"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/7100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
SSA Chelsea 00B vs SSA Chelsea 00B+4.0-1.2-3.6
+6.9-1.8-6.2
-8.7+0.5+8.5
+1.2-0.2-1.1
DDYSC 00 Wolves vs SSA Chelsea 00B-3.6-1.2+4.0
-6.2-1.8+6.9
+8.5+0.5-8.7
-1.1-0.2+1.2
Concorde Fire N vs NASA B18 Premier-0.0+0.2-0.0
-0.1+0.3-0.1
+0.0-0.1*+0.0
SSA Oconee 00B vs Concorde Fire S-0.0+0.2-0.0
-0.1+0.3-0.1
Concorde Fire N vs YMCA Arsenal-0.0+0.2-0.0
-0.0+0.3-0.1
*+0.0-0.1+0.0
NASA B18 Premier vs Augusta Arsenal-0.0+0.2-0.0
-0.1+0.3-0.1
Inter Atlanta F vs DSC Revolution-0.0+0.2-0.0
-0.1+0.3-0.1
Atlanta Fire Un vs DSC Revolution-0.0+0.2-0.0
-0.0+0.3-0.1
Concorde Fire S vs 00 Norcross Atl-0.0+0.2-0.0
-0.1+0.3-0.1
+0.0-0.1*+0.0
DDYSC 00 Wolves vs SSA Oconee 00B-0.0+0.2-0.0
-0.0+0.3-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/14100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
SSA Chelsea 00B vs YMCA Arsenal+4.0-1.2-3.6
+6.9-1.8-6.2
-8.7+0.5+8.5
+1.2-0.2-1.1
NASA B18 Premier vs SSA Oconee 00B-0.0+0.2-0.0
-0.1+0.3-0.1
+0.0-0.1*+0.0
Concorde Fire N vs 00 Norcross Atl-0.0+0.2-0.0
-0.1+0.3-0.0
Atlanta Fire Un vs Concorde Fire S-0.0+0.2-0.0
-0.1+0.3-0.0
Augusta Arsenal vs SSA Chelsea 00B-0.0+0.2-0.0
-0.1+0.3-0.1
DDYSC 00 Wolves vs DSC Revolution-0.0+0.2-0.0
-0.1+0.3-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the SSA Chelsea 00B finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titlePromoted1234567891011121314RelegatedCount
62-65YesYes100No14,108*
6012-0-199.9%Yes1000No9,162
5911-2-0100.0Yes1000No8,213
5711-1-199.7Yes1000No42,365
5610-3-099.6Yes1000No11,227
5511-0-298.8100.0%9910No55,061
5410-2-198.4100.09820No88,513
539-4-098.2Yes982No10,495
5210-1-295.6100.096400No231,863
519-3-194.299.99460No111,790
5010-0-389.999.8901000No210,408*
499-2-286.099.5861300No441,785
488-4-183.599.3841610No95,922
479-1-373.597.97424200No775,377*
468-3-266.396.46630400No502,741
459-0-454.892.55538700No564,443*
448-2-344.687.1454312100No1,323,431*
437-4-237.182.3374516200No383,010
428-1-423.768.42445266000No1,763,667*
417-3-315.255.515403310100No1,343,592*
408-0-58.039.683238184000No1,117,729*
397-2-43.825.442238278100No2,656,914*
386-4-31.615.5214343414200No894,334*
377-1-50.46.1062336268100No2,856,050*
366-3-40.12.002123134174000No2,351,152*
357-0-60.00.400520352810200No1,627,418*
346-2-50.00.100192735216100No3,721,169*
335-4-40.00.0000317343112200No1,342,771*
326-1-6No0.0001622352691000.0%3,369,519*
315-3-5NoNo0021028352050000.02,826,182*
306-0-7NoNo003163332132000.11,728,932*
295-2-6NoNo001622352691001.23,732,859*
284-4-5NoNo002123035174003.81,344,440*
275-1-7NoNo0004183530112012.42,907,672*
264-3-6NoNo00192736225027.12,354,607*
255-0-8NoNo000317353211144.51,321,418*
244-2-7NoNo0019283821462.82,666,149*
233-4-6NoNo0004193931777.3895,841*
224-1-8NoNo0011134401487.61,813,221*
213-3-7NoNo00525452494.41,345,677*
204-0-9NoNo00218463497.5710,412*
193-2-8NoNo00111424599.01,331,377*
182-4-7NoNo006375699.7383,330*
173-1-9NoNo004306699.9798,850*
162-3-8NoNo0022375100.0502,870*
153-0-10NoNo011782100.0261,654*
142-2-9NoNo001287100.0441,107*
131-4-8NoNo0892Yes95,532
122-1-10NoNo0694Yes234,781*
111-3-9NoNo0397Yes111,903
102-0-11NoNo0298Yes62,525*
91-2-10NoNo199Yes88,268
80-4-9NoNo0100Yes10,669
71-1-11NoNo0100Yes41,682
60-3-10NoNo0100Yes11,082
51-0-12NoNo0100Yes9,090
40-2-11NoNo0100Yes7,983
0-2NoNo100Yes14,118*
Total:7.1%14.3%7777777777777721.4%55,978,460

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship