UFA 03G Black Title Chances Fall2016 50/50
Beat Excel 2003 White 4-2, title odds up 0.7 to 4.3%
27 points 5-1-1
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 10/29 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed |
| UFA 03G Black 4 Excel 2003 White 2 | +3.9 | +10.2 | +0.7 | |||||
| UFA 03G Black 2 Roswell Santos 1 | +2.7 | +6.5 | No | +0.7 | ||||
| Concorde Fire S 2 SAF 2003 Elite 6 | -1.5 | -2.1 | ||||||
| UFA South Georg 4 NTH TopHat 03 W 0 | -1.0 | -2.7 | -0.1 | |||||
| SSA Che Sel Ye 0 SAF 2003 Elite 3 | -0.9 | -1.9 | +0.1 | |||||
| SSA Che Sel Bl 1 Excel 2003 White 2 | -0.5 | -1.3 | +0.0 | |||||
| Concorde Fire S 4 Impact SC 03G P 3 | +0.3 | +0.1 | +0.1 | |||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||||
| Impact SC 03G P vs Excel 2003 White | +0.7+0.1-0.8 | +3.0+0.3-3.1 | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | |||||
| AFC Lightning 0 vs Impact SC 03G P | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | |||||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||||
| Week of 11/5 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed |
| UFA 03G Black vs UFA South Georg | +5.1-2.7-4.1 | +17.6-7.1-14.9 | +0.7-0.2-0.6 | |||||
| UFA 03G Black vs SSA Che Sel Bl | +4.3-2.3-3.4 | +12.1-4.5-10.4 | +0.6-0.0-0.6 | |||||
| Impact SC 03G P vs SAF 2003 Elite | +2.6+0.4-2.7 | +2.0*-0.1-1.9 | ||||||
| Excel 2003 White vs UFA South Georg | +0.1+0.5-0.3 | +3.5+2.2-4.3 | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | |||||
| Concorde Fire S vs SSA Che Sel Bl | +0.1+0.1-0.1 | |||||||
| GS 03G Gold vs Impact SC 03G P | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | |||||||
| SSA Che Sel Ye vs NTH TopHat 03 W | -0.1+0.0+0.0 | |||||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the UFA 03G Black finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance | Chance will finish season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | Promoted | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | Relegated | Count | |||||
| 47 | 4 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 76.2 | % | Yes | 76 | 24 | No | 180,962 | ||||||||||||||
| 44 | 3 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 20.4 | 82.9 | % | 20 | 62 | 17 | No | 274,339 | |||||||||||||
| 42 | 3 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 7.0 | 59.9 | 7 | 53 | 39 | 2 | No | 719,732 | |||||||||||||
| 41 | 2 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 2.1 | 44.3 | 2 | 42 | 53 | 3 | No | 156,025 | |||||||||||||
| 39 | 2 | - | 1 | - | 1 | No | 8.5 | 8 | 64 | 28 | No | 820,182 | ||||||||||||||
| 38 | 1 | - | 3 | - | 0 | No | 7.2 | 7 | 65 | 27 | No | 40,157 | ||||||||||||||
| 37 | 2 | - | 0 | - | 2 | No | 2.5 | 2 | 49 | 48 | 1 | No | 1,078,915 | |||||||||||||
| 36 | 1 | - | 2 | - | 1 | No | 0.7 | 1 | 42 | 56 | 1 | No | 312,556 | |||||||||||||
| 35 | 0 | - | 4 | - | 0 | No | No | 27 | 71 | 2 | No | 3,780 | ||||||||||||||
| 34 | 1 | - | 1 | - | 2 | No | No | 10 | 63 | 24 | 3 | 0 | No | 822,121 | ||||||||||||
| 33 | 0 | - | 3 | - | 1 | No | No | 11 | 69 | 18 | 1 | 0 | No | 39,811 | ||||||||||||
| 32 | 1 | - | 0 | - | 3 | No | No | 4 | 51 | 37 | 7 | 0 | No | 720,016 | ||||||||||||
| 31 | 0 | - | 2 | - | 2 | No | No | 2 | 34 | 47 | 16 | 2 | No | 156,381 | ||||||||||||
| 29 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 3 | No | No | 5 | 38 | 44 | 13 | 0 | No | 272,893 | ||||||||||||
| 27 | 0 | - | 0 | - | 4 | No | No | 19 | 51 | 28 | 2 | No | 180,858 | |||||||||||||
| Total: | 4.3 | % | 17.5 | % | 4 | 13 | 30 | 33 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 0 | No | 5,778,728 | ||||||||||||
Points
Chance Will Win Championship
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 1:04 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
