"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/7100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Concorde Fire S vs 00 Norcross Atl-3.6-1.2+4.0
-6.2-1.8+6.9
+8.5+0.5-8.6
-1.1-0.2+1.2
SSA Chelsea 00B vs SSA Chelsea 00B-0.0+0.2-0.0
-0.1+0.3-0.1
DDYSC 00 Wolves vs SSA Oconee 00B-0.0+0.2-0.0
-0.1+0.3-0.1
Atlanta Fire Un vs DSC Revolution-0.0+0.2-0.0
-0.1+0.3-0.1
*+0.0-0.1+0.0
Inter Atlanta F vs DSC Revolution-0.0+0.2-0.0
-0.1+0.3-0.1
DDYSC 00 Wolves vs SSA Chelsea 00B-0.0+0.2-0.0
-0.1+0.3-0.1
+0.0-0.1*+0.0
SSA Oconee 00B vs Concorde Fire S-0.0+0.2-0.0
-0.1+0.3-0.0
Concorde Fire N vs YMCA Arsenal-0.0+0.2-0.0
-0.0+0.3-0.1
+0.0-0.1*+0.0
NASA B18 Premier vs Augusta Arsenal-0.0+0.2-0.0
-0.1+0.3-0.1
+0.0-0.1*+0.0
Concorde Fire N vs NASA B18 Premier-0.0+0.2-0.0
-0.1+0.3-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/14100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Concorde Fire N vs 00 Norcross Atl-3.6-1.2+4.0
-6.2-1.8+6.9
+8.5+0.5-8.7
-1.1-0.2+1.2
Atlanta Fire Un vs Concorde Fire S-0.0+0.2-0.0
-0.1+0.3-0.1
DDYSC 00 Wolves vs DSC Revolution-0.0+0.2-0.0
-0.1+0.3-0.1
SSA Chelsea 00B vs YMCA Arsenal-0.0+0.2-0.0
-0.1+0.3-0.1
Augusta Arsenal vs SSA Chelsea 00B-0.0+0.2-0.0
-0.1+0.3-0.1
+0.0-0.1*+0.0
NASA B18 Premier vs SSA Oconee 00B-0.0+0.2-0.0
-0.0+0.3-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the 00 Norcross Atl finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titlePromoted1234567891011121314RelegatedCount
62-65YesYes100No14,186*
6012-0-199.8%Yes1000No9,024
5911-2-099.9Yes1000No8,012
5711-1-199.6Yes1000No42,098
5610-3-099.6Yes1000No11,198
5511-0-298.8100.0%9910No55,205
5410-2-198.4100.09820No87,609
539-4-098.2Yes982No10,763
5210-1-295.7100.09640No230,719
519-3-194.399.99460No111,674
5010-0-389.899.8901000No210,345*
499-2-286.199.5861300No440,944
488-4-183.599.384161No95,780
479-1-373.597.9732420No775,354*
468-3-266.296.46630300No504,126
459-0-454.992.55538700No565,591*
448-2-344.587.1454312100No1,324,877*
437-4-237.182.337451620No383,475
428-1-423.768.42445266000No1,759,548*
417-3-315.255.615403310100No1,345,299*
408-0-58.039.583238184000No1,116,896*
397-2-43.825.442238278100No2,653,217*
386-4-31.615.4214343414200No894,756*
377-1-50.46.1062336268100No2,856,416*
366-3-40.12.002123134174000No2,350,365*
357-0-60.00.400520352810200No1,626,073*
346-2-50.00.1001102735216100No3,722,126*
335-4-4No0.000317343112200No1,344,459*
326-1-6No0.0001622352691000.0%3,368,817*
315-3-5NoNo0021028352050000.02,825,661*
306-0-7NoNo003163332132000.11,728,461*
295-2-6NoNo001622352691001.23,729,470*
284-4-5NoNo002123035184003.81,344,210*
275-1-7NoNo0004193529112012.42,907,525*
264-3-6NoNo00192736225027.12,352,167*
255-0-8NoNo000317353211144.51,322,476*
244-2-7NoNo0019283821462.72,671,285*
233-4-6NoNo004193931777.2894,125*
224-1-8NoNo0011134401487.61,814,552*
213-3-7NoNo00525452494.41,346,919*
204-0-9NoNo00218463497.5712,018*
193-2-8NoNo00111424699.01,332,782*
182-4-7NoNo006375699.7384,032*
173-1-9NoNo004306699.9797,311*
162-3-8NoNo0022376100.0503,493*
153-0-10NoNo011782100.0260,751*
142-2-9NoNo001288100.0442,173*
131-4-8NoNo0892Yes96,158
122-1-10NoNo0694Yes235,785*
111-3-9NoNo0397Yes111,830
102-0-11NoNo0298Yes62,848*
91-2-10NoNo0199Yes88,097
80-4-9NoNo199Yes10,549
71-1-11NoNo0100Yes42,329
60-3-10NoNo0100Yes11,042
51-0-12NoNo0100Yes9,415
40-2-11NoNo0100Yes7,939
0-2NoNo100Yes14,105*
Total:7.1%14.3%7777777777777721.4%55,978,460

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship