"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 10/29100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
SSA Che Sel Ye 0 SAF 2003 Elite 3 No
No
-0.4
UFA South Georg 4 NTH TopHat 03 W 0 -0.1
-0.0
SSA Che Sel Bl 1 Excel 2003 White 2 -0.1
+0.1
UFA 03G Black 2 Roswell Santos 1 -0.1
Concorde Fire S 4 Impact SC 03G P 3 +0.2
UFA 03G Black 4 Excel 2003 White 2 -0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
AFC Lightning 0 vs Impact SC 03G P+0.1+0.1-0.1
Impact SC 03G P vs Excel 2003 White-0.2-0.0+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 11/5100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
SSA Che Sel Ye vs NTH TopHat 03 WNo*No+0.0
+0.2-0.6-1.0
Concorde Fire S vs SSA Che Sel Bl+0.0*NoNo
+0.4+0.2-0.1
AFC Lightning 0 vs SSA Che Sel Ye+0.0*NoNo
-0.8-0.4+0.4
Impact SC 03G P vs SAF 2003 Elite-0.3-0.1+0.0
UFA 03G Black vs SSA Che Sel Bl+0.1-0.0-0.2
GS 03G Gold vs Impact SC 03G P+0.1+0.1-0.1
UFA 03G Black vs UFA South Georg-0.1-0.0+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the SSA Che Sel Ye finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titlePromoted123456789101112RelegatedCount
343-0-0NoNo5405320No1,488,695
312-1-0NoNo0666271No2,072,249
292-0-1NoNo1435150No6,430,296
281-2-0NoNo157214No708,054
261-1-1NoNo552411No3,305,626
250-3-0NoNo249482No71,222
241-0-2NoNo13359700No2,253,359
230-2-1NoNo22661100No407,856
210-1-2NoNo1335690No489,086
190-0-3NoNo0105432400.0%109,741
Total:NoNo0430402130000.0%17,336,184
Points
Chance Will Win Championship