 | | 86 | 14 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 150,882 | | 48 | | 8 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 83.8 | | 99.3 | | 84 | 16 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 32,594 | | 47 | | 9 | - | 1 | - | 3 | 73.5 | | 97.9 | | 74 | 24 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 266,191 | * | 46 | | 8 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 66.1 | | 96.3 | | 66 | 30 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 172,841 | | 45 | | 9 | - | 0 | - | 4 | 54.7 | | 92.5 | | 55 | 38 | 7 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 194,233 | * | 44 | | 8 | - | 2 | - | 3 | 44.6 | | 87.1 | | 45 | 43 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 454,938 | * | 43 | | 7 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 37.1 | | 82.3 | | 37 | 45 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 131,671 | | 42 | | 8 | - | 1 | - | 4 | 23.7 | | 68.4 | | 24 | 45 | 26 | 6 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 605,083 | * | 41 | | 7 | - | 3 | - | 3 | 15.2 | | 55.6 | | 15 | 40 | 33 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 460,547 | * | 40 | | 8 | - | 0 | - | 5 | 7.9 | | 39.6 | | 8 | 32 | 38 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 382,845 | * | 39 | | 7 | - | 2 | - | 4 | 3.8 | | 25.4 | | 4 | 22 | 38 | 27 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 909,849 | * | 38 | | 6 | - | 4 | - | 3 | 1.7 | | 15.4 | | 2 | 14 | 34 | 34 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 306,894 | * | 37 | | 7 | - | 1 | - | 5 | 0.4 | | 6.1 | | 0 | 6 | 23 | 36 | 26 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 979,767 | * | 36 | | 6 | - | 3 | - | 4 | 0.1 | | 2.0 | | 0 | 2 | 12 | 31 | 34 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 806,995 | * | 35 | | 7 | - | 0 | - | 6 | 0.0 | | 0.4 | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 35 | 28 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 555,652 | * | 34 | | 6 | - | 2 | - | 5 | 0.0 | | 0.1 | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 27 | 35 | 21 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | No | 1,277,333 | * | 33 | | 5 | - | 4 | - | 4 | No | 0.0 | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 34 | 31 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | No | 461,198 | * | 32 | | 6 | - | 1 | - | 6 | No | 0.0 | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 35 | 26 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | 0.0 | % | 1,155,979 | * | 31 | | 5 | - | 3 | - | 5 | No | No | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 28 | 35 | 20 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 0.0 | | 965,925 | * | 30 | | 6 | - | 0 | - | 7 | No | No | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 33 | 32 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | 0.1 | | 591,729 | * | 29 | | 5 | - | 2 | - | 6 | No | No | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 35 | 26 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1.2 | | 1,279,833 | * | 28 | | 4 | - | 4 | - | 5 | No | No | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 30 | 35 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3.8 | | 460,406 | * | 27 | | 5 | - | 1 | - | 7 | No | No | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 35 | 30 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 12.4 | | 998,462 | * | 26 | | 4 | - | 3 | - | 6 | No | No | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 27 | 37 | 22 | 5 | 0 | 27.1 | | 807,371 | * | 25 | | 5 | - | 0 | - | 8 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 35 | 32 | 11 | 1 | 44.6 | | 451,916 | * | 24 | | 4 | - | 2 | - | 7 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 28 | 38 | 21 | 4 | 62.8 | | 914,495 | * | 23 | | 3 | - | 4 | - | 6 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 39 | 31 | 7 | 77.3 | | 307,332 | * | 22 | | 4 | - | 1 | - | 8 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 34 | 40 | 14 | 87.6 | | 622,318 | * | 21 | | 3 | - | 3 | - | 7 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 25 | 45 | 24 | 94.4 | | 462,288 | * | 20 | | 4 | - | 0 | - | 9 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 46 | 34 | 97.5 | | 243,863 | * | 19 | | 3 | - | 2 | - | 8 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 42 | 46 | 99.0 | | 456,166 | * | 18 | | 2 | - | 4 | - | 7 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 6 | 37 | 57 | 99.6 | | 131,172 | * | 17 | | 3 | - | 1 | - | 9 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 30 | 66 | 99.9 | | 274,246 | * | 16 | | 2 | - | 3 | - | 8 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 75 | 100.0 | | 173,682 | * | 15 | | 3 | - | 0 | - | 10 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 17 | 82 | 100.0 | | 89,471 | * | 14 | | 2 | - | 2 | - | 9 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 12 | 88 | 100.0 | | 151,834 | * | 13 | | 1 | - | 4 | - | 8 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 8 | 92 | Yes | 32,703 | | 12 | | 2 | - | 1 | - | 10 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 6 | 94 | 100.0 | | 80,513 | * | 11 | | 1 | - | 3 | - | 9 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 97 | Yes | 38,422 | | 10 | | 2 | - | 0 | - | 11 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 98 | Yes | 21,491 | * | 9 | | 1 | - | 2 | - | 10 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | Yes | 30,385 | | 8 | | 0 | - | 4 | - | 9 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | Yes | 3,649 | | 7 | | 1 | - | 1 | - | 11 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 14,329 | | 6 | | 0 | - | 3 | - | 10 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 3,708 | | 5 | | 1 | - | 0 | - | 12 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 3,174 | | 0 | -4 | | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | Yes | 7,533 | * | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 7.1 | % | 14.3 | % | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 21.4 | % | 19,195,480 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Win Championship |